WinterWolf Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Estimating the start time?? No, that's the time the short-wave gets sampled I believe he is saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 No, that's the time the short-wave gets sampled I believe he is saying. It actually gets sampled much sooner....00z Friday is when the "potential Miller A" shortwave gets sampled...the system that is a longshot after the Saturday system. Saturday's shortwave gets sampled tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Oh ok, thanks for clarifying Will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 With regards to the 1/16-18 shortwaves, also considering that models often erroneously "pick" the leading s/w to be the primary developer in these scenarios. Still worth watching what happens with s/w #2, and think about the benefits of a squashed s/w #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 With regards to the 1/16-18 shortwaves, also considering that models often erroneously "pick" the leading s/w to be the primary developer in these scenarios. Still worth watching what happens with s/w #2, and think about the benefits of a squashed s/w #1 With regards to the 1/16-18 shortwaves, also considering that models often erroneously "pick" the leading s/w to be the primary developer in these scenarios. Still worth watching what happens with s/w #2, and think about the benefits of a squashed s/w #1 Squashing #1 brings a classic Miller A for many, but might ending up screwing NNE. Can we get 2 storms back to back or is storm 2 suppressed causing DC-NYC toaster baths? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2016 Author Share Posted January 12, 2016 It actually gets sampled much sooner....00z Friday is when the "potential Miller A" shortwave gets sampled...the system that is a longshot after the Saturday system. Saturday's shortwave gets sampled tomorrow. My mistake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2016 Author Share Posted January 12, 2016 Ukie Not a huge fan of the UK, though I can't see anything else. Hopefully it is really bombing at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Euro coming in colder...doing the ENE squeeze play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2016 Author Share Posted January 12, 2016 Euro coming in colder...doing the ENE squeeze play. Win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Here we go. Tick tick colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Maybe we score a touchdown and 2 point conversion this time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Euro coming in colder...doing the ENE squeeze play. Earlier transfer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Earlier xfer, 980mb off nj coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Still a decent blow up this way on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 964mb just east of Novie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Looks pretty warm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Earlier transfer? It gets shoved ENE a bit quicker...shortwave is opening up as it runs north into the block...that is a trend we'll have to watch. Still mostly rain for the CP...but interior gets a nice little grease bomb...esp NW of 495 and into Berks/Monads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Still a decent blow up this way on the Euro I don't look for snowstorms for THAT kind of satisfaction. Does it come far enough north for us to not be watching with envy yet again? Actually I wouldn't be surprised if this trends back and forth the next 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Going to be a lot of snow where it stays all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Crash 102, Boston! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Is it colder than 00z in the marginal areas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2016 Author Share Posted January 12, 2016 It gets shoved ENE a bit quicker...shortwave is opening up as it runs north into the block...that is a trend we'll have to watch. Still mostly rain for the CP...but interior gets a nice little grease bomb...esp NW of 495 and into Berks/Monads Dec 1996 run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 I don't look for snowstorms for THAT kind of satisfaction. Does it come far enough north for us to not be watching with envy yet again? Actually I wouldn't be surprised if this trends back and forth the next 2 days. Yeah, You look ok right now, But these ENE tracks once it gets near the BM is something that will have to be watched, Myself along with you and others, Would like to see this come further north before that would take place, Or, Just track NNE but thats always my concerns up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Is this correct? ECMWF is a nice hit for interior SNE high terrain. Warm boundary layer keeps low terrain rain. #patriots #cheifs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Losing hope down this way, the crappy antecedent air mass is just too much to overcome regardless of when the primary dies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Is there anything that can change to help the BL in SE MA? Or are we smoked down here no matter what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 It gets shoved ENE a bit quicker...shortwave is opening up as it runs north into the block...that is a trend we'll have to watch. Still mostly rain for the CP...but interior gets a nice little grease bomb...esp NW of 495 and into Berks/Monads The area between 84 and the Pike? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Is this correct? ECMWF is a nice hit for interior SNE high terrain. Warm boundary layer keeps low terrain rain. #patriots #chiefs South of pike is rain for a while before it flips. At 12z Saturday the 0C line at 850 is running from just SE of ORH to about Norfolk, CT. It is a detail that means very little though at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 South of pike is rain for a while before it flips. At 12z Saturday the 0C line at 850 is running from just SE of ORH to about Norfolk, CT. It is a detail that means very little though at this point. Just curious what it showed. That's from Meteotrade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2016 Author Share Posted January 12, 2016 I think N of the pike is trotting towards the end zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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