Hammer Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Agree 100% esp in the ne ga and nw sc areas. Really nervous about this for our area. The high was supposed to be 34 yesterday - don't think it got there - most I saw was 31. Already below low (forecast to be 22, was 16 when I left this morning) - really don't think we will see the forecast of 36... That will make 48 hours below freezing... and well below at times... Will have to see how much (and what kind) falls... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 If this can put down a widespread 1" snowfall it MIGHT help With a bit colder, deeper wedge for the following storm. That's a big MIGHT though didnt think about that but it is a good point. short range models continue to trend towards a stronger band of snow so it bears watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Really nervous about this for our area. The high was supposed to be 34 yesterday - don't think it got there - most I saw was 31. Already below low (forecast to be 22, was 16 when I left this morning) - really don't think we will see the forecast of 36... That will make 48 hours below freezing... and well below at times... Will have to see how much (and what kind) falls... Im worried about freezing rain. I think we see that more likely than snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 the 12z nam give my location around .05 would as shown would be all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Im worried about freezing rain. I think we see that more likely than snow. Yeah that seems like a real threat especially for my area tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 And no problem with accumulations either as here in Pickens it was 15° this morning and will probably not reach 40° for high today then back in teens tonight. So no doubt whatever falls will stick. Could even make roads messy. As strong as this looking it wouldn't surprise me to see folks north of I85 see a inch or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I think this is looking good for my back yard! I wouldn't be surprised if Clemson/ Pickens / Greenville proper, could get a coating to an inch of snow and or sleet. Especially if precip arrives earlier than expected, like noon or so I'm rooting for you buddy!!! Nothing would make me happier! I had already started looking to February. Maybe we will get a double surprise this week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 canadian continues to show a nice line of snow tomorrow down into upper sc. i know all eyes are on the weekend but this should be a nice little event tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 canadian continues to show a nice line of snow tomorrow down into upper sc. i know all eyes are on the weekend but this should be a nice little event tomorrow afternoon. The Canadian maybe seeing the 2mm temps the best and to my untrained eye is more wet than the GFS and NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calm_days Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I agree. I would cash out with 1-2 inches and call it a winter at this point. Yes!! I do personally think that with how generally speaking unusual December was, that February and March will possibly have very unusual patterns that could lead to frequent winter weather events at least somewhere along the east coast. I am still an amateur, it will take me eight to ten more years to really get a feel for understanding all the dynamics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 lost in the shuffle of the big dog euro run...12z rgem looks really nice for tomorrow afternoon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I agree Doppler, this could catch a lot of people off guard. With the cold surfaces we could have a lot of problems on the roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I agree Doppler, this could catch a lot of people off guard. With the cold surfaces we could have a lot of problems on the roads. especially in this instance, with a decent shot of snow/ice within 24 hours almost no one seems to be following this event - they are all going for the biggie at the end of the week lol. this is the se so i take what i can get when i can get it for winter wx. gsp expanded the WWA a little and are now into ne for an inch or two of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow haven Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 seems here in Rockingham may have a better chance at this storm than the one at the end of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Winter Storm Warning has went up for North Georgia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 18z nam is coming in a bit wetter so far.actually showing up 0.50 just into tn though 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 especially in this instance, with a decent shot of snow/ice within 24 hours almost no one seems to be following this event - they are all going for the biggie at the end of the week lol. this is the se so i take what i can get when i can get it for winter wx. gsp expanded the WWA a little and are now into ne for an inch or two of snow. Yea I think this is our best shot as this weekend is doubtful imo. Maybe at your elevation you will stay colder this weekend. Looking forward to some pics! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 especially in this instance, with a decent shot of snow/ice within 24 hours almost no one seems to be following this event - they are all going for the biggie at the end of the week lol. this is the se so i take what i can get when i can get it for winter wx. gsp expanded the WWA a little and are now into ne for an inch or two of snow. Same here. I'll be up past gainesville tomorrow and am hoping to see an inch or two....of course compared to the 1 to 2 FEET those lucky bastards northeast of here will get with the next one, it seems pretty sad lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 On the NAM she starts running out of juice as she comes East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1bert1 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 There was a system like this in Feb of 13, it wasn't suppose to even make it here. It was a Saturday and it snowed here for a solid hour or two, no accums, but Caesars head got a suprise 4-5", we weren't cold enough, upper 30s Are you talking about the lee-side low we had with a little thunder? If so here is a video I made. Sorry for being a little off topic..... