OceanStWx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Well we do have TTs around 60. For those about to rock... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2016 Author Share Posted January 12, 2016 For those about to rock... ltg3_t3sfc_f18.png Youv'e been, Thunderstruck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Sweet. Why did NWS have to mess with their website so much? Trying to look at probabilistic snowfall and all you get now is a small little pop-up map. I want a more detailed one like we used to have. Has it moved again? http://www.weather.gov/gyx/winter Mine blow up to full screen when you click on them. Maybe a screen or browser issue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 W of the valley should do ok...the CT valley itself isn't looking so hot...but maybe up toward hippy it will be ok. Going to be a screw zone between the (1) strengthening "squall" line that hits BOS and (2) the squalls that are starting to show up on the later frame of the mesos for the berks after 8-9pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2016 Author Share Posted January 12, 2016 Mine blow up to full screen when you click on them. Maybe a screen or browser issue? The ones under the seasonal weather tab go full screen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 For historical purposes; this mornings AFD from BOX: AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA952 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016.SYNOPSIS...LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO WILL REDEVELOP IN THE GULF OFMAINE TONIGHT AND INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES INTO THE MARITIMESWEDNESDAY. THIS STORM WILL BRING ACCUMULATING SNOW TO THE INTERIOROF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...WITHRAIN ENDING AS SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE COAST. WINDY AND COLDCONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW LATER TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. COLDAND DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THURSDAY...THEN TEMPERATURES MODERATE BYFRIDAY. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL LIKELY AFFECT THE REGIONSOMETIME THIS WEEKEND. HOWEVER...THE TIMING AND PRECIPITATIONTYPES REMAIN UNCERTAIN.&&.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON/...PATCHY CLOUDS OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND INCLUDING AN AREA OVERTHE OCEAN SPREADING NORTHEAST OVER CAPE COD AND ISLANDS. EXPECTCLOUDS OVER NEW YORK TO OVERSPREAD OUR AREA THIS AFTERNOON.COMPOSITE RADARS AND SURFACE OBS SHOW THE LEADING EDGE OF SNOWOVER WESTERN NY AND CENTRAL PA MOVING EAST. TREND WOULD BRING THISTO THE CT VALLEY AROUND 3-4 PM...BOS-PVD AROUND 5-6 PM.ADJUSTED HOURLY TEMPERATURES COOLER A FEW DEGREES BASED ONOBSERVATIONS...BUT TRENDED CLOSE TO ORIGINAL FORECAST HIGH TEMPSLATER TODAY.12Z NAM SHOWS TOTALS OF 50 INTO THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST 4-7PM WITH HIGHER VALUES OVER EASTERN NEW YORK. MID LEVEL LAPSE RATESINCREASE TO 6.5 TO 7.5 IN WESTERN MASS/CT DURING THIS TIME. THISMAY AID IN DEEPER MIXING IN ANY HEAVIER PCPN IN THESE WESTERNAREAS THIS EVENING DURING RUSH HOUR. WINDS FORECAST 25-35 KNOTSAT 2000-5000 FEET AGL. THIS WIND COULD BE BROUGHT DOWN TO THESURFACE IN GUSTS WITHIN SOME SHOWERS...CREATING BRIEF POOR VSBYS.&&.SHORT TERM /2 PM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...*** A PERIOD OF SNOW WITH LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW SQUALLS LIKELY ACROSSINTERIOR SNE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING ***A RATHER POTENT MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL BE MOVING E FROM THE GTLAKES AND APPROACHING NEW ENG LATE TODAY. MODEST LOW LEVEL JETDEVELOPS AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE WITH DEEPENING MOISTURE IN THECOLUMN AND LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT. THIS WILL RESULT IN APERIOD OF SNOW DEVELOPING IN WESTERN/CENTRAL MA AND N CT MID TOLATE AFTERNOON. PRECIP REACHES COASTAL PLAIN TOWARD EVENING ANDALONG AND E OF THE BOS-PVD CORRIDOR TO THE COAST...EXPECT PRECIPTO BEGIN AS RAIN AS SOUTHERLY FLOW WARMS THE BOUNDARY LAYER. THISIS A DYNAMIC SHORTWAVE WITH GOOD MID LEVEL COOLING LEADING TO VERYSTEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF 7-8 C/KM. THE STEEP LAPSE RATESCOMBINED WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF STRONG OMEGA IN THE SNOW GROWTHREGION SUGGESTS A FEW LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW SQUALLS LATE TODAY ANDEARLY EVENING WITH BTV SNOW SQUALL PARAMETER TARGETINGWESTERN/CENTRAL MA AND PORTIONS OF N CT. ALSO CANT RULE OUTTHUNDER GIVEN THE STEEP LAPSE RATES AND TT NEARING 60 AND HI-RESGUIDANCE TARGETS SE MA FOR BEST CHANCE OF A TSTM.LOOKING AT SNOW ACCUM AROUND 1-2 INCHES WEST OF I-95 WITH LOCALLYUP TO 3 INCHES HIGHER TERRAIN OF CENTRAL AND W MA AND CANT RULEOUT AN ISOLD 4" AMOUNT IN ANY HEAVY SQUALL. SNOW AND LOCALLYHEAVY SQUALLS WILL IMPACT THE EVENING COMMUTE...ESPECIALLYCENTRAL/W NEW ENG WITH POTENTIAL FOR POOR VSBYS AND SNOW COVEREDROADS...WITH THE SNOW AFFECTING END OF THE COMMUTE ACROSS WESTERNSUBURBS OF BOS. RAIN IN THE COASTAL PLAIN ALONG AND EAST OF BOS-PVD THIS EVENING WILL END AS A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW SHOWERS 00-03ZTONIGHT BUT LITTLE OR NO ACCUM IS EXPECTED. CONSIDERED AN ADVISORYFOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN BUT HELD OFF AS AVERAGE SNOWFALL SHOULDFALL SHORT FOR MAJORITY OF THE AREA. ISSUED SPS TO COVER THISEVENT.PRECIP ENDS FROM WEST TO EAST THIS EVENING. AS SECONDARY LOW PRESINTENSIFIES IN MARITIMES...STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOPLATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY IN STRONG COLD ADVECTION PATTERN.SOUNDINGS SUPPORT WIND GUSTS TO 40-45 MPH AND POSSIBLY UP TO 50MPH. WIND ADVISORIES WILL NEED TO BE CONSIDERED. GENERALLY DRYWEATHER WITH PTSUNNY SKIES EXPECTED WEDNESDAY. COLD AIRMASS WITH850 MB TEMPS DOWN TO -15C TO -16C WILL LEAD TO HIGHS IN THE20S...TO AROUND 30 IN THE COASTAL PLAIN. STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE ITFEEL LIKE THE TEENS...AND SINGLE NUMBERS HIGHER ELEVATIONS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 For those about to rock... ltg3_t3sfc_f18.png heavy heavy shoveling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Some? 4k NAM, HRRR, RAP, RGEM... It looks even better than yesterday. 