SnowNiner Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Sigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Gotta get south some more! Love how it cuts off right at the NC/VA border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Trend is our friend. Few more ticks south and a lot more people are in the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 If that high pressure sets up just right then the CAD areas of NC, SC and possibly NGA will probably see a bad ice storm! we need the Low to trek south so those areas can get on the northern side of the Low, then it would be more snow for the CAD areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Wow looks great for much of TN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 This is an absolutely insane run for NOVA. Holy crap. 37"....haha wow. 09-10-esque snowfall. May outdo 09-10 actually for single-system totals at DCA if the 00z comes to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 This looks like a classic east coast storm with marginal temps so low odds this will be a widespread southern storm. Upper south along Tenn. and W N.C. perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Got a few days to go, hopefully the southward trend will continue! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 This looks like a classic east coast storm with marginal temps so low odds this will be a widespread southern storm. Upper south along Tenn. and W N.C. perhaps. Agreed. If anyone, CAD areas seem favored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Insanity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 37"....haha wow. 09-10-esque snowfall. May outdo 09-10 actually for single-system totals at DCA if the 00z comes to fruition. Going to be a lot of tired MA'ers staying up for the Euro tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 A trip up I-75 may be in order Friday, the east TN area looks very good on this run. Even the ATL area could see an inch or so if this is correct..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 It's a big shift south, keep hope alive!!! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Ukmet looks like a Miller A track to me. It takes the surface low from southern Mississippi to off the coast of wilmington. It seems to not go so crazy with the trough and thus doesn't tug the surface low as far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Going to be a lot of tired MA'ers staying up for the Euro tomorrow. It's a good thing Ian is asleep (I think, judging by twitter inactivity), he won't get much this week. ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 It's 100+hrs from snowing... I've never seen the phrase "never be in the bullseye more than 1-2 days out" fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 Insanity. Going to stay up to see the spread on the GFS ensembles.. should see some good ones here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Got a few days to go, hopefully the southward trend will continue!DT says this GFS run was still not right and not south enough! So we have that!?There are 40" totals and they are saying it ain't right! Never want to be in the bullseye 5 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Looks like a complete miss for most of NC absent the mountains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Going to stay up to see the spread on the GFS ensembles.. should see some good ones here How soon will ensembles out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 DT says this GFS run was still not right and not south enough! So we have that!? There are 40" totals and they are saying it ain't right! Never want to be in the bullseye 5 days out I like this also, 0z UK is much further south than GFS, further south than its 12z run. At 96 has slp between Baton Rouge and Mobile and at 120 has it east of ILM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 Still a good possibility this trends to a GOM low, then we'd really be in business for CAD areas and mtns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Ukmet looks like a Miller A track to me. It takes the surface low from southern Mississippi to off the coast of wilmington. It seems to not go so crazy with the trough and thus doesn't tug the surface low as far north. Yeah, 1010 mb over Mobile at hr 96 and 1000 mb off of Hatteras at hr 120. Hard to tell what happens in the meantime, but I would presume it's a Miller A. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Ukie is sexy with track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I like this also, 0z UK is much further south than GFS, further south than its 12z run. At 96 has slp between Baton Rouge and Mobile and at 120 has it east of ILM. How's temps? Are they still marginal with that far south track? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 How soon will ensembles out? soon. how soon? very soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 This storm looks like it favors the Christmas 2010 snow storm at 5h. The core of that 5h low was much colder though... Edit: Difference being this storm is originating from the pacific, that one originated from the polar jet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 How's temps? Are they still marginal with that far south track? Past 72 hours, the UKMET's maps are very limited. I think Accuweather might be the only one that has it but they don't come out for awhile on there (I don't have Accuweather). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tazaroo Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Of course its probably crazy to analyze but shouldn't there be some frz or ice pellets in the cad areas below that snowfall map posted of the 0z gfs or does that map not take that Chris into conaideration? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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