Gilbertfly Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 .10 for most of LOT and .15 QPF for most of Will County on the RGEM...I dig 20 to 25 : 1 ratios... Winds should make this fluff blow pretty good too...not to mention the glaze on everything around right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 1.7 in my hourly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 I got 1.4" in my hourly. Latest from LOT. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL920 PM CST SUN JAN 10 2016.UPDATE...852 PM CSTAFTER A COLD NIGHT...CONCERNS ARE FOCUSED ON OUR NEXT SNOWEVENT...SET TO ARRIVE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. TYPICALLY THIS CLIPPERWARM AIR ADVECTION SNOWS TEND TO DEVELOP A BIT QUICKER THAN THEMODELS SUGGEST. WITH SOME RATHER IMPRESSIVE ISENTROPIC UPGLIDELIKELY TO DEVELOP OVER THE AREA ON MONDAY IN RESPONSE TO APPROACHINGDISTURBANCE...I AM PLANNING ON UPPING POPS SIGNIFICANTLY AND ALSOUPPING SNOW ACCUMULATIONS A BIT. WITH THE COLD AIRMASS IN PLACE THEDENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE WILL BE FAIRLY DEEP (POSSIBLY UP TO 10,000FT). THEREFORE...MOST OF THE FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL BE WITHIN THISFAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC ZONE...LIKELY RESULTING IN HIGH RATIO TYPESNOWS...POTENTIALLY IN EXCESS OF 20:1. ALL IN ALL THIS LOOKS TORESULT IN UP TO AN INCH OR SO OF FLUFFY SNOW BY EARLY MONDAYEVENING...WHICH WOULD LIKELY SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT THE AFTERNOONRUSH. WITH SNOW CONTINUING INTO MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW TOTALS OF 1 TO3 INCHES ARE CERTAINLY NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION WITH THIS SYSTEMINTO TUESDAY.ALSO GIVEN THE DRY NATURE OF THE SNOW...ONCE THE WINDS PICK UP ONTHE BACK SIDE OF THE SYSTEM ON TUESDAY...BLOWING SNOW COULD BECOMEAN ISSUE.WILL BE SENDING OUT UPDATES SHORTLY.KJB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 0.5" in the hourly here. Last 1"+ snow was back in mid Nov. NE IL > NW IL every snow system per usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Should be able to pick up 1-1.5" out of the Monday-Tuesday portion. Think this could be a bit underdone...would not be surprised if we break 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 3" final call for mby. Could go a bit higher with LES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 IWX went for a watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 0.5" in the hourly here. Last 1"+ snow was back in mid Nov. NE IL > NW IL every snow system per usual. i've gotten more sleet than snow this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 2-3" looks to be the consensus for this one. I wouldn't be surprised if we approach 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 DTX talking 20-1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 mood dust for the commute later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 11, 2016 Author Share Posted January 11, 2016 DTX talking 20-1 ratios. DTW over/under set at 2.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 DTW over/under set at 2.5" Over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjk254 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Solid AFD from Sam Lashley of IWX. Has ratios 15:1 to 18:1: SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FROM FAST MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEM AND LAKE EFFECTSNOW PRIMARY CONCERNS THIS SHORT TERM PERIOD.LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUE THIS MORNING ACROSS MAINLYMICHIGAN COUNTIES WITH WESTERLY FETCH AND SHALLOW MOISTURE. AS LOWLEVEL FLOW BACKS TODAY WILL SEE THESE SNOW SHOWERS SHIFT TO A SW TONE ORIENTATION PRIMARILY AFFECTING BERRIEN AND NORTHERN CASSCOUNTIES. VISIBILITIES OVERNIGHT HAVE BEEN IN THE 1 TO 3 MILE RANGEAND EXPECT WEAKENING TREND AS WARM AIR ADVECTION MOVES IN. ANYADDITIONAL ACCUMS SHOULD BE UNDER AN INCH.SHORT WAVE DIVING THROUGH NORTHERN PLAINS THIS MORNING WILL BERESPONSIBLE FOR BACKING THE LOW LEVEL FLOW TODAY. WEAK WARM AIRADVECTION AHEAD OF IT ALREADY PRODUCING CLOUDS