packfan98 Posted January 16, 2016 Author Share Posted January 16, 2016 Here is the precip max chart from the nam: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Interesting to see the precip estimates ramping up. Anyone happen to know how the NAM and SREF did with yesterday's system which overperfromed? More precip is good, but I don't see the temps being there for most outside of elevation. Still 59/60 here and I already see a few clouds rolling in from the SW. That is not a good recipe for wintry weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Here is the precip max chart from the nam: hmmm so maybe I shouldn't go to wnc. Doesn't look like much precip there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 hmmm so maybe I shouldn't go to wnc. Doesn't look like much precip there They'll still see the most snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Raleigh says... Near term /today/...as of 1215 PM Saturday...Temperatures had already 'soared' into the 50s by noon acrosscentral NC...downstream of a lead surface cold front that remainedpinned in the Blue Ridge. High temperatures have consequently beenraised into the range of middle 50s to lower 60s...which willfurther warm already-mild soil temperatures that were measured inthe middle 40s to 50 degrees earlier today - not good foraccumulating snow potential Sunday morning...despite slightly higherliquid equivalent totals per the latest 12z model data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 hmmm so maybe I shouldn't go to wnc. Doesn't look like much precip thereI was wondering the same thing. I see predictions for 1-3 and 2-4 for the mountains and I don't see that much precip for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 hmmm so maybe I shouldn't go to wnc. Doesn't look like much precip there I had thought about going to gainesville today/tonight since i'm fairly confident it will be cold enough from atlanta to gainesvlle northwest to see flakes, if they fall, but now not sure if it's worth the effort. Especially since there is a chance they could actually be just to the north of that banding feature and that's your best bet outside the mountains to see anything falling heavy enough to enjoy the view, even if it's only for an hour. HRRR/experimental hrrr, in general puts that stripe down where the nam has it....generally along or just south of i-85 into the upstate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillerA Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Shot of futurecast Charlotte weather team. Check out @Wx1sCLT's Tweet: https://twitter.com/Wx1sCLT/status/688464917851066368?s=09 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieBlizzard Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 A band a little further N on the HRRR puts some of NW GA in the action. That would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 RAH is still playing safe. Which is completely the thing to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 NWS GSP is putting all their chips on the table... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 NWS GSP is putting all their chips on the table... As conservative as they are I'm surprised they ain't showing rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 man, latest rgem looks good for rdu. mostly snow. gotta be close enough to smell the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 here she comes, down to 1004mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calm_days Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 yes..! it is a very interesting feature to watch form and on the weekend too so there is more time to see it develop before going to sleep then waking up and seeing what is actually going to happen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 yes..! it is a very interesting feature to watch form and on the weekend too so there is more time to see it develop before going to sleep then waking up and seeing what is actually going to happen! WOW! Look at those upper clouds too it's south absolutely tearing northeast. Goodgrief Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 16, 2016 Author Share Posted January 16, 2016 It's hard to believe after seeing the radar and satellite loop with what looks like the stj kicking in that we are trying to scrape out a tenth or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 It's hard to believe after seeing the radar and satellite loop with what looks like the stj kicking in that we are trying to scrape of a tenth or two. It sure looks ripe for picking! To be just trying to get tenth or so? Gotta believe it over performs for somebody in central/eastern NC. Good luck everybody that's wanting some flakes!!! ⛄️ Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparkync Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 It sure looks ripe for picking! To be just trying to get tenth or so? Gotta believe it over performs for somebody in central/eastern NC. Good luck everybody that's wanting some flakes!!! ⛄️ Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk cool how the moisture blossoms north of the low pressure!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 HRRR and WSI RPM (futurecast) are totally unimpressed for GA. I am also unimpressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 HRRR and WSI RPM (futurecast) are totally unimpressed for GA. I am also unimpressed. Too fast. Moisture blazes a trail right past you before the temp profile works in your favor. 4-6 hour window for anything, maybe less where temps are recovering from an early spring day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Got a comma head on Wv. This may have potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Meteogram 18z GFS says 2.9" snow for RDU http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/image_loader.phtml?site=krdu&nam=on&nam_mos=on&namm=on&gfs_mos=on&gfs=on&gfsm_mos=on&gfsm=on&nws=on&rap=on&obs=on&nam4km=on&con=on&ratio=11&max_t=on&cobb=on&compaction=on&mean_mt=on&max_mt=on&mean=on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparkync Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Got a comma head on Wv. This may have potential u beat me to it!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hartweather Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Got a comma head on Wv. This may have potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Meteogram 18z GFS says 2.9" snow for RDU http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/image_loader.phtml?site=krdu&nam=on&nam_mos=on&namm=on&gfs_mos=on&gfs=on&gfsm_mos=on&gfsm=on&nws=on&rap=on&obs=on&nam4km=on&con=on&ratio=11&max_t=on&cobb=on&compaction=on&mean_mt=on&max_mt=on&mean=on Shows same thing for GSP but I'm thinking that's a little high considering ground temps I'm in Pickens SC and we got to 59° today. So we would need to see some pretty hefty rates to overcome those ground temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 going to be so borderline with temps/rates and who gets a decent snow and who gets all rain. going to be a difference of a few miles either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 here she comes, down to 1004mb. Down to 1002mb now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Going to be further north and heavier than forecasted just like it has been since fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 It's already stronger than forecast and it's throwing precip northward a good bit. This thing... Man it feels like we should all be preparing for a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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