ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 You know what I mean......your overall idea was good. I argued tooth and nail and was wrong. QBO FTW. I was only calling for a modest seasonal NAO, but even that was bad. What is the current DJFM reading? I'm not convinced it was the QBO either. There's been a big change in the N ATL since spring 2013. Not sure what exactly has caused it or when it will break, but that cold pool up there has been present for almost 3 years now. At any rate not to go too off topic, but it will be an interesting phenomenon to study in hindsight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Same time, Same channelsame person who says he loves it when Mets bash the GFS ,freaks out about the GFS but totally ignores the foot the Euro gave . Posts the GFS ens but not the Euro. I don't know man this place can be bat she it crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Remember: the only person here beyond reproach is me. Too bad you could not fire a few thunderbolts into the PV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 I'm not convinced it was the QBO either. There's been a big change in the N ATL since spring 2013. Not sure what exactly has caused it or when it will break, but that cold pool up there has been present for almost 3 years now. At any rate not to go too off topic, but it will be an interesting phenomenon to study in hindsight. QBO sure as hell did not help, but I do agree with your other thoughts. Hey, we were due for a ratter, and we have paid the piper. One could say that we are now due for a -NAO season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 golf season soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Full first name is too long to even bother (you know, probably the "biggest problem" of being from Syria) -- but I go by "Lia". Ok, nice to have you here, Lia. Welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Lol weens going straight up Ophelia in here. Heck of a read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 You always have to butt your nose in and get your opinions in whenever there's any issues or controversy. This has nothing to do with you. There was no reason for you to make that post or bring up my name. But you felt you needed to get in the middle as usual.your name was brought up because it's you who freaked and ridiculedDeal with it -Cosgrove Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Man, there was a part of me writing that outlook that wanted to hit the bad luck aspect hard because of last year...regression, but I didn't. Kicking myself, but hopefully we salvage another good event or two. All sarcasm aside, the pattern that Will, Scott et all have referenced is viable and not without merit. Lets see how it plays out, but I feel very pessimistic....just like I did in latter 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Monday was always garbage in my mind agreed and seeing so many tucked or inland runner ensemble members for mid week all the way back to day 10 was a huge red flag all along Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 your name was brought up because it's you who freaked and ridiculed Deal with it -Cosgrove I didn't ridicule anyone. I saw what all the 00z runs and their ensembles did. coming way west .and I faced reality about this moving in the direction of a mainly non frozen event. Doesn't mean there won't be a little front end snow, but I'm not going to get excited over an op run that came 200 miles west 5 days out. Here's the deal,, when folks start posting about scenarios that you don't like, you get upset and start low blows and post shots. You do it to most everyone here, and it's not appreciated. Maybe things can shift back east, but as of now I'm thinking mainly rain for at least my area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 IMBY, this was '94-'95...hands down. '06-'07 was in another league....much better. yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 19, 2016 Author Share Posted February 19, 2016 lol at the meltdowns after one overnight run on a LR threat. Let's try to reel it in and act like we've been there before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 QBO sure as hell did not help, but I do agree with your other thoughts. Hey, we were due for a ratter, and we have paid the piper. One could say that we are now due for a -NAO season. I had someone else discuss that with me too. That cold pool has been there along with troughing. I'm not big on the waters driving the pattern, but there has been persistence there. Then again, we also have had a decent Pacific for about as long too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Thank you! Looking to learn as much as I can. You're in the right place. Incredible pool of knowledge on display. In fact, if you would like to know the H85 temperature at the precise moment that you were born in Syria, I'm sure that ORH_wxman remembers and could enlighten you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Thank you! Looking to learn as much as I can. Well, you've certainly come to the right place, the last several pages excepted. Many knowledgeable posters in here. I've certainly picked up a ton from these guys. And as Ray said, welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 I had someone else discuss that with me too. That cold pool has been there along with troughing. I'm not big on the waters driving the pattern, but there has been persistence there. Then again, we also have had a decent Pacific for about as long too. Its like the warm pool in the N PAC, it may not be a primary driver, but until presented with a reason to change, there is certainly an element of reciprocity ongoing between the sea and air, as that continues to feedback. Knowing what we know RE the ENSO/Stratospheric canvas, there was certainly zero providing the impetus for change, as it turns out. I thought there was, but I was apparently mistaken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 lol at the meltdowns after one overnight run on a LR threat. Let's try to reel it in and act like we've been there before.it's amazing. Inside 72? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 getting all kinds of shirley jackson in here this morning....the villagers want blood! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Young, yes. Normal? No. No no no. then you fit right in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Can't tell if I entered the model thread or the debra thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Can't tell if I entered the model thread or the debra threadactually discussion of Ray's outlook ,surprised? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Omg a girl. Nobody tell her she's in the wrong subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Omg a girl. Nobody tell her she's in the wrong subforum. Ray will scare her away with his anger fueled posts in no time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 actually discussion of Ray's outlook ,surprised? Love you, too Ray will scare her away with his anger fueled posts in no time. I'm past the anger stage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Love you, too I'm past the anger stage. I use to be afraid to respond to your posts when I first came aboard ..you're like a hyena who hasn't had a meal in months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Seriously...let's get back on track. We have at least 2 or 3 banter/bitching threads. Keep it in there.Banter, Debra and NNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Iceberg, when I don't sleep, I get bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 golf season soon Cant wait. Though I won't be able to hit 18 as much, but when I can sneak out...nothing better besides a 6"/hr deform band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 same person who says he loves it when Mets bash the GFS ,freaks out about the GFS but totally ignores the foot the Euro gave . Posts the GFS ens but not the Euro. I don't know man this place can be bat she it crazy. I read this thread first thing this morning and just smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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