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0NT-sOg7cRo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Same here. I'll be up past gainesville tomorrow and am hoping to see an inch or two....of course compared to the 1 to 2 FEET those lucky bastards northeast of here will get with the next one, it seems pretty sad lol Tell me about it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Yea I think this is our best shot as this weekend is doubtful imo... I would like to get your thoughts for various parts of the Upstate regarding the late week storm (of course, please post in the other thread) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 On the NAM she starts running out of juice as she comes East. considering how dry the nam has been with this system, it's an improvement. I still feel like the models are too warm. Nam for example has temps right at freezing near gainesville with a dewpoint in the low to mid teens when precip starts yet temps don't really respond after it starts. Of course we have to actually have enough precip to actually do the job but assuming we do, tenps should fall back to around 28 or 29 and stay there through the night. Afterwards, light freezing precipitations could fall much of the night. What i've been wondering about is if we are still at freezing thursday morning when more appreciable precip moves back in. We won't have a fresh influx of cold air so latent heat release would cause a rise in temps but could mean a few more hours of light freezing rain thursday morning and making for some slick conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 New WWA up for my area. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA244 PM EST TUE JAN 19 2016GAZ019>024-200345-/O.NEW.KFFC.WW.Y.0003.160120T1200Z-160121T0600Z/FLOYD-BARTOW-CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROME...CARTERSVILLE...GAINESVILLE244 PM EST TUE JAN 19 2016...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AMEST THURSDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED AWINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR IMPACTS DUE TO ACCUMULATING SNOW ANDICE...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM ESTTHURSDAY.* LOCATIONS...MAINLY NORTH OF A ROME TO CANTON TO HOMER LINE.* HAZARD TYPES...ACCUMULATING FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW.* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH.ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO ONE TENTHS OF AN INCH.* TIMING...4 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM THURSDAY.* IMPACTS...ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN MAYMAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE BEGINNING WEDNESDAY MORNINGAND CONTINUING INTO THE AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE GREATEST IMPACTSMAY OCCUR AT PRECIPITATION ONSET WEDNESDAY MORNING DUE TO THEVERY COLD SURFACE TEMPERATURES FORECAST.* TEMPERATURES...WILL DROP TO THE MID 20S ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHGEORGIA BY 6AM THEN SLOWLY RISE TO ABOVE FREEZING BY MIDDAY ANDREACH THE MID TO UPPER 30S BY MID AFTERNOON. THE HIGHERELEVATIONS...ABOVE 2000 FT...OF NORTH GEORGIA WILL REMAIN BELOWFREEZING LONGEST...LIKELY THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...ORFREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FORSLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILEDRIVING.&&$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 considering how dry the nam has been with this system, it's an improvement. I still feel like the models are too warm. Nam for example has temps right at freezing near gainesville with a dewpoint in the low to mid teens when precip starts yet temps don't really respond after it starts. Of course we have to actually have enough precip to actually do the job but assuming we do, tenps should fall back to around 28 or 29 and stay there through the night. Afterwards, light freezing precipitations could fall much of the night. What i've been wondering about is if we are still at freezing thursday morning when more appreciable precip moves back in. We won't have a fresh influx of cold air so latent heat release would cause a rise in temps but could mean a few more hours of light freezing rain thursday morning and making for some slick conditions. 100% agree. I have been hugging the CMC on this event. It's the coldest and wettest unless I have missed some other modeling somewhere. I personally see more of the 2014 snOMG storm that happened and left all those people sitting on I-75. Light precip but the surface temps were cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 100% agree. I have been hugging the CMC on this event. It's the coldest and wettest unless I have missed some other modeling somewhere. I personally see more of the 2014 snOMG storm that happened and left all those people sitting on I-75. Light precip but the surface temps were cold. Eight hours of driving and then a two hour, 6 mile walk... Let's not have that happen again please. I think temps will be rebounding as soon as the precip lightens up or stops so we shouldn't have too much to worry about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 RAHTHERE WILL BESUFFICIENT MOISTURE TO SQUEEZE OUT SOME PATCHY DYNAMICALLY DRIVEN SNOWSHOWERS. THE WEST COULD SEE SNOW SHOWERS BY EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH A QUICKTRANSITION TO THE EAST...AND THE SHOWERS TAPERING OFF IN THE NORTHEASTBY AROUND 8 PM.VERY DRY LOW LEVEL AIRMASS SHOULD LIMIT ACCUMULATIONS DUE TOEVAPORATION...BUT SOME AREAS ARE LIKELY TO SEE A FEW TENTHS OF AN INCH.THIS WOULD NOT NORMALLY BE A PROBLEM...BUT ANTECEDENT ROAD AND GROUNDCONDITIONS ARE COLD AND SLICK SPOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON BRIDGESAND OVERPASSES...ESPECIALLY IF TRAFFIC COMPACTS THE SNOW TO A THIN LAYEROF ICE. HIGHS TOMORROW WILL BE IN THE MID 30S ACROSS THE NORTH TO UPPER30S IN THE SOUTH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 The weather channel gave this a name, you know it's go time now!! All in for my inch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
todd03blown Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 The weather channel gave this a name, you know it's go time now!! All in for my inch! Heck yeah! Pushing all the chips into the center of the table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
todd03blown Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Looks like the southern trend is still happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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