BIG FROSTY Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 soon. how soon? very soon. lol sounds good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Boy I'm right on rain/snow line. lol (like it's not gonna change)! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Boy I'm right on rain/snow line. lol (like it's not gonna change)! The double barrel high is a good thing!? And one in Canada is up to 1029! Didnt UKMet do well with today's " event" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Unfortunately the only way I see this trending positively (or negatively) for NC is into a bad ice storm. It's almost better if this doesn't trend south. Timing is terrible. Middle of the week, sure (no work yay!), but I don't feel like having my weekend ruined by a half inch of ice.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 The double barrel high is a good thing!? And one in Canada is up to 1029! Didnt UKMet do well with today's " event" I think it did on track, It usually does pretty good on southern storm tracks. if i'm not mistaken? Somebody correct me if I'm wrong!!! I think I've heard before that the Euro follows pretty close to Ukie a lot of times. So thinking Euro may tick south tonight too. need the Hp to strengthen, and a lot of us will be in biz. The Wednesday system is huge for us as that stregthens the 50/50, stronger the better,We need this badly!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 soon. how soon? very soon. Romancing the Stone refernce? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Can't remember the last time I saw an operational clown map with 35-40" through VA, MD and PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Better UKMET maps are finally out: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Better UKMET maps are finally out: That looks like a good track if temps are good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Unfortunately the only way I see this trending positively (or negatively) for NC is into a bad ice storm. It's almost better if this doesn't trend south. Timing is terrible. Middle of the week, sure (no work yay!), but I don't feel like having my weekend ruined by a half inch of ice.... Well, the shortwave still got few days to go over the Pacific. I think we got a long week of tracking ahead of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Unfortunately the only way I see this trending positively (or negatively) for NC is into a bad ice storm. It's almost better if this doesn't trend south. Timing is terrible. Middle of the week, sure (no work yay!), but I don't feel like having my weekend ruined by a half inch of ice.... If it miller A's like ukie, ice threat is way more minimal verse miller b. You'll have some transition skinny zone with a miller A, but usually it's snow or rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Boy MA gotta be going nuts again!! lol NC looks pretty dismal................ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 Romancing the Stone refernce? very good, Ira Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 That looks like a good track if temps are good? That kind of track would put W NC in play, IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Hear the gefs is way south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I hear GEFS way south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Hear the gefs is way south. haha beat me to it. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Disagree that the 0z GFS trended south from 18z. It was simply 6 hours slower. In fact, instead of toggling between the 18z +6 hours and the 0z, compare them at the same hours. For example, 120 hours on the 18z, and 120 hours on the 0z. Looking at the 850 low track, it is almost exactly the same, just 6 hours slower. On the 18z it tracks from SE Arkansas to east of Memphis to south of Knoxville to AVL to RDU. The 0z takes the same track, just 6 hours later. In fact, near the end, it ends up a little north of the 18z position, with the 850 low north of AVL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 GFS ensembles following trend as well, further south with the s/w thru 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 further S than operational at 108. Low over S AL at 108 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 00z GEFS looks to be a Miller A. Tracks the LP through C MS (hr 102), S AL (hr 108), S GA (hr 114), and Charleston, SC (hr 120). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 OK, it looks close to the UKMET track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 Low over S tip of SC by 120 hrs. I'd call this a good hit for W NC northward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 OK, it looks close to the UKMET track Yeah, just a bit slower. At hr 126, we have it 50 miles SE of ILM. Hmm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 Yeah, just a bit slower. At hr 126, we have it 50 miles SE of ILM. Hmm... Well well, we may have something here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Low over S tip of SC by 120 hrs. I'd call this a good hit for W NC northward Yes I'll take my chances every time with that track! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGA WINTER Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Low over S tip of SC by 120 hrs. I'd call this a good hit for W NC northward That track would probably help out NGA and SC IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 The ensemble mean has a cutoff ULL... real support for this now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 That track would probably help out NGA and SC IMO I would think so, anyone on the Northern side of the Low would be in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSU2005 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 The ensemble mean has a cutoff ULL... real support for this now How does the high pressure position/strength look on gefs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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