burgertime Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 00z GFS did a decent jump north with the energy compared to 18z...this isn't that far off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 precip shield looks north of 18z at 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 just off se la coast @51, maybe a tad north than 18z? Yes, and it's a bit quicker both at h5 and at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 def shift north at 57! this may be good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 def shift north at 57! this may be good Yep, this is a good trend...if indeed it becomes a trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 00z GFS has the low going over JAX...this run is really close to something bigger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Definitely came north. The North Carolina guys will like this run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 def nw trend here, throws more precip back into sc and nc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Woo-Hoo nice snow over NC @63...let's reel her in boys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Snow for N GA/NW SC/most of NC. Great shift. Decent snow going across C NC from hr 60-63. Accumulating snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Woo-Hoo nice snow over NC @63...let's reel her in boys.Lol! How's temps ? BL and 850s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 We're getting a phase with some northern energy and that's putting some energy right over NC...thus allowing the atmosphere to be wrung out...but it's not far off from something much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 and like always, within 72 hrs the nw trend kicks in, this time to our advantage. need the euro to tick north at 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Around .25 across central NC from CLT - GSO - RDU maxima of maybe .40 just north of GSO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Lol gone and back in 24 hours. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 pretty big diff. vs 12z and 00z...much more bundled and tilted better this run, and further north so far vs 12z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Lol! How's temps ? BL and 850s? 850's are more than fine. Surface temps are borderline of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 difference between 00z, 18z and 12z... 00z: 18z: 12z: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 difference between 00z, 18z and 12z... 00z: 18z: 12z: That's a trend if I've ever seen one. Euro will be interesting tonight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 00z doc could be epic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 difference between 00z, 18z and 12z... 00z: 18z: 12z: Let's see... Low further north, 540 line further south. Sounds like a plan! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Told you guys Just as I thought models all began to agree and now we have ALL models shifting north SLOWLY. Now the slow part of the trend is actually EXTREMELY encouraging. This isn't grasping at straws this is an ACTUAL NW trend inside 70 hrs... I expect the sampling tonight to continue the NW trend maybe see a bigger jump 06z 12z tmrw then that's it it will lock down PERFECT PERFECT PERFECT OH and BTW GFS is very very close to an actual phase and a low going up the coast. notice all the 500 energy that is showing up over NC.... that's some real interaction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 We have to get the max moisture wrung out from the up glide coming counter clockwise off the atlantic. Not only does the rise in topography create this reverse upslope enhancement off the atlantic, but should have a lee side trough in the piedmont somewhere I would think with the northern stream coming into play, almost like a cold front providing extra lift as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 We have to get the max moisture wrung out from the up glide coming counter clockwise off the atlantic. Not only does the rise in topography create this reverse upslope enhancement off the atlantic, but should have a lee side trough in the piedmont somewhere I would think with the northern stream coming into play, almost like a cold front providing extra lift as well. Yep, very interesting setup here if it plays out like that. I'm a little skeptical to jump all board with so much energy flying around. Still different options on the table...but usually when you get that kind of setup it can overperform due to all the dynamics of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 We have to get the max moisture wrung out from the up glide coming counter clockwise off the atlantic. Not only does the rise in topography create this reverse upslope enhancement off the atlantic, but should have a lee side trough in the piedmont somewhere I would think with the northern stream coming into play, almost like a cold front providing extra lift as well. Exactly. Notice the HP to the north has trended weaker that's a big player into our NW trend. Also the vort continues to come in stronger and stronger very interesting setup indeed Hey scroll up to Doppler's images. Check out the pressure fall up off the coast... She wants to turn so badly. Another trend like this and I think its up the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Lol! How's temps ? BL and 850s? difference between 00z, 18z and 12z... 00z: Looking at the soundings, this image looks fairly accurate to me. On the soundings, I'm seeing GSP as pretty much all rain. CLT is mostly rain. RDU looks like rain/snow mix. GSO pretty much all snow....that's GFS verbatim....don't know about recent sfc biases there with the model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 12z GFS run for 00z SUN: Tonights run for 00z SUN: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Here's a better view of the 00z RGEM at hr 48: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Looking at the soundings, this image looks fairly accurate to me. On the soundings, I'm seeing GSP as pretty much all rain. CLT is mostly rain. RDU looks like rain/snow mix. GSO pretty much all snow....that's GFS verbatim....don't know about recent sfc biases there with the model. How can it be rain in upstate with 850s in the -2 to -5 range and 2m temps in 30s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Chris these images you are putting together to show the real difference.. (maybe its the colors, idk?).. are amazing. Please keep it up. I see that new frame wanting to tilt negative.. (GFS) Tried to explain to the GF the other night with a computer chair what positive, neutral, and negative were and she saw better off the maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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