ekman Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Yep. If Brick forgets to calibrate the transitory particle interceptor, he could wind up with an unwelcome subharmonic oscillation. No one wants that. Totally stealing this. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Matthew East @eastwx 2h2 hours ago (1/2) Impressive run of Canadian ensembles (which have had a great winter) last night. Showing lots of Lower 48 cold coming in February. Matthew East @eastwx 2h2 hours ago (2/2) From late week next week, most of Lower 48 cold through at least mid-month. Impressive. My ideas remain same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 The 0z eps was colder than the 12z. It looks like the coldest 10 day period of the winter might be on the way. Hopefully we can time a wave or two with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 The 0z eps was colder than the 12z. It looks like the coldest 10 day period of the winter might be on the way. Hopefully we can time a wave or two with it. I was noticing this. Would be nice for the attack on the strat to continue moving forward. Perhaps we can realize a nice 10 day period as shown on the EPS (wouldn't take much to find snow if it's right) then a very brief relax and a the hope the strat can provide us a nice back half of February into early March. All in all, I am encouraged this morning for areas in the TN Valley and North Carolina too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Storms fury is a legend on the boards, hes been around for a while.Hope you have a speedy recovery my man. Goofy says we barbecue this weekend and shovel snow next weekend. Big cold is coming. As othhers have stated coldest stretch of winter is in front of us and that's saying alot cause we had 4 days 32 or below last week. Anyway let the good times roll next weekend we are going to be watching the panthers in the super bowl and highly likely chasing a snow threat. Mack will be changing his name before valentine's day. Mark it down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Everyone must have jumped off the cliff already because its going to be warm for a few days. Things look good the second week of February and it is dead in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Starting to come around to the idea of tail end development around 2/6, potentially clipping the SE coast. That is a stout long wave trough and it would not take much to draw a surface reflection closer to the coast than presently shown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Everyone must have jumped off the cliff already because its going to be warm for a few days. Things look good the second week of February and it is dead in here. Theyll all come rolling in when they here us fire up the bus for the next threat: Might have to start it up by early next week as we could be within 5 days: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 The problem with any storms at the end of next week will be warm ground and road temps. The first inch or so of any snow would melt at contact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Starting to come around to the idea of tail end development around 2/6, potentially clipping the SE coast. That is a stout long wave trough and it would not take much to draw a surface reflection closer to the coast than presently shown. 12z GEFS mean suggests that the members will be interesting to check for both 2/5-2/6 and 2/9-2/10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 The problem with any storms at the end of next week will be warm ground and road temps. The first inch or so of any snow would melt at contact. We got a lot of problems around here, but this is low on the list Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 We got a lot of problems around here, but this is low on the list Lol you beat me by 10 seconds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 The problem with any storms at the end of next week will be warm ground and road temps. The first inch or so of any snow would melt at contact.you serious clark? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 12z GEFS mean suggests that the members will be interesting to check for both 2/5-2/6 and 2/9-2/10 Strongly agree. Looks cold from 144 through 300 (and beyond) and cold AND unsettled from 216 through 300. (and beyond) It also holds the ridging firm along the west coast (nice -EPO) well past the time when the GFS op breaks it down. All in all, it's a GREAT look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 5 day avg for Feb 6-11. This is more of a moderate/weak El Nino look....not a super nino look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 ^ Without a -NAO, the max cold anomalies hang over the Lakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 ^^ That's the #midatlanticstraightcashmoney look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Euro trying to get interesting on Super Bowl Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Good look on Euro days 9-10. 50/50 PV low. Southwest flow into confluence over the midwest & ohio valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 SSWE anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 SSWE anyone? Can a split like that help to lock in the trough and cold pattern in the east? I would think that once it splits, it wouldn't be fast to move out??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Can a split like that help to lock in the trough and cold pattern in the east? I would think that once it splits, it wouldn't be fast to move out??? The trough is already looking to lock in in the LR on the climate models, so without even seeing hints towards a SSWE, I would say yes anyway. But a SSWE definitely does just that. I made a post on SSWE occurrence and strong El Ninos, probably multiple posts on them, in December. Many say the downstream effects aren't seen until much later, but in my research I often see cold pretty soon (ie. days) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 The trough is already looking to lock in in the LR on the climate models, so without even seeing hints towards a SSWE, I would say yes anyway. But a SSWE definitely does just that. I made a post on SSWE occurrence and strong El Ninos, probably multiple posts on them, in December. Many say the downstream effects aren't seen until much later, but in my research I often see cold pretty soon (ie. days) That makes perfect sense. Thanks Jon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 12z Euro Ens - some mild support for the SE coastal redevelopment system behind the cutter on Feb 5-6. Big closed ridge off the Cali coast at day 10, then moist SW flow into a fairly cold airmass over the southeast for Feb 9. An interesting look no doubt if we can keep it cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 12z Euro Ens - some mild support for the SE coastal redevelopment system behind the cutter on Feb 5-6. Big closed ridge off the Cali coast at day 10, then moist SW flow into a fairly cold airmass over the southeast for Feb 9. An interesting look no doubt if we can keep it cold enough. The look given should spark excitement for the I-40 north crowd. Harder further south of course, but certainly not impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Pack should like the -AO/NAO being served up on the euro ens. It's been 5 straight runs of the signal getting stronger. I haven't seen h5 panels like that since 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 February 9th time frame looks awesome to me. The best look I have seen 10 days out in several winters. The GEFS members are normally stingy in the long range with snow storms, but there are several blockbusters being shown around Feb. 9th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 We're finally rounding the corner...does someone want to start a February thread? I'm keeping my streak of no threads started alive. Wow seems to have brought the mojo for Jan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 The problem with any storms at the end of next week will be warm ground and road temps. The first inch or so of any snow would melt at contact. let the first inch melt, we'll take the next 12 inches and call it a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Happy Hour is not going to disappoint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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