Wow Posted January 7, 2016 Author Share Posted January 7, 2016 EPS-Para is a bomb very similar to GFS. Hit piedmont and western NC hard and up through MA. HP much better. That's a huge hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Eps ensembles have been hinting at this for days. Need to get this baby running up I-95!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 7, 2016 Author Share Posted January 7, 2016 GFS parallel. This is what strong HP overhead will give you if you're in the CAD areas: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 What I find interesting is that both models (to some degree) support this storm. You said it best..lol -NAO great 50/50 -AO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Hate to break it to the Triangle folks, but Greg Fishel said tonight on the news we don't have a shot at snow the next 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Hate to break it to the Triangle folks, but Greg Fishel said tonight on the news we don't have a shot at snow the next 10 days. He's right...you disagree with him? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Hate to break it to the Triangle folks, but Greg Fishel said tonight on the news we don't have a shot at snow the next 10 days. If he counts today, he has a 99% chance of being right assuming the 1/17 storm doesn't get started early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Nice comparison of the 18z GFS and EURO **Heck its nice to see some agreement** I don't care if its rain/snow/sleet/ZR/Severe, its something that is showing up and lets see how well it keeps showing up on both models. https://www.facebook.com/ChriswxmanSimmons/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 He's right...you disagree with him? Yeah, looks like it could be 11 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Hate to break it to the Triangle folks, but Greg Fishel said tonight on the news we don't have a shot at snow the next 10 days. I hope we get that snow flurry next Tuesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreensboroWx Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Hate to break it to the Triangle folks, but Greg Fishel said tonight on the news we don't have a shot at snow the next 10 days. If I have said it once, I've said it a 1000 times...why do people on this board watch the local tv mets?? You get so much more detailed and expert analysis on here. Are you expecting a nugget of info you won't find here?? All in all, they are going to play winter weather events very close to the vest until nearly the day of..... I will say, Greg Fischel is a good met and there are many more in and around NC...Mr. East even posts on here often. I'm just saying, don't expect anything you won't already see here first! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 He's right...you disagree with him?True! This mega bomb storm is 11-12 days off! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 If I have said it once, I've said it a 1000 times...why do people on this board watch the local tv mets?? You get so much more detailed and expert analysis on here. Are you expecting a nugget of info you won't find here?? All in all, they are going to play winter weather events very close to the vest until nearly the day of..... I will say, Greg Fischel is a good met and there are many more in and around NC...Mr. East even posts on here often. I'm just saying, don't expect anything you won't already see here first! I was being a little sarcastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreensboroWx Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 I was being a little sarcastic. Right...I understand, but it's not the only time you have quoted Fishel. Hard to tell when your sarcastic. I will say you aren't the only one, though. This pattern is ripe for something big....we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 So....you have the Euro-para, GFS-para and 18 GFS, just need Op euro for w-NC to start getting excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 GFS para. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Top 10 Analogs for D+11 (Days 8-14) centered on 1/18: 7 of 10 are STRONG El Ninos. 8/10 are El Ninos. These same analog dates w/ accumulating snowfall: *shoutout to NCrain for the database link. Not saying we should take this verbatim, as it's D10+, but the signal is there...the block in the above image and modeling is perfect for SE snowstorms during Strong El Ninos...it's textbook. If we get out of this time period without snowfall in at least NC, this would be the biggest pattern bust in recent history. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 GFS para. Dec 2009 right there if it happens. SC is left out. It'll be hard to get excited though until the Op Euro shows it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Dec 2009 right there if it happens. SC is left out. It'll be hard to get excited though until the Op Euro shows it.Kind of like that little hurricane this summer! Who needs the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 here is the 18Z GFS and its convoluted mess lol. No cutting with that all that blocking, huh? This thing goes right over my head with this track. . . and brings me a lot of cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Dec 2009 right there if it happens. SC is left out. It'll be hard to get excited though until the Op Euro shows it. I may cry if that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Sorry to sound poo poo but I see rain in the Triangle on these runs. Suppose it could change but we live under the shadow of the northwest trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 They must have knew our winter was going to be back loaded all along! Here's to some better runs! The NOAA Hurricane Hunters 7 hrs · Tampa, FL · Yesterday, The NOAA Hurricane Hunters conducted safety training as crewmembers prepare to conduct missions over the Pacific later this month. In this photo, G-IV Crew Chief Mr. Angel Negron practices evacuating #NOAA49 (the #NOAA G-IV) through an over-wing emergency exit while wearing the assigned safety gear. Photo Credit: Mr. Jack Parrish (NOAA/AOC) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Sorry to sound poo poo but I see rain in the Triangle on these runs. Suppose it could change but we live under the shadow of the northwest trend Can't have a NW trend with that block Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Sorry to sound poo poo but I see rain in the Triangle on these runs. Suppose it could change but we live under the shadow of the northwest trend You could be right but I think with all the blocking a SE trend is just as likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 You could be right but I think with all the blocking a SE trend is just as likely. This storm just appeared a few hours ago. The only "trend" I want to see is to have it on another run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 This storm just appeared a few hours ago. The only "trend" I want to see is to have it on another run. To be fair you can almost literally go back to the year of 2015 to see this storm coming. Here is hour 384. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 To be fair you can almost literally go back to the year of 2015 to see this storm coming. Here is hour 384. Get outta here Technically, that was the 12z run on 1/1 though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 8, 2016 Author Share Posted January 8, 2016 So....you have the Euro-para, GFS-para and 18 GFS, just need Op euro for w-NC to start getting excited. Still 10 days out but it's good to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Still 10 days out but it's good to see. Really it starts for the western parts around day 8/9 then swings in day ten for the east . By western I mean western parts of the southeast Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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