Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 spanns forecast high for today made 48 hours ago was high in the middle 60's......it is 49.2 now with a NNE breeze and we had .12 rain overnight that also was not forecast....... I know people in Alabama think Spann is practically God, but I have learned to not take his forecasts too seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Euro says the game isn't over yet for this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillT Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 please help me understand the "running out of time" comments? is there some time limit? the path cant change after what precise time please? the temps cant change after what precise time please?what happened overnight and is happening today is wildly different from the forecast only 48 hours ago....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 please help me understand the "running out of time" comments? is there some time limit? the path cant change after what precise time please? the temps cant change after what precise time please?what happened overnight and is happening today is wildly different from the forecast only 48 hours ago....... It's pretty logical... 120 hours out there's more room for it to trend better. 48 hours out there's less room. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 I'm really struggling on deciding whether I should go on a snow chase in NC this weekend or wait until the midweek storm. Amy thoughts or opinions ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 love all the posters writing this thing off yesterday are climbing back up the cliff. never doubt the nw trend. models almost never lock in on a system 72hrs out...heck most not even 48hrs out. watch the 00z runs come even further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 love all the posters writing this thing off yesterday are climbing back up the cliff. never doubt the nw trend. models almost never lock in on a system 72hrs out...heck most not even 48hrs out. watch the 00z runs come even further north. Lol. No climbing up yet. Swimming in the pool below wondering if there is still a chance. I think there needs still more phasing for it to amount to anything....but I'm paying attention again. Kudos to the GFS on this one though in any event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 King Euro King Euro King Euro King Euro!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 I have been saying the trend since fall has been for the precip to come north and increase as we get closer to when it is forecasted to arrive. Over and over we have seen increases in the amount of precip in the forecasts just a couple of days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 NAVGEM rocks Euros socks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 I have been saying the trend since fall has been for the precip to come north and increase as we get closer to when it is forecasted to arrive. Over and over we have seen increases in the amount of precip in the forecasts just a couple of days out. Yes, we know. Please stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Some folks just don't want to acknowledge my brilliance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 I have been saying the trend since fall has been for the precip to come north and increase as we get closer to when it is forecasted to arrive. Over and over we have seen increases in the amount of precip in the forecasts just a couple of days out. Precipitation yes, snow...maybe. possibly. Still looks like slop at this point even if it falls as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 King Euro King Euro King Euro King Euro!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! "weenies always saying wait until the wave is sampled...lol NEXT!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Precipitation yes, snow...maybe. possibly. Still looks like slop at this point even if it falls as snow. Have to have the precip to have a chance of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGA WINTER Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Yes, we know. Please stop. Lol!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Yes, we know. Please stop.lol... best laugh of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Yes, we know. Please stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 South Carolina and Tennessee are taking over the board with this 1/19-20 nonsense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mountain Dew Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 New lurker/member. I just found this forum last week and gotta say I love the in depth discussion, it really satisfies my in the know weather enthusiasm. I'm just wondering if anyone else reads firsthandweather.com's blog as that was what had been satisfying my weather nerd needs before I found americanwx? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 South Carolina and Tennessee are taking over the board with this 1/19-20 nonsense. Well, to be fair..............we weren't bold enough over on this side of the mountain to start a thread for it just yet. I think someone on your side of the hill made what's called an executive decision. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 i think we see the 18z gfs look similar to the 12z gfs, and then the 00z runs tonight should finally lock in to a solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 New lurker/member. I just found this forum last week and gotta say I love the in depth discussion, it really satisfies my in the know weather enthusiasm. I'm just wondering if anyone else reads firsthandweather.com's blog as that was what had been satisfying my weather nerd needs before I found americanwx? Mountain Dew is the best! Livewire is an awesome spin-off too. Welcome aboard! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Lol!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Yes, we know. Please stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillT Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 for the question about firsthandweather, yes i read that site and at the first of january(on or about) he said the second and third weeks this month would turn colder in the east(it happened) and there would be a "chance" of some wintry weather in the se USA........at this point that was accurate and i must add was mocked by james spann when it was written.......spann the fella the forecast sunny and mid 60's here less than 48 hours ago and it never reached 50 and not a hint of sun....i respect spann he is a great nowcast guy during events, but he in my opinion doesnt even attempt actual forecasting now, just puts down whatever the model shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 30 mins in the rain for car riders today at my (k-5) school. Hands froze, pants soaked. Should be snow ! *banter Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CherokeeGA Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 I would completely agree with this for both months, especially December. While a lover of snow, I do think the December weather was great to do things outside and/or simply BE outside. Not down here... rain, so much rain. I suspect a lot of it went south of you guys then. Early December was sunny but the last few weeks of it were not for going outside at all. Record setting rain down here. We had flood watches and warnings posted for what felt like a couple of weeks straight (it probably was weeks, I'm just too lazy to go back and look). We got just shy of 2" in mby between 5am and lunchtime just today. Ice has been on my mind. The ground here (and in SC, I suspect) is well and truly sodden from all the rain in 2015. If any ice (or even wet snow that sticks to the branches) arrives, a lot of trees are going to just fall over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDowell_Weather Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Really considering going to northeast Ohio on Sunday. It looks like they may have a pretty big lake effect snow event. That's something ive always wanted to experience. If you couldn't handle a couple inches in bowling Green last year I most definitely wouldn't go to ohio. Not trying to be rude I'd take a ride up the parkway Sunday morning if anything else save ya alot of gas also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 been a snowy day on mt mitchell today....which was a little unexpected i guess per gsp's forecast for the summit...which was rain with a high near 40. Freezing levels were projected by models to be around 7500 to 8000 feet but It's been stuck at around 30/31 all day and it's getting hammered right now per gsp radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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