OVER IA AND IL. THESEWILL SPREAD EAST TODAY AND EXPAND ACROSS THE AREA. ISENTROPIC LIFTTO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AS SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF SHORT WAVEINCREASES. LEFT FRONT REGION OF SMALL 60KT 500MB JET STREAK WILL AIDIN DEVELOPMENT OF SNOW LATE AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. STRONGER PVANOMALY WILL QUICKLY FOLLOW FIRST TONIGHT WITH STRONGER MID ANDUPPER LEVEL JET SUPPORT AS CYCLONICALLY CURVED 90KT 500MB JET STREAKROUNDS BASE OF TROUGH OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL LEAD TO DEEPENING OFINITIALLY WEAK SURFACE LOW WHICH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WARM LAKESTONIGHT...AIDING IN THE INTENSIFICATION. RESULT SHOULD BEDEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD SNOW ACROSS THE WEST AFTER 20Z AND QUICKLYSPREADING EAST THIS EVENING AND CONTINUING OVERNIGHT. MODELS IN VERYGOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO.PCPN TYPE WILL NOT BE AN ISSUE WITH ARCTIC AIR ALREADY IN PLACE.SNOW RATIOS FROM NAM AND GFS LOOK TO BE BETWEEN 15:1 AND 18:1 FORTHE SYSTEM AND 20 TO 1 WITH LAKE EFFECT AFTER 09Z. QPF AMOUNTSAROUND ONE TO TWO TENTHS EXPECTED WHICH YIELDS SNOWFALL ACCUMS OFGENERALLY 2 TO 3 INCHES. ISOLATED 4 INCH AMOUNTS ALSO POSSIBLE BUTEXPECT THIS TO BE CLOSER TO LAKE WHERE LAKE EFFECT ON BACK SIDE OFSYSTEM WILL BE RAMPING UP AFTER 09Z. SYNOPTIC MOISTURE AND DEEPMIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE IN PLACE ALONG WITH SFC-850MB DELTA T VALUESRISING TO AROUND 20C AND SFC-700MB VALUES NEARING 30C TOWARD 12Z.BUFKIT SOUNDINGS ALSO SHOWING SATURATED DGZ WITH STRONG LIFT SOINTENSE BANDS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP.GRADIENT WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE LATE AS LOW DEEPENS. NORTHWEST 20TO 30 MPH EXPECTED TO AID IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE POWDERYSNOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 GRR calling for 6 to 10 inches from lake enhancement here tonight and tomorrow. Hopefully it happens! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 i've gotten more sleet than snow this winter and I've gotten more grass growth than snow.... seriously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 and I've gotten more grass growth than snow.... seriously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 lol...perfect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Final call for Livonia: 3.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 11, 2016 Author Share Posted January 11, 2016 Final call for Livonia: 3.5 Good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Flurries falling in the brook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Up to 25:1 ratios should yield about an inch. Can't wait for an evening rush hour cluster. Even a few flakes on super frozen roads leads to a mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Final call for Livonia: 3.5 Great call although I am gonna go 4.5 here in Canton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Got some light snow falling here already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 IWXs morning synopsis update upped snow totals. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Anyone notice the random clipper on the GGEM about 54 hours out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Mood flakes flying this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Isolated large/dry flakes slowly fluttering down at the moment. So far have picked up a trace. Looks like it's about over until later this evening when another burst of flurries/light snow blows through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Noticed the -SN already breaking out to the SW. RGEM painting 0.1-0.15" of moisture across most of NE IL. 20:1 ratio should be no problem today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Anyone notice the random clipper on the GGEM about 54 hours out? The NAM has had that clipper the last two days.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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