UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 It was probably discussed but I've been working, but that GGEM, is very interesting for interior sections Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Coastal low for Saturday storm, further south when it first develops, nearly to Florida border as far as its loaded though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Storms much further south this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I haven't seen a single model run that's similar lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 busted http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016011400&fh=54&xpos=0&ypos=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Nam 0z Sunday night system way more north at hour 84 much better spot than its last run fwiwLooks worse (and by a good deal to boot) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 The GFS actually shifted way NW, not that anyone here really gives a crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 The 12z RGEM also has a strong system tucked in with some frozen for the far interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 The GFS actually shifted way NW, not that anyone here really gives a crap Sweet I do. I think it's a good bet it snows at 3900' in Vermont!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 The Euro is well NW as well. Mostly everyone is over an inch of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 UKMET is tucked in too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 All I am interested now is game time conditions in Foxboro; slop to heavy rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Is it me or did the Euro really cool off for the saturday storm. Looks colder for inland areas and especially sne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 NAM looks mildly interesting for our far NW posters, it's really closer than some of you think, a little improvement and better dynamics will go a long way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 NAM looks mildly interesting for our far NW posters, it's really closer than some of you think, a little improvement and better dynamics will go a long way. Once you get about 20-30 miles inland surface temps are in the middle 30's with 850's around +1C. It's very close and if the system tracked just a bit closer to the coast with better dynamics it probably would induce some dynamic cooling. It also looks like the convection offshore associated with a possible second surface low is limiting the moisture on the NW side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 All the models have a very sharp cutoff around the GSP. Well over an inch Southeast of there and less than a half inch NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 The RAP which is still at the very end of its range shows quite the slug of moisture overhead early tomorrow morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Isentropuc. Think we can get some light snow with Sunday storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Isentropuc. Think we can get some light snow with Sunday storm? No, the baroclinic forcing is going to be well offshore. I think it passes well offshore and we're Sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 The 12z RGEM is going to be NW. I would weight whatever it shows very heavily at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Things starting to get interesting for the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 If I were the NWS, I would issue winter weather advisories for NENJ, NWNJ, POU, Interior SWCT and north for tonight and tomorrow morning. Rgem has continually showed ice/mix for these areas. The latest run keeps areas like POU 100% frozen. Will likely be a sneaky icy day for parts of the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 It's so close on the 12z GFS, especially just inland. Once about 20 miles inland the surface is around 34-35 with the rest of the profile around +1 to +2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Nice comma head. Already down to 996mb. I'll take the over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 The NAM is colder and 3mb deeper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 The over for what? Rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 The over for what? Rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Looks like the rain/snow line sets up very close to SWF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 This run is so close for the interior. The surface is in the mid 30's but 850's are actually below freezing to start for a lot of the area. I bet a lot of areas start as wet snow or sleet mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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