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Yea, the precip has been disappointing.....warmest ever, and below normal precip....no wonder we are where we are.

 

Not here (for precip) and an exception to the usual "+precip = +snowfall in NNE."  My Dec-Jan precip was 9.23", which is 124% of my avg, and I feel fortunate to have gotten as much as 60% of avg snowfall - many have done much worse.

 

 

It is pretty spectacular out. If it isn't going to dump snow, I'm absolutely fine with this.

 

Less fine here, as this wx turns our gravel road's surface to slime.  I'd be okay with that in late March, which is when it occurs in an average year, because in 2-3 days the frost is driven down enough to give a decent surface for light traffic.  This "winter" it's already happened about 4 times, and continuing mud runs just to get home are not pleasant. 

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Besides those sites I gave you. Mlb.tv is now offering single team streaming packages for 2016. The cost for all team was $130 last season so I'd imagine for a single team it will be much less.

 

I thought I heard someone day it's 25 bucks a month? Hope not..but I have time to check it out.

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Banana hammocks at base lodge.

 

Not anymore... front moved through fast.

 

34F at summit and 41F at the base lodge with like 50mph winds.

 

Now that warmth has shifted east... we've got upper 30s and low 40s in northern NY and NW VT.  Mid-40s in central VT here and low 50s in eastern VT/NH/ME.

 

Many 50s showing up now in Littleton/Jackson/Berlin...even up near Bethel/Newry Sunday River area showing 50s now, too.

 

Torch.  But the colder air is pushing in from NW.

 

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Noyes Feb forecast.

Disclaimer*** don't view if you like cold and snow

 

http://www.necn.com/weather/video/NECN_020116_weather_6am_NECN-367186551.html

 

"Its 57 degrees in Rutland, Vermont....RIGHT NOW!  Right now it is 3 degrees shy of 60 degrees in Vermont to start the day!" 

 

lol that cracked me up.  Pretty ridiculous morning for February 1st.

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One of the more technical BOX AFD's in a while... take it for what it is worth...

AMPLIFIED WEATHER PATTERN OVER N AMERICA IS PERHAPS ON THE HORIZON
INTO MID-FEBRUARY. EVALUATING STRATOSPHERIC TEMPERATURES AT 10 MB... IMPRESSIVE WARMTH OVER ASIA PIVOTING THE STRATOSPHERIC POLAR VORTEX
INTO THE N-ATLANTIC IF YOU ACCEPT THE FORECAST FOR WHAT IT IS WORTH.
THE POLAR JET ALTERS N-S STRAIGHT INTO THE C-CONUS DOWN INTO THE N
GULF. BOTH CLIMATE FORECAST SYSTEM /CFS/ AND EC ENSEMBLE PREDICTION
SYSTEM /EPS/ HIGHLIGHT A NOTEWORTHY NEGATIVE 2M TEMPERATURE ANOMALY
ACROSS THE C-CONUS ACCORDINGLY BY MID-FEBRUARY. THE ARCTIC AS WELL
AS THE E-PACIFIC OSCILLATION TRANSITION NEGATIVE WITH TIME.

BUT THAT IS ONLY ONE PIECE OF THE PUZZLE...THE OTHER BEING EL NINO
SOUTHERN OSCILLATION WITH POSSIBLE PHASE 3 THROUGH 5 MADDEN-JULIAN
CONTRIBUTIONS...KEEPING THE PACIFIC N-AMERICA PATTERN POSITIVE WITH
RIDGING OVER THE NE-PACIFIC AND A PROGRESSIVE FLOW REGIME DOWNSTREAM
WITH NO INDICATIONS OF BLOCKING ACROSS THE N-ATLANTIC. A COMBINATION
IN ALL WHICH WARRANTS WARM CONDITIONS OVER THE E-CONUS AS WE SAW
DURING NOVEMBER AND DECEMBER WHEN THE MADDEN-JULIAN OSCILLATION WAS
GREATLY CONTRIBUTING IN ADDITION TO THE EL NINO SIGNAL.

A CHALLENGING LONG-TERM FORECAST AS BOTH STORM TRACK AND BAROCLINIC
ZONE ALONG WITH THE ACCOMPANYING SW-NE BELT OF WESTERLIES STRETCHED
ACROSS THE E-CONUS ARE LIKELY TO WOBBLE GRADUALLY E WITH TIME. SO TO
BEGIN FEBRUARY WE ARE EXPECTED TO STAY ON THE INSIDE OF THE STORM
TRACK WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR...A WARM-WET PATTERN ANTICIPATED. BUT
BY MID-FEBRUARY WE MAY FIND OURSELVES ON THE FENCE RAIL BETWEEN THE
AIRMASSES WHEN EVALUATING H85 TEMPERATURES WITH THE EXPECTATION OF
COASTAL-OFFSHORE STORM DEVELOPMENT.

LOTS OF INTANGIBLES WITH LESSER CONFIDENCE FURTHER OUT IN TIME WITH
THE FORECAST. BUT OVERALL THE DISCUSSION ABOVE IS IN STEP WITH THE
CFS AND EPS WITH THE NE CONUS NAMELY S NEW ENGLAND WOBBLING WITHIN
THE TRANSITION ZONE OF BELOW- AND ABOVE-AVERAGE TEMPERATURES W TO E.
CONTINUED CHALLENGES WITH THE JUXTAPOSITIONING OF EL NINO AND ARCTIC
OSCILLATION.

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One of the more technical BOX AFD's in a while... take it for what it is worth...

 

:axe:

 

A little too much talk about mid Feb for an AFD that only covers out to day 7/8.

 

I've actually heard of forecasters getting reprimanded for going too aggressive with long range predictions in a product that isn't intended for that purpose.

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Agree with the fuel savings but as far as getting out and enjoying it, what can I do?  You can't really do much walking anywhere and I can't play golf so it is harder to get out and enjoy than you might think, at least up here.

 

I guess for me, it's easier to do things with a 3 yr old. Mud hasn't been an issue despite the snow melt.

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:axe:

 

A little too much talk about mid Feb for an AFD that only covers out to day 7/8.

 

I've actually heard of forecasters getting reprimanded for going too aggressive with long range predictions in a product that isn't intended for that purpose.

 

 

:lol:  That was just a ramble. 

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