Brick Tamland Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Thread close! Euro king not really, the euro solution will probably end up farther away from reality than the gfs. 6z gfs para was less amped. Still some light snow for north ga and western NC. Can the Euro still be the king if it doesn't snow but the system ends up no where near as far south as the Euro was showing it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Nope, that wasn't my point. Just think it is silly saying there is no chance of snow that far out when a model is showing a chance just as much as saying it is definitely going to snow that far out. Fish is a meteorologist and not a modelologist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Fish is a meteorologist and not a modelologist. fishel is as good as it gets. guy is smart and called the temp issues before last years storm when we were all frothing at the mouth at the sref 12"+ totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Fish is a meteorologist and not a modelologist. Yeah, I know. I guess the smart thing is to say that on TV that far out even when the models do show something because most of the time it's still not going to work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wh_adkins01 Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Christmas storm a couple years ago comes to mind..room was littered with thrown towels "mine included".. Little NW trend action and boom. My babies watched a good snowfall for our first white Christmas. I'm giving this puppy till 0z before I cry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 No person or model can be declared a winner until Sat/Sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 6z gfs para improved NC snow totals: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Along the same lines of thought I posted this morning. Weather happens in current time and that time is still in the future. However, fun just tracking one No person or model can be declared a winner until Sat/Sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 A couple of inches here would be a big win with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Hard to tell whether 12z is going to be better or worse than 6z. Don't think we'll see any blockbuster though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 12z GFS has the PV a little further west...but also slows down the energy enough to where it basically is the same solution as 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 12z is a clear jump towards the euro. All hail the king Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Hard to tell whether 12z is going to be better or worse than 6z. Don't think we'll see any blockbuster though. worse than 06z. maybe some snow showers for parts of nc verbatim. low crosses central fl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 12z GFS has the PV a little further west...but also slows down the energy enough to where it basically is the same solution as 6z. All of the models have been shifting the PV to the west slightly. Shouldn't that help to allow our storm to turn the corner more...if we can actually get a storm to form? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Also not getting any interaction with the PV and the southern energy so you end up with just some flurries over eastern NC on Sunday. This one is about to be a in a body bag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 12z is a clear jump towards the euro. All hail the king Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk When posting statements like the one above, please reference the hour in question. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 When posting statements like the one above, please reference the hour in question. ThanksFor the " weekend system" I thought it was obvious given the thread title Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Well at least the 12z is trying to keep that energy going behind the Sunday dud...might do something after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 All of the models have been shifting the PV to the west slightly. Shouldn't that help to allow our storm to turn the corner more...if we can actually get a storm to form? The problem is our energy slowed down...so you end up basically with the same net result. We need the PV to stay somewhat northwest and the energy to speed up so that the PV doesn't catch up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I understand and agree. Just reads better when the HR is stated. Especially for those who do not have $$ speedy access to models outputs. For the " weekend system"I thought it was obvious given the thread titleSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I understand and agree. Just reads better when the HR is stated. Especially for those who do not have $$ speedy access to models outputs. I got ya sorry . Will do thanks Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Stick a fork in this one. When the GFS goes to the Euro solution at this range, there is no hope of a last minute save. Next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 The fat lady has sung. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 It's close for next Wed on the 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 It's close for next Wed on the 12z GFS. Guess it's time to go back to the January thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 It's close for next Wed on the 12z GFS. Need to wait for the Doc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 CMC moved north a little...low crosses at Daytona Beach...just light precip to the north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 12z is a clear jump towards the euro. All hail the king Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk This is what i was talking about earlier, both models were likely to be wrong..with the gfs overly amped/too far north while the euro too weak/too far south..yet only the gfs will be criticized and remembered for "busting" with absurd "euro is king" posts because flakes don't fly in someone's back yard. I hate to break it to some of you but just because your back yard does or doesn't get flakes, is completely irrelevant to which model was more accurate as a whole. The reality is this..if a track and precip shield similar to the 12z gfs pans out, the euro will have busted just as badly as the gfs did. the 12z run of the euro yesterday almost had it in the freaking northwest carribean at one point and despite the 0z run actually shifting north/trending toward the gfs, it still only managed to get the low to track between south florida and cuba with precip barely making it out of south florida. So to say the euro won anything is absolute nonsense. Both models ended up trending toward the other and meeting in the middle more or less...although an argument can be made the euro was even more off because it was so far south and crushed with the 12z run yesterday while the gfs only moved from northern to central florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Comments are awfully similar to the Christmas snow of 2010. One model was showing a phase and a storm while the other wasn't and then the model showing it lost the phase too...48 hours out and boom, models go back to phase solution. A phase is still very possible, chill out. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.