FLweather Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Yeah looking at the meso. Before all said and done... Looking atm in the future SLP should run south of Talla FL to JAX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 It's already stronger than forecast and it's throwing precip northward a good bit. This thing... Man it feels like we should all be preparing for a foot If only we could get colder temps and not be so borderline. Alot of people say like me in upstate will see lots of snow fall to melt as soon as it hits the ground. But if I see it fall, I consider that a win here in upstate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguysc Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Nice looking WV loop here, looks awesome. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/sc/h5-mloop-wv.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I don't think it is going to be that much, but I remember looking at the radar before leaving work the night the Jan 25, 2000 storm thinking how is all that moisture to the south going to miss us like it was forecasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Don't get too excited guys. Even if it trends wetter and stronger, temps and the fast-moving nature of the storm will severely limit any snow potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Oh yeah our main issue is the fact that it's in and out in like 4 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Here's what you guys might want to focus on. Look at the 500mb charts and you can see some stream interaction occurring. This is key to getting the low to beef up. Now: 2 hours ago: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Low develops more east on the 00z NAM than the 18z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 4K nam certainly has no shortage of precip. Wral futurecast has nw Raleigh near the airport all snow. Edit: 4K nam also throws heavy returns even farther west than 18z, into central sc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 4K nam certainly has no shortage of precip. Wral futurecast has nw Raleigh near the airport all snow. You can just feel how the r/s line will once again bisect the county. Like death & taxes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Then hr 15 nam sends the heavy returns up into central nc, whoever can get all snow will get a period of nice snowfall tomorrow morning as it pulls away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 It's coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSU2005 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 4K nam certainly has no shortage of precip. Wral futurecast has nw Raleigh near the airport all snow. Edit: 4K nam also throws heavy returns even farther west than 18z, into central sc How's the QPF look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I hate to say it but with the progress from aloft you can see the r s line through ga into sc in nc. Its riding the interstate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 More than likely lee side is in skipping along I 20/85/40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveVa Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Rain/snow line should go straight through HR, but with temps in upper 30s and low 40s I can't even hope for accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lookingnorth Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 You can just feel how the r/s line will once again bisect the county. Like death & taxes. I just hope the county it bisects is Wake, not Durham or Orange. I'd feel a lot better about this storm if I lived in, say, Roxboro. The RAP shows the northern triangle getting a few hours of snow but no accumulations. The HRRR has the snow line bisecting Durham and Orange Counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 More than likely lee side is in skipping along I 20/85/40 9 times out of 10 that's how it works here in the upstate. If you above 85 you see winter weather, if you below 85 you see rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Funny you mentioned the hrrr. To me looks like I85 special south and cold chasing moisture I just hope the county it bisects is Wake, not Durham or Orange. I'd feel a lot better about this storm if I lived in, say, Roxboro. The RAP shows the northern triangle getting a few hours of snow but no accumulations. The HRRR has the snow line bisecting Durham and Orange Counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawgs Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 What's happened to the analysis on what's going on? Water vapor loop, phase, tilt, anything? I'm a long time lurker and appreciate all the great insight....just wondering what happened tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 You can see the glory band forming in AL already! It's now cast time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dawgs Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 You can see the glory band forming in AL already! It's now cast time! Based on what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 So I assume the glory band in AL wasn't forecasted on the models? If so, then that means we'll probably get more precipitation everywhere than previously thought, which is a good thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Based on what?Radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 9 times out of 10 that's how it works here in the upstate. If you above 85 you see winter weather, if you below 85 you see rain. Used to be that way, but over the past 15 years it has been the state line instead of 85. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Used to be that way, but over the past 15 years it has been the state line instead of 85. I disagree it still happens more times than not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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