HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Nice pairing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Nice pairing. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FM0Pl80Zf00&spfreload=10 nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 I don't agree with DIT about Bowie, one of the all time greats imho but I do get what he's saying. For me it's the Doors. I appreciate their talent but their music is like nails on a chalkboard to me, especially Manzarik's keyboards. Doesn't diminish their talent, just not my taste. Lots of good bands mentioned here. I think I'm about 10 years or so younger than Dryslot and Ginx and my faves tend to be in their prime about a decade after some of the ones the mentioned. Van Halen and ACDC are always in my rotation, especially with DLR and Bon Scott. GnR is another fave as well as Iron Maiden and Skynard is also floating around the top as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Pink Floyd - Darkside of the Moon was my first concert. When stationed in AF had the surprise of seeing Muddy Waters... Mick Jagger, Kieth Richards and Ronnie Woods showed up out-of-nowhere and starting jammin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Pink Floyd - Darkside of the Moon was my first concert. When stationed in AF had the surprise of seeing Muddy Waters... Mick Jagger, Kieth Richards and Ronnie Woods showed up out-of-nowhere and starting jammin. now thats a memory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 ios 9.3 is going to have built in f.lux...it's about time. The blue light kills my eyes. Meanwhile, I use 6500k bulbs in my bedroom. I find the bluish light soothing. Two of these people are doing their own thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 If you have any time off and crave snow, we have a pretty strong LES event coming for the next 3 days. The tug is not to far of a drive for you guys. Some places will have over 100" by Sunday at that location. Even off Erie totals will be 4-6'+. There will be some thunder snow Tomorrow into Weds as well. This is just from todays event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 AWT 77 analogs FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 AWT 77 analogs FTW Yeah it had those a full week ahead of time, pretty cool to see them predict this LES event 10 days in advance. Very accurate forecast so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Highly jealous of the LES. Enjoy! Post lots of pics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 I don't agree with DIT about Bowie, one of the all time greats imho but I do get what he's saying. For me it's the Doors. I appreciate their talent but their music is like nails on a chalkboard to me, especially Manzarik's keyboards. Doesn't diminish their talent, just not my taste. Lots of good bands mentioned here. I think I'm about 10 years or so younger than Dryslot and Ginx and my faves tend to be in their prime about a decade after some of the ones the mentioned. Van Halen and ACDC are always in my rotation, especially with DLR and Bon Scott. GnR is another fave as well as Iron Maiden and Skynard is also floating around the top as well. Those two also are in my archives as well, Also a little Deep Purple and Grand Funk Railroad along with Cream, With Ginger Baker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Those two also are in my archives as well, Also a little Deep Purple and Grand Funk Railroad along with Cream, With Ginger BakerDeep Purple, very under appreciated here in America but a great band none the less. I forgot to mention Aerosmith too. Their early stuff is great, much better than the stuff they put out late in their career. Once they got sober, the good stuff was over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 15f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 15f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 I bet Ryan can't wait until he gets to be a lead tv meteorologist so he can talk about irrelevant crap all morning that only he and the traffic girl pretend are funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 39 of 42 days above normal so far in this met winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Deep Purple, very under appreciated here in America but a great band none the less. I forgot to mention Aerosmith too. Their early stuff is great, much better than the stuff they put out late in their career. Once they got sober, the good stuff was over. Steven Tyler was better in the 70's and 80's for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 39 of 42 days above normal so far in this met winter. MTD BOS +5.2 BDL +4.6 PVD +4.2 ORH +4.9 Pretty torchy if you ask me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 AWT 77 analogs FTW Yet here I sit with 1.1" of snow on the season with no interesting looking storm going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Yet here I sit with 1.1" of snow on the season with no interesting looking storm going forward. Bastard! That's more than me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 So I mentioned my concerns with probabilistic snowfall in the storm thread last night, but figured my comments about it were better served in this thread than that one. The idea is good, to give decision makers a realistic idea of what our goal posts are for the event. Those max/min maps represent the 90th and 10th percentiles, so 1 out of 10 chance of verifying higher/lower than those amounts respectively. The problem comes from how those grids are generated. We (the WFO) produce a storm total snow grid, and WPC produces a storm total snow grid. They are compared at every grid point (over 2,500) to come up with a difference. Long story short, WPC comes up with percentile grids from their own distribution functions based on their 62 model ensemble. We then shift their percentiles by the difference between our storm total grid points (again at each grid point). One problem we ran into yesterday was what happens if we agree in some areas but disagree in others. In this storm today we're expecting more snow at WVL than LEW, as totals should increase moving towards central ME. So you would expect that the minimum potential snowfall would be higher at WVL than LEW right? Wrong. We said 6 inches at WVL on yesterday's day shift, and 4.5 inches at LEW. WPC said 6 inches at WVL and 3 inches at LEW. So a difference of 0 for WVL and 1.5 inches for LEW. Now the WPC 10th percentile (the min potential snowfall) was 3.1 at WVL and 1.8 at LEW. Apply the difference and all of a sudden the min potential snowfall for our office is higher at LEW (3.3 inches) than WVL (3.1). Not at all what we intended to say, and not intuitive at all based on the fact that more snow should fall closer to the CAR border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Yet here I sit with 1.1" of snow on the season with no interesting looking storm going forward. 77-78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Here is what our min potential snow graphic looked like yesterday. A big bullseye in the middle of our CWA, even though the most snow should be farther east. Does it really make sense that in a worst case scenario there is more snow expected around LEW and north, then points east? Doubtful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Gotta love automation! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 One must acknowledge that this winter vs last winter to date: this one is way warmer and more extreme o. The rat side. My guess is the second half is "less cold" vs progs. Doesn't mean it won't snow though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Gotta love automation! Look at this morning, BTV's min potential is the exact same as it's most likely. BOX has most likely <1 in central Worcester County, but the min potential is 1. Something is broken with the logic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Yet here I sit with 1.1" of snow on the season with no interesting looking storm going forward.didn't realize you moved to the GL, dumb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Look at this morning, BTV's min potential is the exact same as it's most likely. BOX has most likely <1 in central Worcester County, but the min potential is 1. Something is broken with the logic. That logic or formula needs more work, That makes very little sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Look at this morning, BTV's min potential is the exact same as it's most likely. BOX has most likely <1 in central Worcester County, but the min potential is 1. Something is broken with the logic. It's not just NWS. I fight some of this stuff too. Of course in the private sector, some of this is to sell the "sizzle" if you will. It's an interesting battle with sales people and meteorologists. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 It's not just NWS. I fight some of this stuff too. Of course in the private sector, some of this is to sell the "sizzle" if you will. It's an interesting battle with sales people and meteorologists. I love the idea of probabilistic ranges of potential snowfall, but we're not doing it right. I don't claim to know the best way either, but this isn't working for me. And from here it's a slippery slope to just saying "let's just use WPC snowfall and we won't have this issue." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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