Cheeznado Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 12Z GFS totally unimpressed with the first event in 8-9 days. This matches well with the EC ensembles. I am more interested actually in the following system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 On 1/9/2016 at 4:47 PM, Snowlover29 said: Our locat met is talking about it....Chris Justus, Meteorologist *SNOW THREAT* I have been telling you the pattern is ripe for wintry weather and now we have a few threats to watch. The upcoming cold air is something I'm fairly confident about. The approaching moisture-packed systems and their strength and track are things I'm not confident about yet. I'll have a full video update today by 4:30pm and tonight on WYFF News 4 at 6pm. Timeline Photos · 1 hour ago · Facebook Mentions · View Full Size · Report Photo Isn't he like some weekend guy? I remember he once tweeted the NWS uses 100% model data in their grids. He also thinks AGW is a top-down government conspiracy. Anyway...I have a hard time believing his hype and thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover29 Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 No he is 7 days a week. Maybe you are thinking of someone else? He is pretty accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 12z GEFS likes suppression on Thursday Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 On 1/9/2016 at 4:54 PM, isohume said: Isn't he like some weekend guy? I remember he once tweeted the NWS uses 100% model data in their grids. He also thinks AGW is a top-down government conspiracy. Anyway...I have a hard time believing his hype and thoughts. That's exactly what I'd expect someone in the middle of the conspiracy to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 On 1/9/2016 at 5:02 PM, Snowlover29 said: No he is 7 days a week. Maybe you are thinking of someone else? He is pretty accurate. I imagine. On 1/9/2016 at 5:06 PM, Queencitywx said: That's exactly what I'd expect someone in the middle of the conspiracy to say. Shhh.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 When is the next Euro run. 1? 2:30? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 On 1/9/2016 at 4:38 PM, Brick Tamland said: It sure seems the Euro usually leads the way and the GFS follows a lot more often than the other way around. But yesterday the GFS was leading the way...clown maps and all. Now the EURO is the only one to show SE snow and all of a sudden IT'S leading the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 The 12z GEFS is fired up for the 17th/18th Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 On 1/9/2016 at 5:02 PM, Snowlover29 said: No he is 7 days a week. Maybe you are thinking of someone else? He is pretty accurate.No, he is the weekend met. He fills in for John Cessarich during the week sometimes. Dale Gilbert takes the morning and midday shift during the week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Hmmm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 On 1/9/2016 at 5:23 PM, Stormcatt said: The 12z GEFS is fired up for the 17th/18th Yeah, overall the mean looked similar to the 00z run. All we can really do at this point is hope to continue seeing the big picture items - west based block, PV lobe underneath, el nino feeding pacific waves. The GFS members at 204 give the picture of the widely varied solutions (to be expected at that time range). http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSHGTWIDE_6z/ensloopwide.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 CMC-end has a hint of day 5-6 event and looks like GEFS for day 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 On 1/9/2016 at 5:33 PM, NCrain said: Hmmm... Rain for mby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Analogs of March 1980 and February 1973 should bring some excitement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 On 1/9/2016 at 5:13 PM, Extreme NEGA said: When is the next Euro run. 1? 2:30? starts rolling here soon, depending on your website you use. SV starts rolling now, it will be 1:50pm or so before we get in range to the MLK day threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 On 1/9/2016 at 5:42 PM, NCrain said: CMC-end has a hint of day 5-6 event and looks like GEFS for day 8 CMC Ensemble keeps the PV low spinning there in SE Canada for quite a long time on the mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 GEFS definitely favors a more interior event, makes sense, cold is marginal at the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 On 1/9/2016 at 5:21 PM, Jonathan said: But yesterday the GFS was leading the way...clown maps and all. Now the EURO is the only one to show SE snow and all of a sudden IT'S leading the way. lol, It's funny how the one with snow leads the way, and all others we trash!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 GEFS says we are pretty warm for day 8, we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 On 1/9/2016 at 6:08 PM, NCrain said: GEFS says we are pretty warm for day 8, we shall see. Wow. Look at the cold out west. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Euro has a similar look for next Thurs, but it misses the phase this run. Low is in the gulf, but precip stays in southern 1/2 of Bama and GA through hr129 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 On 1/9/2016 at 6:23 PM, griteater said: Euro has a similar look for next Thurs, but it misses the phase this run. Low is in the gulf, but precip stays in southern 1/2 of Bama and GA through hr129 yep more suppressed and weaker, won't do it this run for 1/14...we'll see if MLK day brings the goods again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 On 1/9/2016 at 6:23 PM, griteater said: Euro has a similar look for next Thurs, but it misses the phase this run. Low is in the gulf, but precip stays in southern 1/2 of Bama and GA through hr129How's temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Next healthy wave is in AZ at 132....setup looks pretty good out front, but we'll see where it goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 On 1/9/2016 at 6:23 PM, griteater said: Euro has a similar look for next Thurs, but it misses the phase this run. Low is in the gulf, but precip stays in southern 1/2 of Bama and GA through hr129northern stream out in front on the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 On 1/9/2016 at 6:23 PM, griteater said: Euro has a similar look for next Thurs, but it misses the phase this run. Low is in the gulf, but precip stays in southern 1/2 of Bama and GA through hr129 southern stream energy hangs back just a hair to much, close though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 On 1/9/2016 at 6:25 PM, mackerel_sky said: How's temps? Pretty similar, maybe a tick warmer without the phase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Healthy wave now in N Mexico / W TX at 144....flow looks pretty good ahead of it...guessing this stays across the south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 You can see the three pieces of energy, lots of moving parts for the day 5 event but still definitely on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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