IsentropicLift Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 The GGEM is insane. Gets it down to the 950's NE of Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Given the evolution of the storm, even the winds are pretty meh.Need the coastal further West if you want the strong winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 98 had a bunch of storms like this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 98 had a bunch of storms like this I remember that winter like it was yesterday. Plenty of coastals but all warm. Major ice storm in upstate NY that winter as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Yeah. This is why I wasn't confident with this event. There are too many variables that's making this event difficult. If it's not the cold air, it's the storm track or vice versa. Now I remember. It was the winter of 1997-98 that this event reminded me of. Sent from my ASUS_Z00AD using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 I mean so far this winter is like an even warmer version of 97/98 taking December into account and this coastal is another example of that. But that doesn't mean it will play out the same for the 2nd half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 970 low on the benchmark and still rain up to central New Englad. WTF. This is friggin terrible. Time to throw in the towel Welcome to 1998. EDIT...read all the other '98 comments after I made this post. It's a bad dream repeating. However, this too shall pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 FOLKS as I said in other forums the development of the PRIMARY Low that depends to 992mband makes it as far North as Buffalo is the kiss of deaththis is NOT a case of of 1007 mb low that dies once it crosses the Ohio River and there is no HIGH to the north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 970 low on the benchmark and still rain up to central New Englad. WTF. This is friggin terrible. Time to throw in the towel On winter j/k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 after that euro run I'm officially checking out on this threat, goodnight all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 after that euro run I'm officially checking out on this threat, goodnight allUKMET was just as ugly too. The show is over say goodbye... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbolt Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 UKMET was just as ugly too. The show is over say goodbye...did the show ever begin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poleshiftnow Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 I can't believe you guys are giving up so early. I remember in Dec 2008 a storm all the models were showing a rain event until the last 2 days and all the models flipped around at the last second. All give it till Friday but the trends tonight look fav not giving up yet,this storm has a few surprises left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 yeah that 06 gfs is really close to heavy wet snow even for the city on the back end,i would still say all rain but with weather you'll never know,esp if dynamic cooling takes place which is what i'm seeing in this run.remember it can snow at 33 -35 degrees with a cold pool of air aloft and heavy enough precip falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 yeah that 06 gfs is really close to heavy wet snow even for the city on the back end,i would still say all rain but with weather you'll never know,esp if dynamic cooling takes place which is what i'm seeing in this run.remember it can snow at 33 -35 degrees with a cold pool of air aloft and heavy enough precip falling. The 06z is like the 18z's whacky girlfriend. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 I have no idea why you would give up on this storm if you lived in the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 after that euro run I'm officially checking out on this threat, goodnight all Euro is more progressive than the other models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Granted it is the 6 Z GFS. But when looking at the model, it seems to indicate the interior may flip to snow at some point as the storms pulls up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Granted it is the 6 Z GFS. But when looking at the model, it seems to indicate the interior may flip to snow at some point as the storms pulls up the coast. Your biggest chance might be if the strom is more tucked in and cranking so you get some dynamic cooling, the models show it to an extent with places further south getting snow while some further north are getting lighter precipitation and rain (it's still a big time long shot though) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 13, 2016 Author Share Posted January 13, 2016 12z NAM much colder and a lot of N NJ is snow/mix for the majority of the storm. Although the coastal passes well east and we miss the heavy precip out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 rain Wont be much with the latest trends of the western pac ridge collapsing with the barrage of pacific vorts. NAM barely has any precip into our area now as the flow is super fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 rainMaybe for you, but some of our posters live on top of Mount Washington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 The Southern stream is even faster on the 12z GFS as compared to 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 One positive is that the ridge out West is stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 The GFS is definitely going to be East of 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Only light precip makes it into the area. The track is well offshore and it's still too warm for snow anywhere near NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 A little more spacing and you might lose the coastal all together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 The trailing southern shortwave is slower this run so maybe the northern stream will be able to catch up. That's our best chance at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 A little more spacing and you might lose the coastal all together.The primary pretty much goes north of us and is still pretty strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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