tarheelwx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Anything still showing up in the longer range? I'm stuck in Vegas working and will miss the biggest storm in many years. Hoping maybe I'll have something to track later next week. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I'll cash out on hour 384 of the 00z GFS. Makes the current storm look like a calm day in the park! TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I still think mid next week could be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Fab Feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 EURO op looks like its playing around with the system too much...My guess is we have a system to get interesting next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Yeah JB says could be BIG STORM coming up out the gulf next week riding up the coast ala March 1993 Similarities... on 500mb charts. HE IS NOT FORECASTING A SUPER STORM just trough and ridgesetc.... have that look for a big storm.... And a warm up for a while but FAB FEB is on the table...................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Yeah JB says could be BIG STORM coming up out the gulf next week riding up the coast ala March 1993 Similarities... on 500mb charts. HE IS NOT FORECASTING A SUPER STORM just trough and ridgesetc.... have that look for a big storm.... And a warm up for a while but FAB FEB is on the table...................... Can you imagine getting back to back big daddys: Tonight will be the 3rd time in 5 days it's snowed here. Ill study next week after I get done playing in the snow sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 EURO op looks like its playing around with the system too much...My guess is we have a system to get interesting next week. Come on, you can't tease like that, care to elaborate Haven't looked at the models yet. For which areas do you think it gets interesting pray tell! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Come on, you can't tease like that, care to elaborate Haven't looked at the models yet. For which areas do you think it gets interesting pray tell! If (and only if) you're not under warning or severe threat, long range is an interesting question. I have mine. But likely little input until .... .... it warms up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 next week could be FUN!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 STOP TEASING! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Winter may have finally arrived! After hiding out across the pole for a couple months, this is a smack in the face! What a week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Next week might be better than the current storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Next week might be better than the current storm. Maybe if you prefer rainstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Maybe if you prefer rainstorms. That implies that this isn't a rain storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Next week might be better than the current storm. I sure hope so, hell of a bust setting up for the NC mtns on the current storm. As depicted though doesn't look cold enough for next week. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 next week could be FUN!!On those maps you posted above, is that super strong low N of the Great Lakes , the polar vortex? That is a monster high over KY!! Never seen a high in that location with a strong low in the gulf! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Batman Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 On those maps you posted above, is that super strong low N of the Great Lakes , the polar vortex? That is a monster high over KY!! Never seen a high in that location with a strong low in the gulf! 3rd map for 00Z 1/29 has a great LP placement for MBY if temps are cold enough. H just north of Nashville though seems very odd. It is weak at 1017. Strange look to my untrained eyes. On another note, today's GFS ensemble forecast for PNA, NAO, and AO look to improve in the LR. PNA stays +. AO spikes briefly + and then heads back negative. NAO spikeses slightly +, then heads back toward neutral/negative. Very good consistency among members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 EPS looked like its got a signal for a potential storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 @312 through 348 on the 12z GFS looks too good to be true.. The HP to the northeast looks way too strong (atleast to my amateur eyes) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 @312 through 348 on the 12z GFS looks too good to be true.. The HP to the northeast looks way too strong (atleast to my amateur eyes) That looks similar to today's event! Just take all the precip and make it rain, that's your solution! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 EURO says, "Let's do this again next Friday, but with less cold air!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 That looks similar to today's event! Just take all the precip and make it rain, that's your solution! It's not raining here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 It's not raining here.Oh yeah, how's that 8-12" looking, or even 4-6"Inch of sleet , you the man! All the models are trending colder, wetter, and way less snowier! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Oh yeah, how's that 8-12" looking, or even 4-6" Inch of sleet , you the man! All the models are trending colder, wetter, and way less snowier! Better than your rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Maybe if you prefer rainstorms. I may have to take this back.... Euro Ensembles are intriguing for late next week to say the least. Control run looks epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 GSP Long Range for next week. Why not do it all over again? AT THIS POINT GUIDANCE TENDS TO DIVERGE RATHER DRASTICALLY WITH RESPECT TO THE GFS/CMC AS THEY COMPARE TO THE ECMWF. THE LATER OF THE THREE SUGGESTS ANOTHER MILLER A COASTAL LOW RIDING UP THE EAST COAST WITH CAD BEING REINFORCED OVER MUCH OF WESTERN NC INTO THE SC UPSTATE. THICKNESS PROFILES AT THAT TIME ON THE ECMWF WOULD SUPPORT SOME WINTRY PTYPES AMIDST AMPLE QPF FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF WINTER WX. ALTHOUGH IT HAS SHOWN RECENT CONSISTENCY OVER ITS LAST TWO CYCLES...FAVORED THE GFS/CMC WITH THIS FCST WHICH KEEPS ANY HIGH IMPACT WX OUTSIDE OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY/FRIDAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I may have to take this back.... Euro Ensembles are intriguing for late next week to say the least. Control run looks epic. Heard this about last Sunday! LolMaybe this will be the one, and only 7 days out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Better than your rain.I'm up to about 1/2 inch of sleet, so we are about the same! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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