6pm-9pm for us. It looks to me as if it trended cooler at the surface too. The minute the snow starts to come down heavy... Flips. Paste. I know you weren't trying to down play but wow.. It almost looks like windex on roids. Subtle, but important, differences between the NAM 12 and 4km versions in Bufkit. 4km is slightly cooler at a place like GYX. Instead of getting to +3 at 2 m it gets to +2. Even greater difference at BOS. 12km is +2, and 4km never gets above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Maybe another severe thunderstorm warning in January? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Subtle, but important, differences between the NAM 12 and 4km versions in Bufkit. 4km is slightly cooler at a place like GYX. Instead of getting to +3 at 2 m it gets to +2. Even greater difference at BOS. 12km is +2, and 4km never gets above freezing. Yeah, it's going to be awesome later tonight IMO. Even if its only a few inches. When it comes down that quick it has significant impact... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 We pound SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 1120 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 CTZ002>004-MAZ002>012-014-015-026-122200- HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA- EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA- WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA- WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA- SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA- NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION... VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD... ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE... GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON... SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...AYER 1120 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 ...snow will affect the afternoon commute in much of southern new england... snow will begin in western new england around 3 PM or 4 PM and should reach northeast massachusetts by 6 pm. locally heavier snow squalls are possible across north central and northeast massachusetts, including routes 2 and 3 as well as interstate 495. commuters should be aware of the potential for low visibility and snow covered roads, especially those heading into southern new hampshire. most places will pick up an inch or two of snow by the time it ends early tonight, but locally as much as 3 or 4 inches of snow could accumulate in the higher elevations of north central massachusetts. plan on extra travel time for the afternoon commute. slow down and adjust your driving for winter weather conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Mine blow up to full screen when you click on them. Maybe a screen or browser issue? That page uses the typical jQuery lightbox. On your average 15" monitor, you only have about 660 pixels of vertical height which causes jQuery to resize the image. Makes the scale/valid period/image generation time unreadable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 That page uses the typical jQuery lightbox. On your average 15" monitor, you only have about 660 pixels of vertical height which causes jQuery to resize the image. Makes the scale/valid period/image generation time unreadable. Way over my head, but not surprised at all that this wasn't thought of beforehand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Where is this set up on July 4th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Where is this set up on July 4th? EML.jpeg Sun's out. Castellanus sighted. We tor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 1/28/10 Redux Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 1/28/10 Redux It's possible...though that is a tough one to beat. There were widespread 3-5" amounts in that in central/western MA down into N CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Had 3.5 from that one. That was the one with thunder reported all at once from Southington to Manchester to Tolland up thru Sturbridge. I recall all the posts almost simultaneously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 It's possible...though that is a tough one to beat. There were widespread 3-5" amounts in that in central/western MA down into N CT. One of my favorite recent events. I am thinking maybe it's little brother? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Hrrr looks RGEM ish, follow up behind main line getting pretty interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Hi-res stuff all likes the idea of blowing up the inflow jet around NE MA/SE NH and sweeping it north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 The city proper probably won't hold onto frozen too long but I am close to the airport, 20 miles inland so might squeak in the warning minimum. Any amount is a win with that track and an ESE wind direction. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk I could see another inch maybe there. Makes sense. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Looks like I will be up late tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Looks like I will be up late tonight What is the reason for that late night line that goes from you up to me and Gene? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 What is the reason for that late night line that goes from you up to me and Gene? vorticity/inflow,instability Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Light snow starting to fall now at the mountain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 vorticity/inflow,instability vorticity/inflow,instability didn't know that would persist after the main band. Would be awesome. Saw a few flakes drift down here a few minutes ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2016 Author Share Posted January 12, 2016 16z HRRR lining up with the RGEM it seems on qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 16z HRRR lining up with the RGEM it seems on qpf hrrr_t_precip_maine_16.png We eat that up with 0.4" on Mansfield lol. 20:1 ratios I should lock in an 8-spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2016 Author Share Posted January 12, 2016 We eat that up with 0.4" on Mansfield lol. 20:1 ratios I should lock in an 8-spot. Those 20-25:1 ratio fluff bombs will do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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