Stormcatt Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Are 850s any better for NC? This far out who cares. They are a little improved . Strong signal on bothe the eps and GEFS Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Still looks too warm across most of the state. There are some huge big dog members Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 The Euro control run does something that has to be pretty rare. It transfers to off the SC coast then boomerangs back into NC at almost at hurricane strength, pressure wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 The Euro control run does something that has to be pretty rare. It transfers to off the SC coast then boomerangs back into NC at almost at hurricane strength, pressure wise. That will not get it done. Unless a snow hurricane. That would be fun. I do wonder about the temps but if we can get that HP to 1035+, that would make a good CAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Next weekend storm follows the past of many winter storms where they seem to hit as the arctic air lessens its grip on the area from a few days earlier. Pattern recognition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Some serious CAD action going on @144.. Congratulations, western NC! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 That looks interesting, but it's pretty consistantly showing the low in KY, that's usually not a good thing, but CAD can make magic happen. And I don't see the high on the map making the wedge? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 That looks interesting, but it's pretty consistantly showing the low in KY, that's usually not a good thing, but CAD can make magic happen. And I don't see the high on the map making the wedge? Well... it's holding on for dear life. Don't buy this setup without a good HP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 That looks interesting, but it's pretty consistantly showing the low in KY, that's usually not a good thing, but CAD can make magic happen. And I don't see the high on the map making the wedge?It's the GFS it's way north of its own ensembles , the euro and the eps Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Yeah, that GFS solution is on Crack and would give us no hope imo. Need the Euro ensembles just colder. A stronger high up north should do the trick. Man I hope this one works out.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 That run is plain ugly for me, but had a question for the board... At this range with the 12z euro showing an OTS off the Ga. coast and this GFS supposed mtns and ma snowmaker residing in Kentucky, would a blended forecast be in order? Yeah, I know its nearly 150hrs away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillerA Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Gap disco for late next week. They have already posted a frozen mix on Friday for the hickory area. Very progressive weather pattern has the Wednesday shortwave quickly followed by another...potentially more significant and deeper wave by Friday. This system may have impacts from Friday morning through Saturday with a range of rain...rain-snow mix...and snow possible...with rain more likely in lower elevations. Ec and GFS show some dramatic differences...however...with the ec having a much further south track for the storm than the GFS...which keeps the County Warning Area on the north side of the system...sparing it from the heaviest precipitation with the cold frontal passage seen in the GFS. Depending on the ultimate track of this system...liquid equivalent precipitation could vary from a tenth of an inch to 2 inches. Forecast will represent a blend of these possibilities. Following the major Friday-Saturday system...subsequent forecast has a less amplified upper-air pattern with generally benign weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparkync Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 That looks interesting, but it's pretty consistantly showing the low in KY, that's usually not a good thing, but CAD can make magic happen. And I don't see the high on the map making the wedge? could be the low to the se of the of the one in ky becoming the main event,maybe.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Here in GA another cold rain. Yawn......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Following the major Friday-Saturday system...subsequent forecast has a less amplified upper-air pattern with generally benign weather. That's a kind way of saying - "looks warmer" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Here in GA another cold rain. Yawn......... I feel your pain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparkync Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Here in GA another cold rain. Yawn......... way early man, this develope farther south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparkync Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 That's a kind way of saying - "looks warmer" maybe a small relax! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 maybe a small relax! Thought the weeklies say we go zonal for next 10-14 days before next reload potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 way early man, this develope farther south It could. Not sure there's a decent fix on this yet until we into the new cold wave next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparkync Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Yeah, spring in December put us behind.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparkync Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Yeah, spring in December put us behind.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparkync Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 reel this one in Brick, ill take nit !!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldman75 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I'll take .1 inches in myrtle beach and call it a success! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Gap disco for late next week. They have already posted a frozen mix on Friday for the hickory area. Very progressive weather pattern has the Wednesday shortwave quickly followed by another...potentially more significant and deeper wave by Friday. This system may have impacts from Friday morning through Saturday with a range of rain...rain-snow mix...and snow possible...with rain more likely in lower elevations. Ec and GFS show some dramatic differences...however...with the ec having a much further south track for the storm than the GFS...which keeps the County Warning Area on the north side of the system...sparing it from the heaviest precipitation with the cold frontal passage seen in the GFS. Depending on the ultimate track of this system...liquid equivalent precipitation could vary from a tenth of an inch to 2 inches. Forecast will represent a blend of these possibilities. Following the major Friday-Saturday system...subsequent forecast has a less amplified upper-air pattern with generally benign weather. One thing I noticed on today's ensembles were a lack of a true high pressure located to the north, even though there are higher heights. I think that's why they are still just a tad too warm right now. In this setup I think we're going to need some semblance of a high pressure, at least a weak one in New York providing some CAD for it to work out. Just something I'm going to look for in future runs. All eggs in this basket. I know. Setting myself up.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 gfs with a high of 28 here monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 gfs with a high of 28 here monday Let us know how the Wed and next weekend storms are looking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Let us know how the Wed and next weekend storms are looking? looks like snow for nga and upstate sc @93, and then the precip just dies out as it tries to had further e. maybe a mix for upstate sc as it ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Sure isn't a lot of talk about next week's chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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