packbacker Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 So when we were talking about this total pattern "flip"... We were talking about warm and wet to cold and dry, right? #12zEURO :lol: Well EPS isn't going to make anyone happy, LOL. It's pretty much got one system now that's good for Great Lakes interior NE. Maybe later in Jan we see snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 Well EPS isn't going to make anyone happy, LOL. It's pretty much got one system now that's good for Great Lakes interior NE. Maybe later in Jan we see snow...I thought eps was going to be steady as she goes and only op runs would waffle!? The pattern looks awesome at 240+! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 Well, see yall in February lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 I thought eps was going to be steady as she goes and only op runs would waffle!? The pattern looks awesome at 240+! LOL...well it's cold, very cold, that's for sure. There is a threat day 12+...LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 LOL...well it's cold, very cold, that's for sure. There is a threat day 12+...LOL I don't understand ?? Everyday the cold and storm potential is still 11-15 days out! How can that happen for the last 7 days, and the goods are still 11-15 days away!??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 I like what I am seeing. Cold now this week to lower the ground temps out of the 60s and 50s from December. Come back in about 7 days and we should be ready for tracking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 I don't understand ?? Everyday the cold and storm potential is still 11-15 days out! How can that happen for the last 7 days, and the goods are still 11-15 days away!??? I don't know but I think the pattern is still "changing" and its going to take till end of Jan till really get a settled in pattern, LOL. But, this is what we are left with, transient cold, intense cold, but it scurry out fairly quickly...comes in on the 12th and gone by the 17th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CherokeeGA Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 The **** happened here overnight? christ on a pogo stick, people. People were going bonkers over fantasy maps that were 10+ days out, and then when the maps changed (and of course they were going to change) they pretty much collectively held their noses until their faces turned blue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 I don't know but I think the pattern is still "changing" and its going to take till end of Jan till really get a settled in pattern, LOL. But, this is what we are left with, transient cold, intense cold, but it scurry out fairly quickly...comes in on the 12th and gone by the 17th. I'm worried that it's not gonna settle in. It is the southeast. *Edit* But I would rather have a 50/50 chance of cooler temps and moisture meeting up anyway then just have it be really cold with sunshine everyday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 Won't be long before we see Wow's ensemble member fantasy maps he posted in the disco thread showing up on the operationals during that time period. Pretty much all in for 1/17 and it's nowhere near in range. Weenie run incoming, 18z was close...look at the HP's surrounding a coastal like that...reminds me of...should I say it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 People were going bonkers over fantasy maps that were 10+ days out, and then when the maps changed (and of course they were going to change) they pretty much collectively held their noses until their faces turned blue. It's the same silly drama every winter. Wash, rinse, repeat. Whenever the first legit winterstorm affects our region, I'm sure we won't be able to (accurately or confidently well as accurate/confident as you can get for the SE) see it coming until were within 3-4 days. The only thing I feel confident about is the cold. All that other stuff can/will work it's way out if a winter storm is meant to be within the next 1.5-3 weeks. If you ask me, that storm around the 10th-11th on the 12z GFS (even 6z) was darn close to a winter storm, you just needed that Big HP sliding out of Canada into MT to have been about 12 hrs faster. I still feel confident some members on here will get lucky with some wintry mischief in the 10th-15th timeframe, we'll see.. EDIT: Although it's a pity the precipitation straddling along the Gulf Coast isn't a good 500 miles north, some of us would probably be seeing wintry precip right now (including me). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 Observation banter ... The sandhill cranes finally showed up today in massive droves/flocks - a full 6 weeks late. They fly ahead of the cold from Canada and Minnesota and winter here. Usually show up in mid-November. If it's ever going to get real cold here, they disappear south to lower Fla about 72 hours in advance of the cold. If they leave, I'll post and warn all of you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 I don't understand ?? Everyday the cold and storm potential is still 11-15 days out! How can that happen for the last 7 days, and the goods are still 11-15 days away!??? The new math changed everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 I don't understand ?? Everyday the cold and storm potential is still 11-15 days out! How can that happen for the last 7 days, and the goods are still 11-15 days away!??? Modelchasing isn't for the faint of heart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 The new math changed everything.I love common core math, it just makes no sense! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 Won't be long before we see Wow's ensemble member fantasy maps he posted in the disco thread showing up on the operationals during that time period. Pretty much all in for 1/17 and it's nowhere near in range. Weenie run incoming, 18z was close...look at the HP's surrounding a coastal like that...reminds me of...should I say it? I really like the 12z GEFS in the long range, that would be a great pattern. Let's see if 18z GEFS holds/builds on it. This -EPO, deep eastern trough that extends from HB does nothing for me, all that's going to do is invite cutters/runners and hit the MA/NE again, had enough of that the past few winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 The moisture in the Gulf from Texas across is that supposed to stay south ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 I'm really liking the ignore feature! I honestly didn't realize it was a real thing all these years. 3 users ignored so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 I'm really liking the ignore feature! I honestly didn't realize it was a real thing all these years. 3 users ignored so far. "you ignored this post, view it anyway?" no, no...that's why I chose to ignore the poster, I don't want to view it at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 "you ignored this post, view it anyway?" no, no...that's why I chose to ignore the poster, I don't want to view it at all. Yeah, on my desktop the posts are not so obvious as the mobile version. After a couple of days, I have gained the willpower not to care enough to view it anyway. The other drawback is that if someone else quotes a blocked user's post, you can see it. I will say that it saves me from reading at least 20 posts per day that are useless. I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Area forecast discussionNational Weather Service Sacramento California227 PM PST Sat Jan 2 2016Discussion...pattern shift begins tonight as first in a series of Pacific lowsmoves toward the West Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 For the JB/Brazillian model fans...a few days that don't get above -6C in late Jan and a big snowstorm for ATL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Looks like very little precip for January and February. Where's the ninio? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Looks like very little precip for January and February. Where's the ninio? Out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 El Niño doesn't mean it rains constantly for weeks on end. It's possible, even likely to get older periods. In the means, we should be above normal, and we are. We will continue to be, and that will increase our odds of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Out west. These maps change constantly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 El Niño doesn't mean it rains constantly for weeks on end. It's possible, even likely to get older periods. In the means, we should be above normal, and we are. We will continue to be, and that will increase our odds of snow.That's not what I've heard since October! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Ok, just to totally debunk the woolly worm myth, I saw one today on a brisk walk. The first third of the worm was totally black while the back two-thirds were completely brown. Black is supposed to be cold right- well we all know how the first third went. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Ok, just to totally debunk the woolly worm myth, I saw one today on a brisk walk. The first third of the worm was totally black while the back two-thirds were completely brown. Black is supposed to be cold right- well we all know how the first third went. It was walking backwards! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 3, 2016 Author Share Posted January 3, 2016 Ok, just to totally debunk the woolly worm myth, I saw one today on a brisk walk. The first third of the worm was totally black while the back two-thirds were completely brown. Black is supposed to be cold right- well we all know how the first third went. Winter just started... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.