Northern Foothills Snowman Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Well I can't post it but the DGEX snowfall map gives pretty much the whole state a monster storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 2:51 AM, SnowNiner said: That WPC map is crazy, but it doesn't look threatening to me. Looks rainy. High in Canada isn't going to cut it, neither is a low in central GA. Just need to plan a trip to Roanoke I guess.Banana high, FTW ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 2:55 AM, Northern Foothills Snowman said: Well I can't post it but the DGEX snowfall map gives pretty much the whole state a monster storm. That's got like a 0.1% chance of Verifying someone posted that map earlier! that has never verified and never will but fun to look at..... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 2:55 AM, Northern Foothills Snowman said: Well I can't post it but the DGEX snowfall map gives pretty much the whole state a monster storm. Here you go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 2:36 AM, CaryWx said: That's Georgia I presume? he was specifically talking about the euro, a double barreled high (a banana type), the fact that the euro is notoriously poor at picking up the 2m cold this far out and "IF" it were to play out as the euro is currently depicted, could be the type of "payback" that NC certainly does not want to see (ICE). Indicated that if things trended stronger GA could see ice as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 3:02 AM, UpStateCAD said: he was specifically talking about the euro, a double barreled high (a banana type), the fact that the euro is notoriously poor at picking up the 2m cold this far out and "IF" it were to play out as the euro is currently depicted, could be the type of "payback" that NC certainly does not want to see (ICE). Indicated that if things trended stronger GA could see ice as well.The right part of the banana would have to trend a lot stronger starting now. We are worlds away from a crippling ice storm, but anything can happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 BOOM...here we go. 0.25 liquid equiv snow/sleet probs from WPC. 30% Boone, Wilkesboro, Mount Airy, Yanceyville 10% Charlotte, Greensboro, Raleigh 50% Blacksburg, Roanoke, Lynchburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 3:09 AM, NWNC2015 said: BOOM...here we go. 0.25 liquid equiv snow/sleet probs from WPC. 30% Boone, Wilkesboro, Mount Airy, Yanceyville 10% Charlotte, Greensboro, Raleigh 50% Blacksburg, Roanoke, Lynchburg How do you think this is going to play out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 3:13 AM, Cold Rain said: How do you think this is going to play out?The 10% area will be Zero by tomorrow , or later tonight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I know it's not worth much, but what else is there to talk about? The 84hr NAM looks like it's gonna be far to the south with our low. The trough is still very positive and it looks like it should keep sinking south a good ways before it pinches off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 3:17 AM, burrel2 said: I know it's not worth much, but what else is there to talk about? The 84hr NAM looks like it's gonna be far to the south with our low. The trough is still very positive and it looks like it should keep sinking south a good ways before it pinches off. I personally am pulling for the southern shift. Not only of the LPS but also of that HPS. It's the only shot I have at any frozen precip. Although, I don't want a major ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 That trough needs to be in Dallas not up towards Kansas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 3:13 AM, Cold Rain said: How do you think this is going to play out? Tired of guessing and being wrong all winter so I am going to listen to Pcroton from WU and wait until Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 more pos tilt, less phasing on the GFS so far. Should be further south with the storm. Let's see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Looks like we will have a less amped solution on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 3:55 AM, Wow said: more pos tilt, less phasing on the GFS so far. Should be further south with the storm. Let's see. yeah it's going to take a lot longer to go neg, maybe go neg over LA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 slower, a little more HP building over the NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 DTVaWeatherman @DTVaWeatherman 1m1 minute ago 0Z Monday op GFS thru 96 hrs has closed 500 Low over ne TX- NO MISSOURI or OH like 12z GFS -- HIUGE shift south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Latest GFS shows a slight increase in moisture for the midweek system. NC/VA folks should be pleased EDIT: Moisture transport gets shut off by the Mtns Maybe a brief CAD event for far N GA and SC at onset before a warm up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 Starting to go neg right over the MS river. Gonna send a dying primary over TN valley and pop a new low off SE coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Really warm for Charlotte. Crazy WAA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 Once it phased it is quick with amping it up... Needs to hold off a little longer to keep the WAA at bay. Still, good trends here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 This is an absolutely insane run for NOVA. Holy crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 4:07 AM, Wow said: Once it phased it is quick with amping it up... Needs to hold off a little longer to keep the WAA at bay. Still, good trends here. Yup. The Mid-Atlantic forum must be going nuts! Could trend towards a later phase like this run! Like we seen this winter, phasing really doesn't work out perfectly like models state several days before the system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 High is a good 2mb stronger to the north than 18z and bleeding into NY State. 00z 1/17 00z 1/18 Good trends for NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Big hit VA north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 4:07 AM, Wow said: Once it phased it is quick with amping it up... Needs to hold off a little longer to keep the WAA at bay. Still, good trends here.it sure did! That thing closed off quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 The ULL cuts off ala Jan 96 and blasts the MA and NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 GFS Ensembles will probably look nice for foothills and NW Piedmont in NC. Typical cad areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Gotta get south some more! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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