NWNC2015 Posted July 29, 2016 Share Posted July 29, 2016 Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 2h2 hours ago Pennsylvania, USAMuch more concerned about 97L possible impact than 96L Think by Sunday, it will have the most attention Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted July 29, 2016 Share Posted July 29, 2016 euro and gfs agreeing on better development in the gulf of america once the invests get there. they are moving at 30mph so making good progress over the Atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted July 30, 2016 Share Posted July 30, 2016 Jim Cantore @JimCantore 3m3 minutes ago#97L is the one I'm watching. Nothing special....yet. Still on track for unsettled Wx for the Leewards this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted July 30, 2016 Share Posted July 30, 2016 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is moving westward at 20-25 mph. Associated shower activity is poorly organized, and given the fast motion of the system any development should be slow to occur. Regardless of development, this system will likely bring showers and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the eastern Caribbean Sea during the weekend. By the middle of next week, the wave is expected to be in the western Caribbean Sea, where conditions could become more conducive for development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 30, 2016 Share Posted July 30, 2016 23 hours ago, NWNC2015 said: euro and gfs agreeing on better development in the gulf of america once the invests get there. they are moving at 30mph so making good progress over the Atlantic where the heck is that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 Starting to see some nasty tracks trying to avoid central America and escape into the boiling waters just south of the great United States. The SHIPS and two other models take this to major hurricane status, however, the majority DO NOT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 First guess is Texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 Long range GFS is bursting with activity for August. Hurricane in the Gulf, two or three storms in the Atlantic heading towards the Bahamas, all in addition to 96/97L for early August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 euro/gfs pretty much agree on the ridging over the east coast...which argues against 97L impacting anywhere from Louisiana to Florida. Texas still need to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 Looking like the models favor a southern track, Belize even.....HWRF had 962 into Belize.....and has been trending south, yesterday it was just south of Cancun..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted August 1, 2016 Author Share Posted August 1, 2016 @NHC_Atlantic 46m46 minutes ago An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance plane is scheduled to investigate the Caribbean wave late this afternoon. #97L Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 12z gfs fails to develop the system. laughable. I think Belize will see a Cat1 hurricane. Odds of anything higher than that around 7%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted August 1, 2016 Author Share Posted August 1, 2016 Nate Johnson @nsj 5m5 minutes ago Hurricane Hunter had been investigating this area near Jamaica, but had to abort due to mechanical issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bhs1975 Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 looking good on satellite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 Really nice DMAX right, if the plane was in it I wouldn't be surprised to see it go straight to TS..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted August 2, 2016 Author Share Posted August 2, 2016 Recon is in the system now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RubiksDestroyer Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 Looks like 97L is now officially Earl. NHC says they'll have advisories out by noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 Looks like 97L is now officially Earl. NHC says they'll have advisories out by noon.Hello Earl! 45mph 1001 mb Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 Congratz EURO on good initialization and forecast past several days. GFS/CMC not doing so hot with Earl. Something about the Caribbean (think Sandy) EURO just outdoes the rest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted August 3, 2016 Share Posted August 3, 2016 So that makes all 5 storms we have seen making landfall...anyone else noticing this? There's no meteorological way we can go the whole season like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted August 3, 2016 Share Posted August 3, 2016 Pretty decent blow up this am of the CDO around Earl. Would suspect some hurricane force winds close to the center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 3, 2016 Share Posted August 3, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RubiksDestroyer Posted August 3, 2016 Share Posted August 3, 2016 47 minutes ago, NavarreDon said: Pretty decent blow up this am of the CDO around Earl. Would suspect some hurricane force winds close to the center. Yup. Wouldn't be surprised at all if Recon finds hurricane-force winds: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted August 7, 2016 Share Posted August 7, 2016 Wow. Hurricane season is looking dead. Only potential looks like the Gulf system or the one off the SE coast, but other than that models aren't showing anything over the Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted August 7, 2016 Share Posted August 7, 2016 Why is it always so dry in the tropics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted August 7, 2016 Share Posted August 7, 2016 48 minutes ago, metalicwx366 said: Wow. Hurricane season is looking dead. Only potential looks like the Gulf system or the one off the SE coast, but other than that models aren't showing anything over the Atlantic. MJO will be back after 1-2 weeks. Would rather have it closer to the peak than early August to see a parade of storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted August 7, 2016 Share Posted August 7, 2016 59 minutes ago, NWNC2015 said: MJO will be back after 1-2 weeks. Would rather have it closer to the peak than early August to see a parade of storms. Would rather not see it at all!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted August 7, 2016 Share Posted August 7, 2016 3 minutes ago, pcbjr said: Would rather not see it at all!!!!! I would GLADLY take a tropical storm hitting the Fla panhandle and moving up the Appalachian mountains since it looks like that's the only way it'll ever rain here again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted August 12, 2016 Share Posted August 12, 2016 GFS hinting at some action in the deep tropics later in its run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted August 13, 2016 Share Posted August 13, 2016 what happened to the canes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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