Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,588
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

January Med/Long Range Disco Part 2


WinterWxLuvr

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.6k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

I wish the King would get on board.  But the GFS must be on to something, right?  It's not wavering.  Neither is the parallel run.  We can hope.

Probably beating a dead horse at this point but this is pehaps one of the more typical ways to get a snowstorm in a strong nino. Event blows up right in front and it follows into the cold air left behind.. plus the first becomes a 50/50ish feature. Block rotating down from Greenland to the west is also pretty classic. Need the Euro but this has the good.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

    In the GFS world, this is exactly what we'd want to see.     The parallel has a major upgrade to the data assimilation, and we'd hope that it might start to capture a tricky event like this sooner than the ops.

 

    Just need to get the 12z Euro to buy in.

 

 

I wish the King would get on board.  But the GFS must be on to something, right?  It's not wavering.  Neither is the parallel run.  We can hope.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

    In the GFS world, this is exactly what we'd want to see.     The parallel has a major upgrade to the data assimilation, and we'd hope that it might start to capture a tricky event like this sooner than the ops.

 

    Just need to get the 12z Euro to buy in.

What are the run times for the para?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

    In the GFS world, this is exactly what we'd want to see.     The parallel has a major upgrade to the data assimilation, and we'd hope that it might start to capture a tricky event like this sooner than the ops.

 

    Just need to get the 12z Euro to buy in.

 

Very true.  I suppose it also would not be good to see the GFS-x on its own with that type of solution.  The 12Z GFS ops took an even bigger step in the direction of the "x", just comparing it to the 06Z ops (which shunts the trough more to the east).  It would be nice to see the upgrades "validated" right away with such a system.  Of course, this could all easily "disappear" and be out to sea in the end, but for now we have to like this trend.  And yes, again, if only the Euro would be on board.  Even to show a nod in that direction at least.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Para gives us front end love with the d9-10 thing and then another coastal on the 27th. Model of the year nominee

I bet the Para is actually the old GFS that gave us blizzards starting in October and a guaranteed 18z 384 blizzard no matter what the pattern was

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...