WeatherFeen2000 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 The GFS 12z just scraped us with a few inches let's see if we can trend this a bit more west cause it's definitely cold enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 This is definitely a watcher and it's right at/inside Day 5! Hoping there are some gfes hits. GFS OP is close. Boston gets nailed. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 While it peaks my interest, we're going to need support from the the ensembles and other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 While it peaks my interest, we're going to need support from the the ensembles and other models. Some hits on the 6z gefs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 The 12z GEFS mean is a bit SE of the OP but many individual members are inside of the OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 The 12z GEFS mean is a bit SE of the OP but many individual members are inside of the OP. Interesting. Thanks for the update! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Not on GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 UKMET has the storm but it looks pretty far East. Hard to tell since it's 24 hour panels at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 The 12z GEFS mean is a bit SE of the OP but many individual members are inside of the OP. Good to hear. Let's see if the Euro jumps on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Need more interaction with that PV swinging down. Manage a partial capture and you get a slower system closer in. Manage a full capture and you get something like Feb '78 minus the huge high. I'm not buying in at this point, but definitely worth watching. If we see the Euro shift a bit closer, it'll be a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Good to hear. Let's see if the Euro jumps on board. If the GFS is onto something don't expect the euro to show a hit. You're looking for "trends" the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 If the GFS is onto something don't expect the euro to show a hit. You're looking for "trends" the next few days. Yep that's all I'm looking at this point in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 The 12z GEFS mean is a bit SE of the OP but many individual members are inside of the OP. And strong members Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Eastern areas cash in like usual as had been the case past few years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Eastern areas cash in like usual as had been the case past few years Don't make me wash your mouth out with soap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Don't make me wash your mouth out with soap Sorry, couldn't resist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Yeah....the Euro sends the storm to Cuba. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Is the Euro solution,as extreme that it is, realistic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 We need to stop making threads for storms outside of 120 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 We need to stop making threads for storms outside of 120 hoursAgreed. Although this non event is within 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 the biggest question is why there is a separate thread for these 2 dates when the only model showing any real threat is one of the most unreliable ones for east coast storms - the GFS OP-and one unnamed Boalsburg PA resident plus we still have the 15th- 16th storm in front of it...better idea is to combine these posts into the 15th - 16th tread IMO Gefs shows the storm along with the ukie offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 We need to stop making threads for storms outside of 120 hours Its not past 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 This is very much a threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 This is very much a threat. It's somewhat of a threat. Euro was disheartening for me, pretty much no amplification. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 GEFS shows maybe a few flurries if that--- its mainly well offshore - Euro is more reliable then GFS for east coast storms and the EURO isn't biting Did you see the members? They either show a hit or just offshore. I agree with snowski. This threat is alive. Just need timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 So you are saying the Euro is going to come around to the GFS idea ??? 5 -6 days out ? I think it's possible, the Euro likes to bury these disturbances. That's still a lot of time; models are struggling with multiple waves amuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 GEFS shows maybe a few flurries if that--- its mainly well offshore - Euro is more reliable then GFS for east coast storms and the EURO isn't bitingIt had over an inch for us, but is mainly skewed by a few amped up members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 It had over an inch for us, but is mainly skewed by a few amped up members. I think a mean in this situation is useless, individual members are more telling. A couple big hits and the mean looks decent, even if the vast majority are way OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 which is misleading Dude, we get it, you don't want to discuss the potential during this period. Leave the forum, and go do something else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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