Expat Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Looks like another snow event on the 19th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Looks like another snow event on the 19th? and this one is sexy. The precip shield just off shore at 276 is crazy looking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Interestingly the gfs is similar to the global ens irt the pac wave train. 3 in 7 days. Would be nice if the whole east coast reaped some rewards in the same general period. It's been quite a while since we've seen that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 and this one is sexy. The precip shield just off shore at 276 is crazy looking Total accumulation looks similar to the weekend event to me. I will say no more for this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Is GFS in fantasy land with 3 possible storms in the long range??? Looks as if it is setting up for another surge of arctic at end of run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Biggest takeaway from the GFS is that we're approaching a period that should be very active in the tracking department with multiple threats. Hopefully some late nights ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Biggest takeaway from the GFS is that we're approaching a period that should be very active in the tracking department with multiple threats. Hopefully some late nights ahead. It's unusual for the same general idea with the ensembles to be reflected in an op run like that. I suppose it's because real blocking makes things less complicated. And we haven't seen that for 5-6 years. Obviously the details will drive a weenie crazy because ops are going to jump. Hard to get mad at the gfs showing 3 consecutive storms without a single cut or runner track. #blockingftmfw I expect the euro to disappoint but I'll stay up anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 GFS goes back to back to back with 3 almost perfect vort passes. Its full of crap but nice to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 It's unusual for the same general idea with the ensembles to be reflected in an op run like that. I suppose it's because real blocking makes things less complicated. And we haven't seen that for 5-6 years. Obviously the details will drive a weenie crazy because ops are going to jump. Hard to get mad at the gfs showing 3 consecutive storms without a single cut or runner track. #blockingftmfw I expect the euro to disappoint but I'll stay up anyway. I'll enjoy this GFS run for the next 45 minutes until the Euro shows a cutter and a suppressed storm giving Havana a blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Some fun runs lately. Good times ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Before this pattern ends..we should get a slow moving hecs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 This is a great look on the 00z GEFS. Blocking, 50/50 low, mean trough is near the MS River. Suppression is a risk but I'd take the gamble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 There's just so many waves. We do run into little snowmageddon like periods (1966 was one) every now and then tho when we pull off 2-3 systems in pretty rapid succession. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Before this pattern ends..we should get a slow moving hecs I don't think it ends...the GFS will just continue trying to break it down beyond Day 12...in the end it'll probably be a 5 day semi breakdown around 1/25-130 and we will go right back into it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Um...So uh, the 00z EURO is focusing on the first wave, and it looks like a CLASSIC setup @, 120 hours! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Low forming in the Gulf @ 132 hours, now the original shortwave that the models were focusing on is in Cali @ 132 hours...this is a new ball game this run...theres a CHANCE it does something special this run holy moly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Low forming in the Gulf @ 132 hours, now the original shortwave that the models were focusing on is in Cali @ 132 hours...this is a new ball game this run...theres a CHANCE it does something special this run holy moly That's a big jump in terms of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Am I the only one awake seeing this?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Um...So uh, the 00z EURO is focusing on the first wave, and it looks like a CLASSIC setup @, 120 hours! Who knows what it'll do from there but the 500 look at 120 is very nice. Confluence to the north, 50/50 low, ridge in the Rockies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Am I the only one awake seeing this?! I guess so. Nyc, NE threads are pretty much dead to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Snow for parts of the deep south @ 150 hrs with a low right off the SC coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 984mb low ENE off Cape Hatteras, its JUST going to miss being a HUGE hit. THis is a HUGE change from previous runs as it focuses on an entirely different wave. The energy we've been tracking is still West of Texas ... The EURO is usually always first to pick up on major changes so this is either a blip or we have a legit threat to track now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Euro really bombed that out...981 east of Outerbanks. Interesting to see what the Ensembles show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 960 mb into Canada! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 There's so many waves on each model that it's hard to keep track what I should key in on (precisely why the models are showing such large changes run to run I guess). If the Euro is onto something with this first wave, it was oh so close to being a big storm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 198 hours theres another wave forming around Texas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 I think the good thing here is that the euro shows a pretty big storm. So, we have the Euro showing a hit and a miss, but still its a big storm just hitting the deep south and just grazing folks up here. The GFS run tonight, quite a few systems tracking, which shows you that we may have many systems to deal with. So, at least the Euro tonight is showing a big storm. It may not be the track we want, but in the big picture here, the big dog as DT would say is still on the table here. No doubt more changes likely in the coming days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Look at that wind field at hour 180! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Euro is tasty..need to get rid of that low in the lakes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 198 hours theres another wave forming around Texas Here she comes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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