CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Well I won't be going by your recommendation rest assured. But I'm glad we can agree that it's not a great look for SNE as modeled . Hopefully we can shift long wave pattern a bit east Dude, where do you come up with this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2016 Author Share Posted January 29, 2016 I think what they mean is that is a very active pattern with seasonable cold. Shortwave nuances not withstanding.....the set up is not perfect because we lack blocking, thus the specter of precip. type issues looms. I for one, prefer that at this point....I'm done with the oes, fluff and sharp cut-offs. This is the ideal regime from my vantage point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 0 inches when it to shows 0 difference from climo,lol can't make it up . Hell I will take that,Feb 1-15 is my climo snowiest time of year. Yep and half that time is spent in the 50s this year...congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Well I won't be going by your recommendation rest assured. But I'm glad we can agree that it's not a great look for SNE as modeled . Hopefully we can shift long wave pattern a bit east LoL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 "an overwhelming majority of the analog patterns to the one depicted show that SNE does very well on the whole." Sounds awful...just awful It may never snow again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2016 Author Share Posted January 29, 2016 "an overwhelming majority of the analog patterns to the one depicted show that SNE does very well on the whole." Sounds awful...just awful It may never snow again Whom is that quote from? I hope the euro shows something because the model thread has been overtaken by WINDEX obs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 The good one eyed pig is returning to Hudson Bay. Squeal like a pig, boy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 i've been monitoring/studying this stratosphere-troposphere winter relationship for years ... this has got to be an SSW. at 96 hours there is no trace that anything unusual is going on in the 5hPa level over the polar domain. then, at 120 hours...ever so slightly hinted warming kicks in at that very high altitude over northern eurasia/asia. then, at a 144 hours ... kerboom! then, by 240 hours, it has moved to over the np and completely displaced the vortex over to the n atlantic. moreover, at 30 hPa, the D7 lags and shows no evidence, only to have this happen suddenly by D10 it is my belief that the first detonation of warming in the 5 hPa level...lagging 4 days and then emerging suddenly in the 30 hPa level, is in fact the early modeled attempt at picking up a downwelling warm anomaly. the reason this is important is obviously to the AO... if it is for real ... -AO end of Feb gets more plausible and that throws curve balls into seam pattern between winter and spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 The good one eyed pig is returning to Hudson Bay. Squeal like a pig, boy. What would that be Scott...never heard of that before? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 What would that be Scott...never heard of that before? Just squeal. The polar vortex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 OHH ok. Got it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Euro Ens, go Shorty it's ya birthday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 So it's going to get cold and potentially more active in our best climo month for snow, eh? Sign me up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Just squeal. The polar vortex. That looks really cold in the extended on EC ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Cold and dry ens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Cold and dry ens? Epic ratter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Epic ratterI read on Ywitter it was suppression Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2016 Author Share Posted January 29, 2016 I read on Ywitter it was suppression Almost a 1979-'80 vibe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 HM Every time it revolves around in SE Canada, it'll open up a winter threat as flow relaxes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2016 Author Share Posted January 29, 2016 HM Every time it revolves around in SE Canada, it'll open up a winter threat as flow relaxes. "Everytime the PV queefs, a weenie gets its buns" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2016 Author Share Posted January 29, 2016 I think the PV near Hudson Bay is a great look, by any further south and its curtains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Almost a 1979-'80 vibe.lol you fell for him,yesterday it was rainers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewbeer Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 I read on Ywitter Sig worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Well I won't be going by your recommendation rest assured. But I'm glad we can agree that it's not a great look for SNE as modeled . Hopefully we can shift long wave pattern a bit eastI've never see you so freaked out by a deep eastern trough. If after what, 5 storms of 18"+ in the past like 3 years at your house, you may have to deal with an event that gives you 8" followed by taint while ALB gets 14"...and you're freaking out just thinking about that lol.And if it's 40F and raining in Tolland at 1000ft, most of us in this forum will probably have issues as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2016 Author Share Posted January 29, 2016 lol you fell for him,yesterday it was rainers Fell for what? I commented on his post. As in, if that were to happen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Fell for what? I commented on his post. As in, if that were to happen... Not sure what he was talking about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2016 Author Share Posted January 29, 2016 Not sure what he was talking about He is hard to follow sometimes.....I think he was trying to say that's just you being pessimistic. Anyway, pretty much just saying that if that were to happen, it would mimic my futility season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 I have zero issues with that look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Nice split! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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