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Jan 9-10th snow threat. Disco/OBS


dmc76

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Good to hear.  Getting more flakes here in the last few mins...I'd say almost a 50/50 mix.

 

 

Nice. Hope you salvage something decent.

 

Still torching and all liquid here. Looking at radar, and considering the entrenched warmth locally, good chance I don't see a flake with this event. :lol:

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LOT trimming back a bit:

 

LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THIS WILL OCCUR SLOWER THAN
ORIGINALLY ANTICIPATED. THIS WILL BE PROBLEMATIC FOR SNOW
ACCUMULATING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST INDIANA...ESPECIALLY
BEFORE 00Z THIS EVENING AND SOME MODELS HOLD ON TO TEMPERATURES
BOTH NEAR THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WHICH WOULD SUGGEST RAIN HOLDING
ON UNTIL 03-04Z THIS EVENING OVER NORTHWEST INDIANA. WITH A SLOWER
TRANSITION TO SNOW...MUCH OF THE QPF MAY NOW FALL AS RAIN WHICH
HAS CUT BACK QUITE A BIT ON SNOW TOTALS FOR NORTHWEST INDIANA.
WITH THIS IN MIND HAVE DOWNGRADED THE WINTER STORM WARNING FOR
LAKE AND PORTER COUNTIES IN INDIANA AND REPLACED IT WITH A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. FARTHER WEST IN ILLINOIS UNDER SLIGHTLY COLDER
AIR AND WITH THE HELP OF DYNAMIC COOLING FROM AN AREA OF
MODERATELY STRONG F-GEN SUPERIMPOSED UNDER AN AREA OF STEEP MID-
UPPER LEVEL LAPSE RATES...EXPECT MOST AREAS WEST OF THE I- 57
CORRIDOR WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW BY AROUND 21Z...AND BY 00Z
THROUGH THE STATE LINE. WHILE MOST OF THE ADVISORY AREA IS LARGELY
ON TRACK...DID TRIM BACK SNOW TOTALS SLIGHTLY NOW CALLING FOR 2 TO
5 INCHES. AS TEMPS AND DEW POINTS FALL BELOW FREEZING
OVERNIGHT...AND WINDS INCREASE WITH GUSTS INTO THE 30 TO 35 MPH
RANGE...BLOWING SNOW STILL SEEMS REASONABLE FOR A LARGE PORTION OF
THE FORECAST AREA.

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