Joshfsu123 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 6z Para GFS looks like a solid hit... starts at Hour 153 and ends at Hour 177... similar to 6z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 On 1/16/2016 at 3:41 PM, Joshfsu123 said: 6z Para GFS looks like a solid hit... starts at Hour 153 and ends at Hour 177... similar to 6z GFS. Max snowfall stripe is similar to yesterday's 12z Euro-Para, albeit with a different evolution of the outcome. Verbatim it gives DC 7-8" with max stripe S&E of DC to the eastern shore. Sharp cutoff north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 So far @ 72 hours the shortwave about to crash into the NW US which is eventually our storm looks more like the 6z GFS than it does the 00z. So good trend so far The wave isn't as strong as the 6z run, but it is certainly stronger than 00z & the 6z PAR GFS looks lovely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 6z para has a near perfect h5 progression. Even though snow totals are similar to the euro para, the progression is much different. And better for a real chance. Too bad we aren't inside of 100 hrs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Suppression likely won't be the issue this run, either a bowling ball into coastal perhaps, an inland runner, or it gets sheared. I kind of like the look through 129. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windman18 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 The high pressure up in Canada is stronger this run. 1028-1030 from eastern Canada to the plains. Last run was 1025-1026. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 It looks a tad more wrapped up than 6z, but the HP is still locked in so I could see a thump upcoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Beautiful CAD @ 144 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Just a little bit too far west..... Very close the something huge.Actually might get something as it heads east. I-81 and 70 miles west get destroyed, NW Suburbs are snow to rain to snow, good accumulations, Eastern Shore is all rain and maybe thunder. GGEM is similar, Northern MD north of Baltimore gets a paste bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 On 1/16/2016 at 4:15 PM, NinjaWarrior2 said: This could be a great run, secondary low developing in Eastern SC. Temps are borderline N/W suburbs get plastered. Looks like surface temps are marginal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 While we wait for the 12z GFS, 00z Euro-Para just came out on WxBell. It's a solid hit with a 990 low off the NC/VA border. ETA: Verbatim DC 6", N&W 6-12"+, Balt 8", Williamsburg/Northern Neck 8-12", CHO bullseye 20". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Maryland and N VA getting pounded at hr 168. Deform band builds and spins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBlitzkrieg Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 On 1/16/2016 at 4:20 PM, nj2va said: While we wait for the 12z GFS, 00z Euro-Para just came out on WxBell. It's a solid hit with a 990 low off the NC/VA border. does NYC/LI get anything or is it too far south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 For the first time this entire winter we have various op runs showing possible snow storm scenarios inside of 7 days. Gfs was 100 miles away from being a huge hit. H5 closed off just a but early. But that sort of detail isn't worth dissecting at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 12z GFS depicts a typical nino MECS - inland gets crushed with 1'+ while the cities get 3-6" of slop. Not that anybody would complain about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 On 1/16/2016 at 4:22 PM, SnowBlitzkrieg said: does NYC/LI get anything or is it too far south? http://www.instantweathermaps.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Close enough at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 road trip to Canaan... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 On 1/16/2016 at 4:28 PM, WestminsterDeathband said: road trip to Canaan... Was just thinking that.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 I'd definitely be jumping if the GFS was right. But off a building instead of in the thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Id certainly road trip for a huge closed off ULL like that NW of wherever that sets up wow.... HP is a beauty too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 On 1/16/2016 at 4:35 PM, Ian said: I'd definitely be jumping if the GFS was right. But off a building instead of in the thread. Right where we want it at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Some of you aren't getting the hints Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 In all seriousness, this is probably the best we could hope for right now. THere's a storm. And for 7 days out, it's close enough. If this were day 3 and not a year where the models are doing funky things at every run, then I'd seriously be kinda of bummed. But there's plenty of reason for excitement on these last 2 runs of the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Wish it was within 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yuki neko Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 On 1/16/2016 at 4:43 PM, Wonderdog said: Wish it was within 5 days. Wish there was more cold air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 On 1/16/2016 at 4:44 PM, yuki neko said: Wish there was more cold air I think a better track would allay your cold air concerns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Ggem looks like GFS @ 144 hrs sweet HP but its pretty wrapped up Im at work but I imagine there would be a sweet thump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 At least we're cool with the idea of a lumbering closed low today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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