Wow Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 a little more closed at 84 compared to 12z.. very good! this one ain't getting absorbed into the northern jet at all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 To steal a phrase from the late Leslie Neilsen, I wanna say..."Good luck, we're all counting on you." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 We are looking real good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 MODEL DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSIONNWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 1236 AM EST WED DEC 22 2010 VALID DEC 22/0000 UTC THRU DEC 25/1200 UTC ...SEE NOUS42 KWNO ADMNFD FOR THE STATUS OF THE UPPER AIR INGEST... 00Z/22 PRELIMINARY MODEL PREFERENCES ANY INITIALIZATION ERRORS WITH THE NAM AND GFS DO NOT APPEAR TO SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT THEIR SOLUTIONS. ...CONTINENTAL POLAR FRONT SINKING THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST DAY 1... PRELIMINARY PREFERENCE: NONE THE NAM...GFS...GEM GLOBAL...UKMET...AND 12Z/21 ECMWF ALL HANDLE THIS BOUNDARY COMPARABLY. ...SHORTWAVE SWINGING INTO THE SOUTHWEST DAY 1... PRELIMINARY PREFERENCE: PENDING 00Z/22 ECMWF THE NAM TIMING OF THIS WAVE IS CLOSE TO THE 12Z/21 ECMWF...WITH SLIGHTLY LESS AMPLITUDE BY THE TIME IT REACHES LOUISIANA BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE GFS AND GEM GLOBAL BEGIN TO PULL AHEAD OF THE NAM AND ECMWF LATE DAY 3 ALONG THE GULF COAST...WITH THE GFS SHOWING LESS AMPLITUDE LIKE THE NAM. THE UKMET CONTINUES TO BE ON THE SLOW...SUPPRESSED SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE...A BIAS OF THE MODEL. THERE HAS BEEN A LOT OF TRENDING WITH THE SHORTWAVE OVER THE PAST SEVERAL MODEL CYCLES...SO WILL WAIT FOR THE NEW ECMWF TO MAKE A FINAL CALL. ...BAROCLINIC ZONE JUST OFF THE NORTHWEST COAST... PRELIMINARY PREFERENCE: GFS OR 12Z/21 ECMWF THE NAM EDGES THIS BOUNDARY CLOSER TO SHORE THAN THE GFS AND 12Z/21 ECMWF...WITH A MORE PRONOUNCED WAVE OFFSHORE BY THE END OF DAY 3. THE GEM GLOBAL AND UKMET CLUSTER WITH THE GFS AND OLD ECMWF...SO WILL RELY ON THEIR CONSIDERABLE CONSIDERABLE CONSENSUS. ...MODEL TREND GRAPHICS AT WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/HTML/MODEL2.SHTML... ...500MB FORECASTS AT WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/H5PREF/H5PREF.SHTML... CISCO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Wow at 84 its very tight , close to a phase. Good due north flow and sharp consoliadated northern stream. Good sign for sure. Snow all over the mid south. northwest of ATL Sounds good so far! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Still not complete phase at 90, but that northern stream is digging like nobodys business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 @90 same look as the 12z. a little less precip on the NE side but the low looks like it might be stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 96 hours and a gulf low south of mobile. Good light to mod. snows stretch into western Carolinas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 this is phasing easily at 90... with the s/w further w about 50 miles or so. if this works out.. the low will bomb a bit sooner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 @96 our low is in the gulf of MS and AL...let's see if she can make the turn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Atmosphere is nearly wet enough for flurries from about 6z on Saturday. I Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 102 GULP. Wow!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 @102 our low is going across the panhandle of Fl...this looks to be another stellar run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 bombing over N FL at 102! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Time to push our chips to the middle boys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 102 GULP. Wow!! Please refrain from these types of posts as it scares the crap out of the audience and you may be asked to moderate yourself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ivanhater Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Bomb right over me please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 102 GULP. Wow!! That's says all I need to know... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 height crash isn't quite as fast as 12z, BUT the s/w isn't as fast either.. but still pretty close so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 extremely cold very far south,and the TNT Southeast Bomb is going off. Low in the Florida big bend and heading across North Fl. Full phase! at 108, its negative tilt and going up the SC /GA coastline. BIG HIT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Bomb right over me please! Wish granted per this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 @108 it looks to bury us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 sub 1000mb low off GA/SC line at 108 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 .13 through 0z on Sunday...850 temps are starting out at -5C...awesome ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 a little slower this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 .13 through 0z on Sunday...850 temps are starting out at -5C...awesome ratios. shortly after that it's going to nail us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 .30 through 6z on Sunday Morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 and at 114 huge hit for most of NC especially eastern just massive hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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