DopplerWx Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 clipper for next weds looks pretty healthy at 114. snowing in va down to the nc border and in the mtns of nc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 You forgot the snow squall. I really liked that.. I think Brick had a video. That was the minor snow event, that was a nice surprise, light snow all day, very cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 That was the minor snow event, that was a nice surprise, light snow all day, very cold. No... the squall was only about 45 minutes with about 20 minutes of intense snow and wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 No... the squall was only about 45 minutes with about 20 minutes of intense snow and wind. Ah...forgot about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 For day 8-9 EPS is still having run to to changes for how the blocking develops and the 50/50. Still don't like 17/18th outside of the mountains, millerb is favored and transfer over us to just north of us. I agree with RaleighWx's tweet that things look better after Jan 20th. It sure won't be before then Not for most of us anyway. I'm still kinda excited for those in the mts and foothills these next couple of weeks Thanks, guys. I'm optimistic for the rest of the winter. I'll try to include more cliches and insults for SnowNiner, going forward. You are preachin to the choir sir Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 props to snowlover, he's been harping on the clipper for next weds and the last 3 runs of the gfs have trended stronger with it. and with highs below freezing for the top half of nc wednesday it will be plenty cold enough. will be something to watch as we get within 72hrs or so this weekend. 12z today: 12z yesterday: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 It sure won't be before then Not for most of us anyway. I'm still kinda excited for those in the mts and foothills these next couple of weeks You are preachin to the choir sir Agreed, this is getting crazy that they haven't seen snow yet, they should start cleaning up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 8, 2016 Author Share Posted January 8, 2016 12z GFS doesn't have the "lobe" over C Canada that the last 2 runs had which was blocking our HP from coming down. This should be a better run. It's all about getting HP built up and moving in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 We just need that clipper to dig a little more and we could be in business; and of course I mean a very light event... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 GFS has a low over Tx, low over Vegas and another one coming in...wow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 gfs at 168 looks like light snow over northern and western nc? low res maps so not sure on temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 8, 2016 Author Share Posted January 8, 2016 Yep, 12z GFS looks great at 162 hrs. BIG HP moving in with storm rolling across south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 8, 2016 Author Share Posted January 8, 2016 gfs at 168 looks like light snow over northern and western nc? low res maps so not sure on temps. plenty cold with 1045mb high overhead and beginning to build over the NE as the 50/50 lifts. This is a good setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 plenty cold with 1045mb high overhead and beginning to build over the NE as the 50/50 lifts. This is a good setup. and another system at 186? wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 wow the 16/17th storm looks great this run for nc. snow line (verbatim) down to sc border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 This is getting good. Finally seeing storms on the models inside 10 days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Umm...nothing is running inland on this, this may get snow in deep south on this run for 17/18th deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Umm...nothing is running inland on this, this may get snow in deep south on this run for 17/18th deal. gonna be a weenie run here shortly, at 204 it is looking good...and it isnt cutting up the apps. good trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Sounds like it would last a couple of days, too, just like whenever we got precip here since the start of fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 GFS at 186 light snow for parts of NC due to light overrunning precip and a weak low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 GFS at 186 light snow for parts of NC due to light overrunning precip and a weak low. I would take this and call it a winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Now this is a -NAO you dream about... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 almost looks like a coastal special on the 18th this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 my goodness what a gfs run.....it's late Jan 1966 all over again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Ok, somebody roll out the surface maps so I can watch Pack get snow, while my side of the county is raining. Let's have 'em. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Ok, somebody roll out the surface maps so I can watch Pack get snow, while my side of the county is raining. Let's have 'em. the clipper does pretty much that lol, snow line right on wake county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 the clipper does pretty much that lol, snow line right on wake county. Haha it always is. Wake county is the perfect spot for a rain/snow line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Also people are overlooking the closest threat which is the 12-13th clipper. I have a feeling as it gets closer and better sampled it will suddenly "pop up" and surprise people. CMC dropped some light snow over NC with it last night and GFS is close as well, just needs to dig it about 100 miles further south. Being 100-120 hours out that is certainly doable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Also people are overlooking the closest threat which is the 12-13th clipper. I have a feeling as it gets closer and better sampled it will suddenly "pop up" and surprise people. CMC dropped some light snow over NC with it last night and GFS is close as well, just needs to dig it about 100 miles further south. Being 100-120 hours out that is certainly doable. Need the PNA ridge just a little taller with less energy coming into it to crash it down. Maybe we get lucky and get that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 also the gfs is cold this run, highs after this weekend are 40s to 30s and a few days below freezing for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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