JacobNC Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Looks like they actually got snow in July last year: http://www.bigislandvideonews.com/2015/07/17/hawaii-gets-summer-snowfall-on-mauna-kea/ Wow, that's impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 I'm calling JB tomorrow, and asking him what the heck is going on with that stupid pioneer model they have? Now the CFSv2 has flipped cold for Jan-March and the pattern is crap and apt to stay that way!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Canadian has just went insane with cold more than normal... I mean damn, I'm getting whiplash here from these models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Can't even get the short term right... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Canadian has just went insane with cold more than normal... I mean damn, I'm getting whiplash here from these models.. As Clarence on it's a wonderful life said, "you'll see a lot of strange things from here on out". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Can't even get the short term right... Mmm..I don't know about that here, it's already 14 here and dropping fast so, 6 is not that far out of reach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cg2916 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Can't even get the short term right... Wow! That's 15 degrees colder than the GFS! What the heck happened? How does is mess up tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Mmm..I don't know about that here, it's already 14 here and dropping fast so, 6 is not that far out of reach. Well... maybe over there, but I'm @ 32, teens would be a stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Just a little eye candy, for my friends south and east and west of me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNCCmetgrad Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 There are no forecast models remotely capable of plotting this scenario! We need Dennis Quaids super climate model! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Jesus. Is that a triple phaser at hr300? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Jesus. Is that a triple phaser at hr300? looking at that, It's a done deal (I think)! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 I think we could live with this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Good night everybody, I leave you with something to hang your hat on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 All hope is not lost for something this coming weekend. Blacksburg AFD for this upcoming weekend TIMING VARIES FROM MODEL TO MODEL...BUT THE GENERAL TREND IS FORROUGHLY A FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY ARRIVAL FOR THE FIRST. THESECOND WILL BE ASSOCIATED MORE WITH THE LOW/TROUGH IN THE CENTER OFTHE COUNTRY MAKING ITS WAY EASTWARD THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY ONSUNDAY. EACH OF THESE HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR A P-TYPE QUESTION. WHILEDIFFERENCES DO EXIST WITHIN THE MODELS...THERE IS DECENT AGREEMENTOF SOME DEGREE OF A WARM NOSE ALOFT WITH THE FIRST SYSTEM ABOVEWHERE TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S LATEFRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. OUR FORECAST WILL REFLECT A RAINVERSUS FREEZING RAIN FORECAST DURING THIS TIME FRAME. LATER IN THEWEEKEND...A RAIN SHOWER VERSUS SNOW SHOWER FORECAST IS MORELIKELY...WITH SNOW SHOWERS BECOMING MORE LIKELY AFTER THE AXIS OFTHE UPPER LOW HEADS EAST OF THE AREA. AGAIN...GUIDANCE VARIES ON THETIMING...BUT CURRENTLY THAT APPEARS TO BE EITHER A SUNDAY AFTERNOONOR EVENING EVENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 I'll take my foot. Check pls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 NC/VA gets destroyed at hr 300. HECS. All-in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Soon the 16-23 will be the 28-31st Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Soon the 16-23 will be the 28-31st I thought it already was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 I say Shut the models down until April, That way they will be tuned in for severe season. They certainly are useless this winter!!! Can't even get any guidance at all, not any consistency? They are? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CherokeeGA Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 They are? I think after a certain point you have to remember that most people don't have the advanced education in higher algebra, statistics and probability, chaos theory, and exponentially compounding errors to really understand what the math behind a model is really doing. There just aren't that many people diving that deeply into these subjects in higher education, and certainly not a lot of them running around a message board for laymen weather fans. Mathematical weather models are still in their infancy, in the grand scheme of all human endeavor. No amount of reminding people that looking at models more than a few days out is useless in terms of specificity seems to work. So it's best just to save your sanity and not take the bait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Well I mowed some fields yesterday and enjoyed my sunny afternoon in a short sleeve shirt in the middle of January. No bugs anywhere to be found after the two hard freezes last week. Pretty nice life here in the dead of winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Hate it that PSU e-wall is not posting the individual GEFS members... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 I think after a certain point you have to remember that most people don't have the advanced education in higher algebra, statistics and probability, chaos theory, and exponentially compounding errors to really understand what the math behind a model is really doing. There just aren't that many people diving that deeply into these subjects in higher education, and certainly not a lot of them running around a message board for laymen weather fans. Mathematical weather models are still in their infancy, in the grand scheme of all human endeavor. No amount of reminding people that looking at models more than a few days out is useless in terms of specificity seems to work. So it's best just to save your sanity and not take the bait. I don't let them bother me....I just want them to explain themselves. I'm just curious why numerical models bug them so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 They are? This is banter, So my comments are just joking around a lot. I mean you know, I'm not serious saying shut models down! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 I don't let them bother me....I just want them to explain themselves. I'm just curious why numerical models bug them so much. Because it doesn't show what they want and what they've been told Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Banter and disco thread switched places again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Banter and disco thread switched places again As long as folks post odd stuff in the dicso thread there will be responses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 As long as folks post odd stuff in the dicso thread there will be responses.As certain as death and taxes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Man, we suck at snow. Got a -AO, a true west based -NAO, +PNA and still going to get shut out this month. Anyway, we had a nice storm in the last couple years, I guess this is our time maybe to have a stinker. Moving on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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