mackerel_sky Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 If we were in the bulls-eye right now, people would complain. If the trend is on our side, people complain. What to do, what to do! I couldn't be happier on where we're sitting in the SE right now... my spider senses are tingling for the first time this winter! +1How much for Lowell!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 +1 How much for Lowell!? I'll respond Thursday BTW, Canadian was further south than the 12z run. MA forum going to crap themselves as the south trend continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 UKMET did a pretty okay/consistent job with the recent gulf low. Weatherbell removed that experimental UKMET stuff from last year we had that went further out with precip etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLO Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Why do people say deep south when talking ab snow in tenn, northern nc or va? That is not deep south. Deep south is alabama, georgia, sc and possibly charlotte area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 UKMET did a pretty okay/consistent job with the recent gulf low. Weatherbell removed that experimental UKMET stuff from last year we had that went further out with precip etc. Yeah, that was nice to have last year. I was disappointed when I renewed this year and they did not have it back. It took forever to come out (I think it took until 2 or 3 AM for the 00z run), but it was still nice to review. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Why do people say deep south when talking ab snow in tenn, northern nc or va? That is not deep south. Deep south is alabama, georgia, sc and possibly charlotte area. deep south is LA, MS, AL, GA, SC. Charlotte is not deep south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Yeah, that was nice to have last year. I was disappointed when I renewed this year and they did not have it back. It took forever to come out (I think it took until 2 or 3 AM for the 00z run), but it was still nice to review. To be fair.. it was in testing or something and it was supposed to not be shared at all. Like worse than the Euro data... and people started posting it around for free... he had a unique disclaimer to the UKMET experimental on not sharing it.. nobody I guess paid attention. Not sure that is what happened, but I would not doubt it. I would bet the UKMET guys were not happy to have their model look bad if it didn't do too well in that experimental phase to the general public. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Why do people say deep south when talking ab snow in tenn, northern nc or va? That is not deep south. Deep south is alabama, georgia, sc and possibly charlotte area.I thought TN was considered west!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 If things play out like the GFS is showing tonight I'll be probably heading to the Cumberland Plateau in TN. Looks like a lot of snow there. Going big, nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 When I mention deep South.. I visualize I-20 and South.. give or take a few miles. But Googling shows a different picture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Going big, nice His idea was to not get stuck in a storm.. That should be interesting in his Toyota Corolla. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Going big, nice well I mean they don't get 2-3 feet like the mid atlantic but it looks like they could get a solid 3-6, esp near the KY border. If I want to see BIG snow, the closest place for me to go may be KY, unless the mountains get a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 His idea was to not get stuck in a storm.. That should be interesting in his Toyota Corolla. I drove through 10 inches of snow in KY last year with no problem. Of course it was a dry powdery snow so I'm sure that helped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I drove through 10 inches of snow in KY last year with no problem. Of course it was a dry powdery snow so I'm sure that helped. Wait. Are you saying you have a Corolla? That was just a guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Are we going to have a Euro PBP tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Wait. Are you saying you have a Corolla? That was just a guess. no I don't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Looking forward to see what the Euro shows. Feeling optimistic right now about northern Tennessee. Good trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Wait. Are you saying you have a Corolla? That was just a guess.I'd guess 92 CRX? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Wait. Are you saying you have a Corolla? That was just a guess. Photo from his last chase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I'd guess 92 CRX? what the heck is a CRX ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Photo from his last chase. That guy is my hero.. but heavens help him in a wreck. What is that? A Hybrid Vespa or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 what the heck is a CRX ? Honda. They were pretty popular with a certain crowd that enjoyed rice around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Photo from his last chase. that would be the perfect avatar for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Did the site crash or was that just me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Did the site crash or was that just me? I think it crashed. If it's already crashing now I can't imagine what it'll be like in a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 For those around the Midlands of SC, I have added a new Winter weather chance signature to my profile/posts. I base the % chance off of many factors including ensembles, operational runs, climo, and overall trends. For my first, I have chosen 13% in the next 7 days just because of the potential big mid-atlantic storm taking shape on modeling. It's on the lower side due to just a very slight chance of some wrap around moisture on the backside.. which is weighted on the few Southern ensemble member solutions. (doubtful basically) I won't always explain the reasoning unless it goes past 50%.. and that will be briefly described in the signature next to the %. If you aren't able to see the signature, it's because you are using a mobile device or have the mobile style activated for the board that disables signatures. Props to WxWatcher007's despair index for the idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 After seeing the 06z GFS.. no way in Hell this thing gonna dig deep enough to do much for the Southeast proper. Hope some of you guys outside the mountains in NC can luck out though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 For those chasing, you might as well go all out and drive a couple more hours north to possibly see a historic snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 For those chasing, you might as well go all out and drive a couple more hours north to possibly see a historic snowfall. DISC! C'mon now, you know this is going to be a major qpf producer for us. If you look at the 6Z GFS output, you and I both know that as the event draws nearer, qpf production will increase on the west side of the bombing low. As of right now it produced 1.25'' of liquid. That's a solid 14-18'' as of right now. 18Z para GFS had 3'' liquid specs around and over us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 DISC! C'mon now, you know this is going to be a major qpf producer for us. If you look at the 6Z GFS output, you and I both know that as the event draws nearer, qpf production will increase on the west side of the bombing low. As of right now it produced 1.25'' of liquid. That's a solid 14-18'' as of right now. 18Z para GFS had 3'' liquid specs around and over us. Oh yeah, I have no doubt that this will have large amounts of QPF with it and I'm very comfortable with where we sit right now. I was speaking more in terms of a few of the folks here mentioning a chase to see some snow and the way I figure, a couple more hours of driving for some could land them in prime territory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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