Bob Chill Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Euro para is a sweeter setup with lp in the Carolinas and off the coast. No same latitude transfer like the gfs. I'll hug euro para until something better comes along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Ggem looks like GFS @ 144 hrs sweet HP but its pretty wrapped up Im at work but I imagine there would be a sweet thump Bob you talking 00z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 I'd lock up the 12z GFS.... wish it wasn't a week away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windman18 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 No shortage of precipitation but Temps are borderline on the CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 More rain for those of us between I-95 and the Bay it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 The players will be ot the table way before 7 days so it's only about 4 days until we will know what our cards look like. A long duration event would be sweet and tracking it would be a blast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 At least we're cool with the idea of a lumbering closed low today. I don't like the overall look for the lowlands... but i'll go with it. It looks like the kind of setup that could produce big for the mountains. The way this winter has gone I am willing to travel to see a good snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 I don't like the overall look for the lowlands... but i'll go with it. It looks like the kind of setup that could produce big for the mountains. The way this winter has gone I am willing to travel to see a good snow event. Me either but I'm willing to roll the bones it may end up a little more SE....be curious to see if ensembles hate it or not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Me either but I'm willing to roll the bones it may end up a little more SE....be curious to see if ensembles hate it or not White rain for our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 White rain for our area The entire event? No way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 The entire event? No way It's pretty warm in the bl 34-36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 It's pretty warm in the bl 34-36 Yeah. It won't look exactly like this as you know. But I could see rain at your house. I am further north toward 29 so I will surely stay all snow....yes indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Bob you talking 00z? Yea, 0z para euro is solid on all aspects. Track, temps, precip all in line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Yeah. It won't look exactly like this as you know. But I could see rain at your house. I am further north toward 29 so I will surely stay all snow....yes indeed. Lol the info I'm giving you is from Manassas airport...North of you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Lol the info I'm giving you is from Manassas airport...North of you! When it starts winding up, it will bring in and create it's own cold air. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 The entire event? No way he moved to a less favorable snow location from where he used to live. He is going to a troll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 he moved to a less favorable snow location from where he used to live. He is going to a trollI'm not so sure yet brother...I'm in a pretty rural area...gonna be interesting to compare with your stats...plus I'm actually further west than you...near Fauquier And I've already gauged the Bristow runs warmer than here due to UHI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Lol the info I'm giving you is from Manassas airport...North of you! Right. Although the airport is south of me. I am close to Gainesville up Vint Hill road. It won't matter anyway. Not that it matters but if it looks real I will probably see you at the ABC store. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 12z Gefs honing in on the possibility. Still spread out and enough temp problem solution to give pause but starting to narrow things. 6-7 solutions with over 6" and another handful of 2"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Right. Although the airport is south of me. I am close to Gainesville up Vint Hill road. It won't matter anyway. Not that it matters but if it looks real I will probably see you at the ABC store. Deal! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 12z Gefs honing in on the possibility. Still spread out and enough temp problem solution to give pause but starting to narrow things. 6-7 solutions with over 6" and another handful of 2"+ Question... Is the high building in or are we dealing w a retreating airmass? The latter was ok last year bc we had cold all around but this year I'm hoping we aren't dealing w elevation snows aka snow and quick changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 That 12z UKIE map to my eyes is the best map weve seen all winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Looking @ the HP and isobars the Ukie would probably be an awesome storm for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Looking @ the HP and isobars the Ukie would probably be an awesome storm for usAs long as it comes up the coast and doesn't hug it on the way north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Question... Is the high building in or are we dealing w a retreating airmass? The latter was ok last year bc we had cold all around but this year I'm hoping we aren't dealing w elevation snows aka snow and quick changeover.MSLP panels look really good irt hp in SE Canada. Best look all year by a mile and we're talking d5-7 now for that feature. If slp doesn't go north of our latitude to the west it seems increasingly likely we get snow out of this even if a mixed event. I'm pretty happy with the 12z Gefs. Seems focused on lp tracking up from the SE and not as far north as the gfs op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 MSLP panels look really good irt hp in SE Canada. Best look all year by a mile and we're talking d5-7 now for that feature. If slp doesn't go north of our latitude to the west it seems increasingly likely we get snow out of this even if a mixed event. I'm pretty happy with the 12z Gefs. Seems focused on lp tracking up from the SE and not as far north as the gfs op. im partially rooting against the storm. I have a guitar gig saturday and sunday that i really dont want to miss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 CMC on tropical tidbits looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 im partially rooting against the storm. I have a guitar gig saturday and sunday that i really dont want to missThen stay home and play some blues instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 im partially rooting against the storm. I have a guitar gig saturday and sunday that i really dont want to miss You are a very strange person Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 At least we're cool with the idea of a lumbering closed low today. Not sure that's true. Yesterday it kinda parked longer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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