nj2va Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 12z GGEM ensemble mean is 7-8" for DCA it would appear Right in line with 12z GEFS. I'd imagine Euro will follow suit based on last night's EPS mean of 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Right in line with 12z GEFS. I'd imagine Euro will follow suit based on last night's EPS mean of 6". Must be a few monster members in the individs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Eurowx snow map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Eurowx snow map. 2003 snow map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 1000% WRONG analog 2003 snow map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 1000% WRONG analog Could be. But the snow maps sure look alike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Eurowx snow map. Looks ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 your sense of geography is off DT must have a different definition of "way south" than I do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I like the fact that the UKMET and Euro are on the same page. Killer combo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Bad for Richmond = wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Hate to even compare to one of the all time great storms but this one has the feel of Jan 1996. We'll see how things change over the coming days, still a long way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 this one cannot get more identical and given 82-83 was a strong el nino RIC got 17" in that of course I was living here then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Wow, that would be the biggest storm ever in Pittsburgh. I get screwed with 25" </Ji> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 nope its not Hate to even compare to one of the all time great storms but this one has the feel of Jan 1996. We'll see how things change over the coming days, still a long way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17, 2016 Author Share Posted January 17, 2016 1000% WRONG analog OK, but it would be better if you took time to explain it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 this one cannot get more identical and given 82-83 was a strong el nino RIC got 17" in that of course I was living here then wow.jpg Yeah. That one looks good as well. Hell. I'll take either one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 your sense of geography is off not to mention how 2003 happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I like the fact that the UKMET and Euro are on the same page. Killer combo. yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17, 2016 Author Share Posted January 17, 2016 this one cannot get more identical and given 82-83 was a strong el nino RIC got 17" in that of course I was living here then wow.jpg I don't see why the whole global environment has to match for it to be a good analog. What about regionally. I would have thought 03 or 10 would have been good matches for the track of the low and transfer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 DUDE I have been on the feb 1983 analog for days which was one of the biggest snows of alltime for MOST of the middle atlantic you ***hole who gives a **** about RIC ?of course that area will get screwed (look at the last 20 years) in fact if the low does go over se va RIC COULD actually dry slot Bad for Richmond = wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 your sense of geography is off Aside from the Euro being farther north along the East Coast than the GFS, you're totally right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Aside from the Euro being farther north along the East Coast than the GFS, you're totally right. gfs_z500_mslp_us_22.png ecmwf_z500_mslp_us_7.png Euro is a lot slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Euro is a lot slower. Yup...12-18 hours slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 this one cannot get more identical and given 82-83 was a strong el nino RIC got 17" in that of course I was living here then wow.jpg I would tke 83 in a heartbeat. 16 inches in southwest CT. Ps never believe Bridgeport snow total reports always approx. 20 percent light Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RussellJohnson Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 How long does the snow last on the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Just curious how much snow was he calling for in his Winter Weather Outlook? I have no clue because I have not read it at all it is a lack of time honestly. I know he called for a colder snowier second half but I don't know numbers. I have to problem with DT just busting him for that one post a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I don't think DT likes them, but some of the 12z GGEM individ ensembles members at 138 and 144 are just silly with their QPF and SLP placement/strength Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Yup...12-18 hours slower.Which would mean what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Which would mean what?It is starting 12-18 hours later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I need to regroup after this weekend. I said the 0z model run would be the one that would bring me all in. That is up next. 6/18z do not count. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.