USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 925mb layer briefly gets above 32F, so the layer that warms won't be high enough to cause heavy rains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Hoping for a big snowstorm in Nova Scotia Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 925mb layer briefly gets above 32F, so the layer that warms won't be high enough to cause heavy rains And 950 is supposed to get to +2oC, so I say good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 925mb layer briefly gets above 32F, so the layer that warms won't be high enough to cause heavy rains Unless you leave the cape for this you're cooked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Yeah there is a second shortwave in the flow with the PV that heads through this region on The 14th could that system bring any snows now that the cold air is established? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 So what it rains for a bit then it snows why is that so hard to admit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 So what it rains for a bit then it snows why is that so hard to admit If you get more than cat paws with nothing on the ground I will be in shock. Reality is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 So what it rains for a bit then it snows why is that so hard to admit I'm not sure anyone is saying it won't snow, but they are saying accumulations aren't to be expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Man when will get snow? I know it's not supposed to be a big year for snow on the coastal plain but the models have shown a very good pattern which throws out all of the forecasts for a bad winter if a good storm can happen, OceanStWx, what about that second clipper it's on the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Maine is really where I would be excited. Big stakes there. where in ME? I'm in Biddeford, but it still seems to start a bit to late even for SE/ME, idk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 where in ME? I'm in Biddeford, but it still seems to start a bit to late even for SE/ME, idk. I'd be most excited from the Midcoast to Downeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Man when will get snow? I know it's not supposed to be a big year for snow on the coastal plain but the models have shown a very good pattern which throws out all of the forecasts for a bad winter if a good storm can happen, OceanStWx, what about that second clipper it's on the models I get the feeling. A lot of us feel the same way. Not sure it helps, but there are some of us who live in places that average three times what you average and we have nothing to show for this winter either. Many of us also largely missed out last year. And the year before that too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 I'd be most excited from the Midcoast to Downeast. What I thought, I'm to far S! Got a 7" surprise last time with 1-3" forecasted! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 I'd be most excited from the Midcoast to Downeast. I'd guess you can be pretty confident that that area will be shoveling. A good place to be. Anticipating c-1" out this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2016 Author Share Posted January 10, 2016 I'd be most excited from the Midcoast to Downeast. The usual suspects, Nice prelim map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 The BOX map looks different than what I see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 I'd be most excited from the Midcoast to Downeast.Figures. No love for us. I hate norluns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... CONFIDENCE IS GROWING IN AT LEAST A MODERATE IMPACT SNWFL EVENT FOR PARTS OF THE AREA LATE TUE INTO WED. AS MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS...A POTENT S/WV TROF WILL CROSS THE NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE EXTENDED. THE TROF RACING THRU THE GREAT LAKES WILL BECOME NEGATIVELY TILTED CROSSING NEW ENGLAND...LEADING TO EXPLOSIVE STRENGTHENING OF LOW PRES IN THE GULF OF ME. THE TROF PASSAGE ITSELF WILL LIKELY BRING WIDESPREAD SN SHOWERS TO THE AREA. THE RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF SFC LOW PRES COULD BRING SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS TO PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA. AS UPPER TROF AXIS ALIGNS NW TO SE...THE SFC MAY TAKE ON A BIT OF AN INVERTED TROF LOOK NW OF DEVELOPING LOW PRES. BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE ONSHORE...TRANSPORTING MOISTURE TOWARDS THE COAST. THIS RELATIVELY HIGH THETA-E AIR BEING DRAGGED NWD HELPS DESTABILIZE THE LOW LEVELS. THEN AS MID LEVEL LIFT INCREASES WITH DEEPENING LOW PRES...THE COMBINATION OF INGREDIENTS COULD LEAD TO A SHORT DURATION...FOCUSED...INTENSE SNWFL RATE EVENT. ALL GLOBAL MODELS HAVE TRENDED TOWARDS A CONCENTRATED BAND OF PRECIP LIFTING NE ALONG THE COAST...THOUGH THEY DIFFER ON WHERE IT FORMS. FOR NOW ANYWHERE ALONG OUR COAST SHOULD KEEP AN EYE ON THE FORECAST...BUT MOST LIKELY DEVELOPMENT WOULD BE FROM PWM ON NEWD. HAVE INCREASED POP TO CATEGORICAL IN THESE AREAS...AND INCREASED QPF AND AS A RESULT OF THAT SNWFL AMOUNTS. GIVEN THE HIGH IMPACT WX TODAY...NO HEADLINES ARE PLANNED AT THIS TIME BUT A WINTER STORM WATCH IS A POSSIBILITY IN FUTURE FORECAST UPDATES. BOUNDARY LAYER MAY WARM A LITTLE TOO MUCH NEAR THE IMMEDIATE COAST...SO TOTALS ARE SLIGHTLY LOWER THERE. GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF DYNAMICS ALOFT...THIS TYPE OF SOLUTION GUIDANCE IS SHOWING SEEMS ENTIRELY PLAUSIBLE AND REASONABLE. STRONG CAA AND GUSTY WLY FLOW FOLLOW IN ITS WAKE LATE WED. UPSLOPE SN SHOWERS WILL LINGER IN THE MTNS. BEYOND MIDWEEK THE PATTERN REMAINS IN PLACE...WITH A WRN CONUS RIDGE...ERN TROF...AND ACTIVE SUBTROPICAL JET. WITH SPLIT FLOW AND PIECES OF POLAR VORTEX ENERGY PINWHEELING ACROSS THE NRN TIER...MODEL GUIDANCE IS WAFFLING QUITE A BIT RUN TO RUN. THE MORAL OF THE STORY IS THAT AS THE S/WV TROFS CROSS THE AREA SN SHOWERS WILL BE MORE LIKELY...BUT THERE REMAINS CHANCES THAT PHASING INTO A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM OR TWO OCCURS AND BRINGS A MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIP EVENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... I take it you aren't in Central NY? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Figures. No love for us. I hate norluns Where do you live? There's no where in Maine on that map with less than 3". Huge win this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Where do you live? There's no where in Maine on that map with less than 3".Sorry, didn't mean to imply we'd get nothing. One of these days it would be nice to jackpot. After 2" RN and 50f, I'm a little irritable atm. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2016 Author Share Posted January 10, 2016 Sorry, didn't mean to imply we'd get nothing. One of these days it would be nice to jackpot. After 2" RN and 50f, I'm a little irritable atm. Lol. Forget it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Forget it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 EPS mean looked even better than the op for NH/SW ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 The BOX map looks different than what I seeMe too...but regardless, c-1 for CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2016 Author Share Posted January 10, 2016 EPS mean looked even better than the op for NH/SW ME. Euro seems to be the most bullish the last couple runs, It had been meh up until then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 I take it you aren't in Central NY? Just moved, Nov 1st, and haven't had the time to do anything, like changing my location. Still have house in CNY so its still a back and forth thing. Now I get to experience both LE and Real Storms, lol!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Box has min 1 likely 2 and Max 2 for here would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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