AlaskaETC Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 This map is NSFW!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Positives: ALL the models now show major storms, none of that stupid cut off low or sheared out messes on any of the runs really. They all show potential of a MECS/HECS and a big time ULL.... Negatives: The shortwave associated with our storm is out in the Pacific somewhere. Long way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jviper Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Is it too early for the bus? Who has the keys? Probably won't start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Angela T Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 One with pretty numbers Thank You!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 One with pretty numbers Well, if we must have the perfect run 5-6 days out, at least there is some breathing room on those snow maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Porn for sure but the sig storm odds increasing daily. Love that the euro rolls up from underneath as opposed to the gfs rolling across. Both are good hits either way. Sweaty palms for 72 hours...Looks like an agonizing week coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I thought we can't post Euro maps per the license agreements between EMCWF and WxBell? Not trying to be a downer or anything, but just curious for my understanding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Ratios will be higher too....deform will be like 15:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Positives: ALL the models now show major storms, none of that stupid cut off low or sheared out messes on any of the runs really. They all show potential of a MECS/HECS and a big time ULL.... Negatives: The shortwave associated with our storm is out in the Pacific somewhere. Long way to go. Yeah....looonnngggg wweeeeekkk ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Wow! A Euro run where I do better than the North and West people. Like that will really happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Ratios will be higher too....deform will be like 15:1 Ratio talk at 140+ hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I thought we can't post Euro maps per the license agreements with WxBell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Ratios will be higher too....deform will be like 15:1 Haven't had a follow up ull since Feb 2010. 6 years. Feb 2014 was hit and miss. I got 3" or so but RIC area raked it. I love UL dynamic snow like Trump loves attention Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Ratios will be higher too....deform will be like 15:1 I was just thinking that. A storm of this magnitude is gonna have some sick Meso banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 WORD OF CAUTION IN WX BELLS SNOW MAPS they measure sleet as snow for DC PH CHO NYC NJ BOS this is not an issue euro wx which uses the Kuchera evan snow algorithm does not do thiat and as a result it has only 8" for RIC whereas RIC on the wxbell has 15-17" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 LMAO! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I thought we can't post Euro maps per the license agreements between EMCWF and WxBell? Not trying to be a downer or anything, but just curious for my understanding.When it shows an HECS there are no rules. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 WORD OF CAUTION IN WX BELLS SNOW MAPS they measure sleet as snow for DC PH CHO NYC NJ BOS this is not an issue euro wx which uses the Kuchera evan snow algorithm does not do thiat and as a result it has only 8" for RIC whereas RIC on the wxbell has 15-17" I thought they fixed this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 What do you think? Could this be a pretty good signal? ummm...it's certainly not a bad signal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I'm gonna enjoy these cold days leading up to this. Cold is king in this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 As if this run isn't great on its own? Fast Times at Ridgemont High is on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 The one thing we all ask for and let me say the Euro is a great run tonight. Hopefully, we see this hold. The good thing is that in the big picture here the models are showing a big storm later next week. Let's hope we see this trend toward a big winter storm as we approach next weekend. The key will be can we must some ridging over the West Coast, where that big system further and south of Alaska kind of holds, maybe pumps the ridge. At the same, hoping this system in the East can dig and deepen. Don't want to see things too progressive. Plus, the critical timing, especially what DT mention in his video tonight. Oh yeh, the snowfall maps on the Euro look mighty nice. Anyway, finally, we are heading in the right direction. Anyway, just my quick thoughts here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 well if you look at RIC areas this snow map does NOT match the one at wxbell I thought they fixed this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 When it shows an HECS there are no rules. lol Checked out the winds...sustained in the teens but with some gusts up to 40. Fun to dissect this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 The one thing we all ask for and let me say the Euro is a great run. Hopefully, we see this hold. The good thing is that in the big picture here the models are showing a big storm. Given how this season has gone, we know the drill. Let's hope we see the strong trend toward a big winter storm. The key will be can we must some ridging over the West Coast, where that big system further and south of Alaska kind of holds, maybe pumps the ridge. At the same, hoping this system in the East can dig and deepen. Don't want to see things too progressive. Oh yeh, the snowfall maps on the Euro look might nice. Anyway, finally, we are heading in the right direction. 100% agree....I know people are on edge right now, since we've been teased over the last few weeks. However, this is the first time in this time frame where we've seen models trend in the right direction for us. Across the board every model has a huge storm. Ignore the exact track and that is the basic signal; big storm coming....How it will play out? We won't know for a while, but we got something to track officially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I thought we can't post Euro maps per the license agreements between EMCWF and WxBell? Not trying to be a downer or anything, but just curious for my understanding. I wasnt sure but was too excited not to. And like ravensrule said, HECS = anything goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Just a quick tidbit. The wave associated with our storm looks like it will come on shore next Wednesday. So I imagine by then we'll start to get a clear idea if this is legit. So we technically gotta last 3 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Holy crap. The weenie maps on This Euro run remind me of the 2003 snow totals map. It is a crushing up the entire coast. And the biggest storm of my life for my area. It is good to have all of the major models on board now. A long week of model watching is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I thought we can't post Euro maps per the license agreements between EMCWF and WxBell? Not trying to be a downer or anything, but just curious for my understanding. For some people the rules don't apply. I've posted Euro maps from wxbell before and it got taken down but if you are special then you are allowed to post them it seems. I also asked a couple people why it was okay for some people to post them but got no answer lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I might be one of the few people who uses the actual ecmwf.int website to view the EURO (I have SV, but it is jammed tonight)... There actually looks like there would be another storm developing on the Day 10 EURO lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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