mimillman Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 There are a couple decent-looking clipper systems that impact the subforum during this time period. It looks like they favor the southern portions of the subforum as of now, and agreement among all global guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Is this one of the systems you're referring to Mimillman? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Is this one of the systems you're referring to Mimillman? Yeah I'm guessing. 12z guidance and more so the NAM a little more bullish/north with a wave trying to develop along the arctic front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 Is this one of the systems you're referring to Mimillman? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 NAM continues to advertise widespread high-ratio light snows. The GFS remains south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Hey, at least it's something to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Arctic fronts that develop waves often surprise. No guarantees though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Next Tuesday/Wednesday just got more interesting for the south part of the subforum on the 0z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 15, 2016 Author Share Posted January 15, 2016 Next Tuesday/Wednesday just got more interesting for the south part of the subforum on the 0z GFS. Don't worry, this will move north with time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Next Tuesday/Wednesday just got more interesting for the south part of the subforum on the 0z GFS. Bring it on! Model picking up on IL LES on the backside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Don't worry, this will move north with time. Just like almost every other storm this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Don't worry, this will move north with time. I wish, but not this time. 1025ish high floating over the Lakes rules the roost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 first wave riding the arctic front sunday is trash...pass tues/wed period is more interesting with kind of a hybrid look, smells like an I70 special right now EDIT: on the plus side, a miss just south might allow for some decent LES given still warm lake temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 12z GFS back to a more substantial I70 system, should get STL on the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 GGEM total snowfall for/thru early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 0z NAM is decent and north of the GFS with the tue/wed system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 0z NAM is decent and north of the GFS with the tue/wed system Anticipating a snowy week before the warm up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Last 24 hours of the 0z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Last 24 hours of the 0z NAM. Looks like a nice 2-4" event. Whiten everything up again. Side note, I have no science to back this, but it seems like the last few years these clippers tend to over perform. Maybe it is some surplus from the snow magnet, but I like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Looks like a nice 2-4" event. Whiten everything up again. Side note, I have no science to back this, but it seems like the last few years these clippers tend to over perform. Maybe it is some surplus from the snow magnet, but I like it. I agree. They have always tended to 'overproduce' as compared to other types of synoptic systems. It may be the models' inability to account for the amount of moisture available or correctly calculate ratios, I don't know. I do know I like seeing them modeled because it almost guarantees flakes will be flying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 12z GFS a respectable event for many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 12z GFS a respectable event for many Yeah probably one of the better runs for northern IL. DVN projecting 20:1 LSRs which would fluff up to a nice 2-4" event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Not bad at all. Noticed a nice east to northeast wind fetch across the lake after 78 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 ^ nice band slicing through E. Central Illinois, W. Indiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 near unanimous moves north/stronger with this on the 12z GEFS, good sign system 2 looking like a punt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Euro north of 0z run with first system but not like GFS yet. Has about .20" luquid along/south of I-88 with more south and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Euro north of 0z run with first system but not like GFS yet. Has about .20" luquid along/south of I-88 with more south and west let's keep the baby steps going should be our best ratios of the season so it would be nice to get .3-.4 liquid even better would be a more well defined slp and some lake enhancement but that's still a ways off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 17, 2016 Author Share Posted January 17, 2016 let's keep the baby steps going should be our best ratios of the season so it would be nice to get .3-.4 liquid even better would be a more well defined slp and some lake enhancement but that's still a ways off I don't think we can get much more than 0.2 out of this. I hope I'm wrong, but even so the antecedent airmass is quite dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 ^ nice band slicing through E. Central Illinois, W. Indiana. hey at least for us it's coming through during the night so that should help us (with ratios) rather than having it come through during the day...looks like a solid 3-5" event as of right now which I would gladly take considering I've only seen 0.7" the whole winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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