HKY_WX Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 <br /><br /><br /> Sounds like it phases too late for a really solid hit in western NC, am I correct? No intention of this being a imby question sorry I am waiting on the special maps, but upper levels looks great for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Backlash snows CHS/SAV/SSI 12/26. Aside: I'm supposed to drive from SAV to Chapel Hill on Mon. 12/27. I wonder how would be the roads in this scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheVille Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 If this run verified for folks around CLT looks like it could easily be 8-12 Just the thought of this makes me EXCITED. Please for the love of all that is holy verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ivanhater Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 You gotta wonder if the Euro bombs this we could get some pretty impressive wrap around snow, maybe even for Pensacola. '93 storm bombed perfectly to give P'cola impressive snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Yea west of the apps and TN don't get much out of this. The winners are the coastal states for sure. Disagree, with the very strong northern stream short wave the Euro precip has over .75 for the southern Apps..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNCCmetgrad Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Total QPF runs around 1 inch for most of the upstate of SC, and the foothills NC. Charlotte and points east are in the 1.25in total. Looks like Raleigh gets around 1.5in with a 1.75 bullseye in the northeastern coastal plain of NC. Areas of western upstate of SC get 0.75 - 1 inch and northeast GA gets 0.5 - 0.75 in. Needless to say over half this board just soiled themselves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 If this is the case, then we have continuity over the past 4 runs. Like I mentioned earlier, +/- a couple hours could be huge, and for a model to resolve that at this stage, is highly unlikely. Still swimming in the dead zone for another 48 hrs, but the confidence continuity and ens mean agreement bring is sig. i was thinking something good might be showing up when i saw the third thread start filling up the continuity has certainly gotten my attention as well. i remember many times the storm will show up for a couple of runs and disappear. this time its been showing up each time, with similar outcomes. i am still anxious until data get put in tomorrow night, but someone in the se might be celebrating a white christmas. side note - its 39 with light rain and fog and it feels even colder after yesterdays nice temps in the 50s Is the start of the snow in NC being pushed back later to the 26th or is it still looking like Christmas day? it would be nice to have a white christmas, but for heaven's sake, i would take this kind of snow for so many of us in a heartbeat, no matter what day it falls on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Let me again stress caution or we may all end up cliff diving for Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 No worries with this setup. Im hour S of you. It is all good, right now.... <br /><br /><br /> Sounds like it phases too late for a really solid hit in western NC, am I correct? No intention of this being a imby question sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 This ends as snow even for OBX. Even the mountains look to do pretty well, but there is a VERY sharp precip cutoff right near the TN/NC state line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hugo Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Total QPF runs around 1 inch for most of the upstate of SC, and the foothills NC. Charlotte and points east are in the 1.25in total. Looks like Raleigh gets around 1.5in with a 1.75 bullseye in the northeastern coastal plain of NC. Areas of western upstate of SC get 0.75 - 1 inch and northeast GA gets 0.5 - 0.75 in. Needless to say over half this board just soiled themselves. Even with consistency, we're still looking at 120 hours. Gotta keep that in mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Look out for a PM from me. Delete if you want lookout, but DT cracks me up sometimes wow wow w wowow 132 HR BLIZZARD ALL AREAS AIR RAID PEARL HARBOR NC HISTORIC STORM AND INTO VA. 1'PLUS RALEIGH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 If this verifies, its 3-6" for ATL, more to the NE of here, I will not get that excited yet, this is a big switch again, but the trend is certainly there for something good. Yeah it's hard not to get excited about this...especially since it's the euro. If it wasn't showing a storm and it was the gfs, I would be much less optimistic. If it verifies, think about how awesome the last year or so has been for snow in georgia. I had over 12 inches last winter and to have another 6 with this one would be incredible. The likelyhood of getting that much snow in 2 years here is extremely low indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 I am waiting on the special maps, but upper levels looks great for us. HKY, What I seen on QPF is hky .86, mwk (me) ..61, int 1.06 is this correct ? nw NC is on the lower end of the good precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 You gotta wonder if the Euro