burgertime Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Also we had Thunder last week! My neighbor reminded me we would get snow since that never fails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Hey, does anyone have access to the 336 hr GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Winter Storm Watches being hoisted in California...up to three feet. They will be slammed ALL month long if the GFS is right. I could see many more feet perhaps over 10 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Hey, does anyone have access to the 336 hr GFS? There's a whole pinned thread full of them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Hey, does anyone have access to the 336 hr GFS? Just the NCEP site: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=336ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F12%2Fgfs_namer_336_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20160103+12+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Special News Bulletin: It doesn't really matter how many models you look at or what a met says. Analyzing map or debating the weather doesn't effect the actual outcome. Back to your regularly scheduled disco. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 There's a whole pinned thread full of them Just the NCEP site: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=336ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F12%2Fgfs_namer_336_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20160103+12+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model Oh cool...thanks! I've heard there's some interesting things on the horizon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Hey, does anyone have access to the 336 hr GFS? I can give you the individual members of the 336 GFS! That is where the bacon lies. Let me run to the local coffee shop and we can stay up all night talking about how member 10 is right and the rest aren't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 I can give you the individual members of the 336 GFS! That is where the bacon lies. Let me run to the local coffee shop and we can stay up all night talking about how member 10 is right and the rest aren't. No, that's alright. I only get excited when I see things showing up on the op runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Oh cool...thanks! I've heard there's some interesting things on the horizon. It's always only 14 days away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Too funny - someone's into the cold air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 No, that's alright. I only get excited when I see things showing up on the op runs. Well fiddlesticks. Guess I'm stuck with Brick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Special News Bulletin: It doesn't really matter how many models you look at or what a met says. Analyzing map or debating the weather doesn't effect the actual outcome. Back to your regularly scheduled disco. I agree. If a 300+ hour model run gets a good discussion going, let it ride. I think/hope everyone who posts here knows better not to take models (especially the GFS) seriously past 5-7 days. But if it shows something interesting, why not talk about it? Are we now limited to only discussing the mesoscale models inside of 84 hours in the disco thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Too funny - someone's into the cold air 1.gif Yeah, Phil! Haha, the temperature sensor at our tiny airport (it's in a district called Horsepasture for God's sake) has been out for weeks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 It's always only 14 days away Hey it's gotta pan out one of these times...it's just gotta! Teleconnections and ensembles continue to say so. Well fiddlesticks. Guess I'm stuck with Brick. There may worse things. Nm...at least you got your health! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Yeah, Phil! Haha, the temperature sensor at our tiny airport (it's in a district called Horsepasture for God's sake) has been out for weeks! It amused me in the midst of the banter! BTW - great posts all the way around today, Folks! Really picking up on and learning some stuff on this end. Thanks! Phil Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 I love the discussion. I try not to have my mood dictated with what a model shows. I do ok until the models show a big dog inside of 5 days. Then I'm all in. Right now I'm looking for daily trends in the ensembles and potential storms to show on repeated runs. Fun stuff looking at a pattern that can produce a big storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 There may worse things. Nm...at least you got your health! Much more modeled storm chasing and that won't be true anymore. I still haven't been to sleep yet (2 days!), waiting for the 12z Euro. Last night's 00z hyped me up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 12z GFS snow totals at day 15/16: http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2016&model_mm=01&model_dd=03&model_init_hh=12&fhour=372¶meter=SNOWIN&level=SURFACE&unit=none&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false Just for discussion purposes this setup would have a stronger CAD and we would be talking about major ice south of these snow totals.Actual surface and dew points are not modeled (by GFS) cold enough but would most likely be colder, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Snow game on CBS (Pittsburgh @ Cleveland) today! (in my area anyway) Not heavy nd not below freezing, but still fun to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Not one mention of the Euro in the discussion thread. Wait, is this the new discussion thread and that's the new banter thread? So lost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 The GFS needs some New Year resolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 The GFS needs some New Year resolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Mods/others: Opinions on starting a thread similar to the one in the NYC Metro area to post Venders/TV mets/Private Wx Companies forecasts? http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/39531-vendor-blog-and-tv-channel-forecasts-thread/ This would be a good area to post "JB said x y z in his new video today" or "Robert is saying..." or for Brick "here are screenshots of Allan's tweets" It will clear things up in the pattern thread. Since this year will be very active for our area, I think it's a good idea. Thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Mods/others: Opinions on starting a thread similar to the one in the NYC Metro area to post Venders/TV mets/Private Wx Companies forecasts? http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/39531-vendor-blog-and-tv-channel-forecasts-thread/ This would be a good area to post "JB said x y z in his new video today" or "Robert is saying..." or for Brick "here are screenshots of Allan's tweets" It will clear things up in the pattern thread. Since this year will be very active for our area, I think it's a good idea. Thoughts? Hahahaha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Ryan Maue says to not look at the eps control run on Twitter. It must go nuts. Has anyone seen it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Ryan Maue says to not look at the eps control run on Twitter. It must go nuts. Has anyone seen it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Cowboys just fumbled on the 1 yard line into the end zone and out of bounds for a touchback. Well done gentlemen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Here we go... #KeepPoundin' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Here we go... #KeepPoundin' That's what I'm saying about the EPS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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