Brick Tamland Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Just for Brick... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 This really reminds me of the 1/30/10 event...blocking is better over HB, as of today, but 2010 had a bettern PNA/EPO/AO... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Jma looks good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 just move that southern wave east to the southern tip of Texas or slow that northern piece down and you have a phase. Exactly! That's how it goes from fairly attractive to beautiful...especially for you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 ^ We'd be better off seeing both the 50/50 low and the Miss Valley low anomaly farther south, but it's an improved look Exactly what I was thinking too. The 0z has stronger blocking, which I like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 So Grit you think we can pull off the MLK storm without help from the Thursday storm. Probably looking through euro op goggles, but last night it set it up big time for MLK. Curious to your thoughts on this. The ens still look actually a few ticks better today for Thursday. Personally I'd take it and be content with whatever else happens, just because whatever we get would last a few days with some cold and prime climo. Been a while since we had a snow hang around 4,5 ,6days afterwards. Thnx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 So Grit you think we can pull off the MLK storm without help from the Thursday storm. Probably looking through euro op goggles, but last night it set it up big time for MLK. Curious to your thoughts on this. The ens still look actually a few ticks better today for Thursday. Personally I'd take it and be content with whatever else happens, just because whatever we get would last a few days with some cold and prime climo. Been a while since we had a snow hang around 4,5 ,6days afterwards. Thnx I think it's possible, yes. Get high pressure in here like last night's run and it's game on. Also, if there's ever a case where things trend south, or don't trend north over time, it's when we have abnormal blocking in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 You only freak out about my not so rosy posts, do I get points for the last 2 posts I made? You and Mack only want me to whisper sweet nothings to you...Yes please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Thought GFS would be off the split PV train and sending a piece to southern Manitoba, looks like the 12z Euro Para did the same and that kills any snow chance of snow in the SE or even MA. That would be funny if that happened, it would push back any meaningful snowfall for a lot of folks in the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Thought GFS would be off the split PV train and sending a piece to southern Manitoba, looks like the 12z Euro Para did the same and that kills any snow chance of snow in the SE or even MA. That would be funny if that happened, it would push back any meaningful snowfall for a lot of folks in the east. Yes. Back to next winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 18z says nada on next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 18z says nada on next week. fwiw - NWS here said at 8:00 this morning - clearing and 76 --- it is cloudy, rainy and the high topped at a nice 64. now - if a 12 hour local can't be called, why could a 10 day, or even a 5 day regional???? there's still hope, i hope ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Yes. Back to next winter. Yep, this occurs day 4-5 and essentially nothing good can happen for east after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Still lots of hope. Models lose storms all the time this far out only to bring them back a couple of days later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Still lots of hope. Models lose storms all the time this far out only to bring them back a couple of days later. They're not losing storms. They're losing the entire pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 They're not losing storms. They're losing the entire pattern. So now we're back to doom and gloom less than 24 hours after everyone was excited. Actually less than 12 hours. Too funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 So now we're back to doom and gloom less than 24 hours after everyone was excited. Actually less than 12 hours. Too funny. Not being gloomy, just honest lol. We'll see what the coming days bring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Not being gloomy, just honest lol. We'll see what the coming days bring. But there is no reason to be that way in such a short amount of time. It hasn't even been a day. It was good, then not so good. No reason it can't be good again. The mood swings in such a short time and thr overall negativity by the same folks is silly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Yep, this occurs day 4-5 and essentially nothing good can happen for east after that. should we start a Commiseration thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 But there is no reason to be that way in such a short amount of time. It hasn't even been a day. It was good, then not so good. No reason it can't be good again. The mood swings in such a short time and thr overall negativity by the same folks is silly. The models looked great. Now they look like trash. What's to be positive OR negative about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Still lots of hope. Models lose storms all the time this far out only to bring them back a couple of days later. not the case as years prior, models have yet to latch on to a storm and show it consistently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 The models looked great. Now they look like trash. What's to be positive OR negative about? Might as well be positive. A lot better to go through life like that. Just think you and some others always sound negative and just harp on how things never work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 not the case as years prior, models have yet to latch on to a storm and show it consistently.Models have yet to latch on to anything much less a storm. The pattern isn't even consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 But there is no reason to be that way in such a short amount of time. It hasn't even been a day. It was good, then not so good. No reason it can't be good again. The mood swings in such a short time and thr overall negativity by the same folks is silly. No one complained yesterday when everyone jumped on the favorable models. There was no reason to do that either. It is what it is. Basically, the models are swinging rapidly between vastly different solutions. Best advice is to do what I've been doing. Ignore them all and wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 I'm 100% certain that Brad P. reads this thread. haha. He just posted that everyone was jumping on one model last night even though the ensembles did not support it.. also mentioned the energy is still over russia and asia and way too far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 I'm 100% certain that Brad P. reads this thread. haha. He just posted that everyone was jumping on one model last night even though the ensembles did not support it.. also mentioned the energy is still over russia and asia and way too far out. I don't even know that it's people "jumping on" a model when it shows something positive. It's just more exciting when it shows something positive and puts you in a swell mood and makes you happy and wanna talk about it and stuff. It's all about vibes, man. Happy people are engaging people. Being indifferent is the way to be though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 I don't even know that it's people "jumping on" a model when it shows something positive. It's just more exciting when it shows something positive and puts you in a swell mood and makes you happy and wanna talk about it and stuff. It's all about vibes, man. Happy people are engaging people. Being indifferent is the way to be though. I disagree. I've walked the planet a long time. I would advise tempering extremes rather than indifference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CherokeeGA Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 should we start a Commiseration thread? Honestly this subforum needs a "panic" thread like the mid-atlantic has, and certain posters should be confined to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 What's all the panic about? Who cares about the late week storm and then the MLK storm, we still have the great early week clipper to save us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Honestly this subforum needs a "panic" thread like the mid-atlantic has, and certain posters should be confined to it. Maybe I have just been gone too long, but I remember a time when suppressed through Central FL was a good thing 5-7 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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