dryslot Posted January 11, 2016 Author Share Posted January 11, 2016 It's going to be basically all snow for most NW of BOS-PVD...that precip algorithm is probably pessimistic near BOS...esp essex county. It certainly colder back to the west so it should be more snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 I'll stick with my 1-2" for you lol I'd mention you wouldn't be surprised if some places in NE and NW Ct ended up with 3 or 4 on air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Yeah I'm liking the general trend on this one the past 24h...and they often sneak better in the final 24h too when the vortmax goes south of us. We'll see though...wouldn't shock me if there was a surprise band of S+ for an hour or two somewhere that gives some 3"+ amounts. That vortmax is key though...need it south and to stay a bit consolidated. Most guidance shows this sans the GFS which continues to be a disorganized mess with the strongest piece going well NW...which is why it keeps giving us the weakest solutions. Meso models look pretty good at 18z. 4KM NAM really had a nice burst too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston Bulldog Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 I'll take that RGEM and run for the (Blue) Hills! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 950 Tw at BOS is close to -1C. That's close to being all snow. Maybe a 34-35F snow as it starts. The only thing is that I've seen low level warmth win out by a degree or two on s winds..especially this time of year. Still, such low thicknesses..it gives me something to think about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Day shift be like Yeah, I especially like the carve-out of coastal Cumberland and Sagadahoc from the watch. I understand the general idea, but that seems like an odd mix of caution and precision at this stage. Good luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 BTV went all in... I think this is quite optimistic. My point and click has 4-9"...in town, not at elevation. Tuesday Snow likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 26. South wind 6 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Tuesday Night Snow. Low around 18. South wind 6 to 9 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Wednesday Snow showers likely, mainly before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 20. West wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 4km NAM is a quick hitting Paster FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Hoping to steal an inch or two here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 4km NAM is a quick hitting Paster FTW Looks nice if I stay snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston Bulldog Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 When does the precip first arrive? Tuesday PM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Box just cut WAY back on their map. Well, percentage wise I guess. Not talking big nominal changes to go from 1 to <1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Love me some RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Box just cut WAY back on their map.Who cares..look who on desk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Who cares..look who on desk. I don't know who they are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Wow at the RGEM! Tough forecast for this one. I'm on tonight and am probably going to go c-1 for most in CT with 1-2 north, but there's a part of me that wants to go c-2/1-3 Lollies to 4. These events are where the rgem shines and I feel like we usually see them tick a little wetter/stronger in the final runup as opposed to the other way. Confidence isn't high enough to put that on a map though so c-1/1-2 it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Wow at the RGEM! Tough forecast for this one. I'm on tonight and am probably going to go c-1 for most in CT with 1-2 north, but there's a part of me that wants to go c-2/1-3 Lollies to 4. These events are where the rgem shines and I feel like we usually see them tick a little wetter/stronger in the final runup as opposed to the other way. Confidence isn't high enough to put that on a map though so c-1/1-2 it is. go conservative tonight and if mesos are good 6z go Major Tom Ziggy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Wow at the RGEM! Tough forecast for this one. I'm on tonight and am probably going to go c-1 for most in CT with 1-2 north, but there's a part of me that wants to go c-2/1-3 Lollies to 4. These events are where the rgem shines and I feel like we usually see them tick a little wetter/stronger in the final runup as opposed to the other way. Confidence isn't high enough to put that on a map though so c-1/1-2 it is. Yeah I'm not sold on the rain start even at BOS. It looks darn cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Thing is you can't up them in the morning. The night forecasts are what the public sees , remembers and goes by . Safe call now is 1-3 with potential for 4+ in elevated areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Thing is you can't up them in the morning. The night forecasts are what the public sees , remembers and goes by . Safe call now is 1-3 with potential for 4+ in elevated areas I wake up as most do check the weather and go to work. Most hear the car radio and go with that. My Doctors nurse told me that exact thing today when I said it probably will be snowing tomorrow for her commute. Unless its a morning storm people listen tonight then check in the AM, still 18-24 hrs before start time,also people don't care if its 1 inch or 4, same commute result. If it were me Id hit the heavy squall angle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 NAM 4KM at BOS has like 60ubs of lift lol. That is a lot, although it's like 60-90 minutes of fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteLawns Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 I wake up as most do check the weather and go to work. Most hear the car radio and go with that. My Doctors nurse told me that exact thing today when I said it probably will be snowing tomorrow for her commute. Unless its a morning storm people listen tonight then check in the AM, still 18-24 hrs before start timeWeather info is so accessible these days. So people have access to it all day long. Someone can just pull out their phone and volia! They see the weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 I wake up as most do check the weather and go to work. Most hear the car radio and go with that. My Doctors nurse told me that exact thing today when I said it probably will be snowing tomorrow for her commute. Unless its a morning storm people listen tonight then check in the AM, still 18-24 hrs before start time,also people don't care if its 1 inch or 4, same commute result. If it were me Id hit the heavy squall angleThe car radio? I don't know anyone that goes by that . Most aren't listening to FM radio in 2016. If they were, they heard Maxons forecast from last Friday this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 The car radio? I don't know anyone that goes by that . Most aren't listening to FM radio in 2016. If they were, they heard Maxons forecast from last Friday this morning I do only when snow is in the forecast WBZ and WCBS am. Wonder how you listen to Boomer and Carton? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 The car radio? I don't know anyone that goes by that . Most aren't listening to FM radio in 2016. If they were, they heard Maxons forecast from last Friday this morning Still plenty of peeps stuck in traffic driving to work listen to 1010 wins ( NYC news) or WBZ 1030 ( BOS news ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Still plenty of peeps stuck in traffic driving to work listen to 1010 wins ( NYC news) or WBZ 1030 ( BOS news )when you dont leave the house unless its transportation for kids listening to teeny bopper tunes its hard to get a grasp on the common man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 when you dont leave the house unless its transportation for kids listening to teeny bopper tunes its hard to get a grasp on the common man.I just listen to podcasts. Rarely the radio other than some sportsAnyways. Blizz sniffed this one out and we can pay him on the later. But there is a maximum this will get to 2". 4". I doubt anyone in SNE gets more than 3 but maybe Conifer Connection gets the 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 I do only when snow is in the forecast WBZ and WCBS am. Wonder how you listen to Boomer and Carton?AM 660 once in a blue moon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ApacheTrout Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Who cares..look who on desk. Show a little more respect for the professionals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Show a little more respect for the professionals. Jeter tips his cap to you ol' timer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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