Thundersnow12 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Cold sector precip shield quite a bit better compared to 18z Bernie boy might of been right, quicker/more neutral tilt to the nrn stream helps for sure this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Cold sector precip shield quite a bit better compared to 18z run for ILX CWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 It's a nice swath of 3 to 6 inches of wet snow for Dexter, MO up to the Soo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Once it became clear that boundary layer up to 925 mb temps wouldn't really be an issue anymore, don't have a problem gambling on a setup like this. Rather that than worrying about it ptype transition issues then it snowing hard enough after the flip to get decent amounts. Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Quick gif comparison to the previous run and the nrn stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Don't lie, you've been itching to utter that phrase I just like saying wagon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Where's friv? Appears the STL snow drought will take a hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Once it became clear that boundary layer up to 925 mb temps wouldn't really be an issue anymore, don't have a problem gambling on a setup like this. Rather that than worrying about it ptype transition issues then it snowing hard enough after the flip to get decent amounts. Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk Agreed. Looks like there's a chance that I-55 eastward could start as rain but even if that happens, it should flip very fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Speaking of weenies, I noticed three things about this video: 1) He sure does mention Chicago a lot. Must be the only place that matters, right ALEK? 2) Chuckled when he almost drew a weenie and caught himself. 3) He circled my area in Michigan and put us in the "over 3 inches" category. He really doesn't have a reason to sound like a weenie on this storm. It's not impacting central PA. #2 was pretty funny though. I think Henry M. sounds like a weenie quite often. Freezing line at 6pm on Saturday, a little closer to the city than the 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 He really doesn't have a reason to sound like a weenie on this storm. It's not impacting central PA. #2 was pretty funny though. I think Henry M. sounds like a weenie quite often. Freezing line at 6pm on Sunday, a little closer to the city than the 18z run. 6pm Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 How's your glacier doing, Geos? I think I'll still have some left I haven't really lost much of mine yet. More so just sort of melting on the edges. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerbs Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 6pm Saturday? I would think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 How's your glacier doing, Geos? I think I'll still have some left I haven't really lost much of mine yet. More so just sort of melting on the edges. Trust me that 2" sleet storm-more like5"- will be here in March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 6pm Saturday? Yes. I was thinking about something on Sunday. lol How's your glacier doing, Geos? I think I'll still have some left I haven't really lost much of mine yet. More so just sort of melting on the edges. Well it's not going to compact anymore, that's for sure. It's melting on the edges and it's not as rock hard as it was. Hopefully it stays there awhile and acts as a good base for future events - not just this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Pick your type of snowfall map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Trust me that 2" sleet storm-more like5"- will be here in March. Hah. It sure will make a good base! I have about 3 inches of glacier here. Yes. I was thinking about something on Sunday. lol Well it's not going to compact anymore, that's for sure. It's melting on the edges and it's not as rock hard as it was. Hopefully it stays there awhile and acts as a good base for future events - not just this one. Exactly! After this weekend, it's going to be ice on ice. When comparing this NAM run to that of 24 hours ago, it really isn't that different. Definitely better looking than 24 hours ago! It was today's 6Z run that had headed west a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Bernie must be working the RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Bernie must be working the RGEM I_nw_EST_2016010800_048.png lol...Are we going to be fighting the westward trend now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 He really doesn't have a reason to sound like a weenie on this storm. It's not impacting central PA. #2 was pretty funny though. I think Henry M. sounds like a weenie quite often. Freezing line at 6pm on Saturday, a little closer to the city than the 18z run. Rest of the column is plenty cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Bernie must be working the RGEM I_nw_EST_2016010800_048.png Haha yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Haha yikes I'm not really sure how it determines the snow area...if it's just where temps are AOB 32 or some other method. What caught my eye was the westward extent of the snow...the surface low doesn't look extremely far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 I'm not really sure how it determines the snow area...if it's just where temps are AOB 32 or some other method. What caught my eye was the westward extent of the snow...the surface low doesn't look extremely far west. 999mb in the bootheel is a little west, also might have slightly better phase too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Bernie must be working the RGEM I_nw_EST_2016010800_048.png Nope, the WI crew (led by myself) is running it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 I just saw the RGEM myself. Too good. Looks like there is a window for lake enhancement just after 48 hours until about 54 hours (In Illinois). Delta Ts around 13°C, might be just enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 RGEM is warm aloft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 6" band aimed right into far se WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Noticed that the RGEM takes the low into south central Missouri at 36-39 hours, before deflecting eastward. Could explain what we're seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 I might have to run out and buy a Canadian flag lol. NAM would be a heart breaker for DVN cwa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 6" band aimed right into far se WI. Never laugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Nice looking sim satellite images off the RGEM. System looks pretty dynamic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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