bombs this we could get some pretty impressive wrap around snow, maybe even for Pensacola. '93 storm bombed perfectly to give P'cola impressive snow. Here's the 120hr...it could, you're right. Just need the 850 line to work out. I was going to answer your post a few pages back but it got lost in the storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Disagree, with the very strong northern stream short wave the Euro precip has over .75 for the southern Apps..... That's why you're the pro and I'm the Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 HKY, What I seen on QPF is hky .86, mwk (me) ..61, int 1.06 is this correct ? nw NC is on the lower end of the good precip. ratios would be good in this situation, so i would expect lower qpf totals further to the NW. the extreme nature of what the euro is printing out is something to behold so I would use caution on qpf. i mean we're talking 93 and 96 levels if the euro is right. biggest phase in two decades type deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Correct me if i'm wrong or banish me but with this type of phase wouldn't you see a greater moisture plume spreading into northwest and east georgia and nw sc a little earlier than what's shown on the Euro? With all that energy seems to me the air out in front would be saturating rapidly. Thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 For future reference, the last 2 runs of the Euro have really had the phasing occur around Mississippi-ish. Been a touch earlier on the Canadian, but the phasing hasn't been as explosive.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ivanhater Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Thanks Jon. I'm rooting for the South to get a once in a lifetime snowstorm. A deepening low in the Gulf with cold air diving south is amazing. Let's keep the trend going!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 the UKMET is crazy- has a even more suppressed track but from 120 to 144 bombs a low in north FL at 1004mb to a 967! just east of the NE tip of NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 ratios would be good in this situation, so i would expect lower qpf totals further to the NW. the extreme nature of what the euro is printing out is something to behold so I would use caution on qpf. i mean we're talking 93 and 96 levels if the euro is right. biggest phase in two decades type deal. Thanks ! Yea, Maybe some good ratios, but would like to see just a touch quicker phase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keithinala Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Yea west of the apps and TN don't get much out of this. The winners are the coastal states for sure. It's actually better for some areas of tenn, north ala, north Georgia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Holy crap, just saw the precip map from the euro. Looks like it would be between 0.75 and 1.00 here. I'll take it lol. Roughly along and east of augusta to greensboro is 1 inch plus. The 0.50 goes from atlanta to the Tn/nc border/extreme northeast TN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
georgiawx11 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Holy crap, just saw the precip map from the euro. Looks like it would be between 0.75 and 1.00 here. I'll take it lol. Roughly along and east of augusta to greensboro is 1 inch plus. The 0.50 goes from atlanta to the Tn/nc border/extreme northeast TN. What does it show along the I-20 corridor from Atlanta to Birmingham ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Oh my God @ this solution. I knew this run would be a big deal, but wow. I'm guessing the CAE area gets a ton of precip off this run then? Looks like thicknesses are right on the edge for all snow but it's there. I have a low graphic quality of the Euro though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Any temp issues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 ratios would be good in this situation, so i would expect lower qpf totals further to the NW. the extreme nature of what the euro is printing out is something to behold so I would use caution on qpf. i mean we're talking 93 and 96 levels if the euro is right. biggest phase in two decades type deal. Folks should also keep in mind that this is probably the best case scenerio so it's highly likely future runs of the euro will back off of this somewhat. If and when it does, folks shouldn't go all crazy and depressed. We really can only go down from here but that's not something to worry about necessarily. btw, I love that deformation axis across Ga/the carolinas. Would be some impressive snows for sure, possibly more than indicated in spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Oh my God @ this solution. I knew this run would be a big deal, but wow. I'm guessing the CAE area gets a ton of precip off this run then? Looks like thicknesses are right on the edge for all snow but it's there. I have a low graphic quality of the Euro though. CAE get's crushed this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 <br />I am waiting on the special maps, but upper levels looks great for us.<br /><br /><br /><br />Thank you I'm in Hudson not far from you!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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