Thundersnow12 Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 Looks like the ECMWF will be south of the GFS. stronger, more NW of 0z run with more cold sector QPF and a nice negatively tilted trof at 84hrs. 998mb just south of EVV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 why is there even a thread on this lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 Low level cold needs to find a way to sneak in a little faster. Euro gets ORD up to 43 by 18z Saturday, down to 33 by 6z Sunday then 25 by 12z Sunday with teens just out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 One less challenge to deal with...ice. Lack of antecedent cold and not having high pressure bridge eastward north of the Lakes means this should basically be a straight rain/snow situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 I stand corrected, big dog potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 Low level cold needs to find a way to sneak in a little faster. Euro gets ORD up to 43 by 18z Saturday, down to 33 by 6z Sunday then 25 by 12z Sunday with teens just out west. Does 850/925 mb stay below freezing there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 nice i'm always game for a new orleans to southeast michigan track For an even colder rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 I'm on the optimistic train with this system...seeing some of the potential positives popping up in the trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 Does 850/925 mb stay below freezing there? 850mb temps are below freezing from about 66hrs onward but it's below that which is the problem.. 925mb temps don't crash below 0 deg C till after 0z Sunday/84hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 With a lot of tracks to the east and the GFS pretty much west, there's a lot of wiggle room imo, for some of us to get some snow, especially on Sunday before the cold air comes in. A handful of the GEFS would be fun - especially that last one around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 For an even colder rain it was step in the right direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 I stand corrected, big dog potential you're just bitter because you were getting excited and had to watch another one go west remember when DT had this as an I95 big dog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 EURO 850mb temps Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 With the first system laying down possibly 2-6" from eastern NE to central/northern WI, that could be our source of quicker/better low level cold air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 With the first system laying down possibly 2-6" from eastern NE to central/northern WI, that could be our source of quicker/better low level cold air meh, i hate that talking point it's all about timing and always is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 I stand corrected, big dog potential BURIED....oh wait, he doesn't live in Canada. Well....wide spread 1-3"!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 I got a strong feeling I'll have the snow and sleet pack on the ground come late Saturday. Can probably handle 0.5" of rain. I would imagine areas further north and west will hang on to their snow/ice cover, and gain some before the final wave comes up. Should help with cold air advection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 6, 2016 Author Share Posted January 6, 2016 EURO 850mb temps Saturday. No SEMIganders wants this track. Congrats Lake Michigan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 Dang @ the OH crew becoming all combative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 850mb temps are below freezing from about 66hrs onward but it's below that which is the problem.. 925mb temps don't crash below 0 deg C till after 0z Sunday/84hrs. Ok, didn't know if it was just a surface issue, cause obviously if you have 925 mb below freezing then you'd take your chances with heavy precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 meh, i hate that talking point it's all about timing and always is So do I usually, but it could help just enough. Not that far off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 BURIED....oh wait, he doesn't live in Canada. Well....wide spread 1-3"!!!!!! lol, all the OH weenies are getting bitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 Ok, didn't know if it was just a surface issue, cause obviously if you have 925 mb below freezing then you'd take your chances with heavy precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 Dang @ the OH crew becoming all combative. The 0-0.5" seasonal total starts to get to you after a while I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nickysixes Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 That looks delicious:) No SEMIganders wants this track. Congrats Lake Michigan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 No SEMIganders wants this track. Congrats Lake Michigan EURO is trying to get something good going here. Storm just needs to tug the cold air in quickly or the low needs to slow up slightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 Dang @ the OH crew becoming all combative. combative? someone needs their blanky? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 The 0-0.5" seasonal total starts to get to you after a while I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 6, 2016 Author Share Posted January 6, 2016 That looks delicious:) Congrats. Enjoy that 4" to 8" of wind driven drywall plaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/47501-updated-dec-31-increasing-threat-of-significant-east-coast-snowstorm-jan-10-11/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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