BIG FROSTY Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Frosty: My hunch is that map is gonna play out in the Carolinas while TN gets the action. We'll see and we'll have fun tracking it no matter what the outcome ! And you are sharp on picking up on Bastardi's 'circling' North and West of the SE.... that is a good sign of having to back peddle a bit when things don't totally work out as planned. He also things we are going to Snowmagaddon, but no guarantees of course! He says in the area circled, you have a chance to see the greatest 30-45 day period of winter weather that you have ever seen. He commented that was from Texas to the Mid Atlantic It's the first time this winter, That I didn't see him circle the SE! Now I've not seen all his videos, But like you said I'm taking it as a little back step possibly? Texas to Mid Atlantic is west of the Mountains. lol. I still think we will see a storm or two but I'm really not looking for that great 30-45 day stretch here. #El Nino for the win!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Haha yeah, I know. It was pretty tight though! Like, way. Word to your mutha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 great gfs run, one of the best we have had in a while...but hopefully everyone keeps their excitement to a minimum until we see this look for the next 2-3 days consistently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 The 12Z GFS is a dream run for us. Doesn't get much better than that. I'm pumped...for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 I might get a flurry with this run, but I don't trust it a bit! It is the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 For comical purposes, I'd just like to point out that the first time JB stops talking about Atlanta and the deep southeast, it's the very next GFS run blasts the ones he left out with fantasy snow. I can only wonder if there is a connection somewhere?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Mack is gonna be pure comedy when he sees the snow hole upstate got on the 12z gfs. Long way to go on this one. Still feel coastal plain NC always had and still is ground zero for a 10+ storm this season in NC even ahead of the mtns. That was a day 8 gfs run so take with a grain of salt, but it shows the potential that's a given with the long wave pattern that's developong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 18z will come soon enough and squash everyone's good mood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillT Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 a question about models versus the real world.....i see some excitement over models showing multiple systems now, while for a couple of days now i have been watching the real world and indeed there are 3 systems spinning around off the coast of california and further north, and another over land around the 4 corners area.....these are REAL already happening, and are now being reflected by the models......the question is simply which is best to follow the REAL world where the storms are happening or the models predictions for several days out? did those storms in the pacific exist before they started showing up on the models? of course they did....and do the models showing where they are going to be in a few days reflect ACCURATE positioning?....also i am aware these upper air circulations as they move east can and will spawn surface lows the question remains where and when will they form? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 18z will come soon enough and squash everyone's good mood just wait for the euro to do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Storm or not, I just want the EURO and the GFS to agree that the PV is heading east and the block is retrograding west. I think if that stays true we score in 10 days on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Everybody bashes gfs every day and then a storm shows up so all in. Lol life in the SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 18z will come soon enough and squash everyone's good mood Yep, Operational runs determine the frequency and excitement of posters on this forum. "OP shows snow omg in all in!!! I must talk about how much I love this time period for snOMG!" When the threat has been there for days on the ensembles. Tons of banter to read through on top of the pot stirrers....can't keep up. /venting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Some of my friends live and die by the NAO... but I think it's all justa crap shoot anyhoo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Yep, Operational runs determine the frequency and excitement of posters on this forum. "OP shows snow omg in all in!!! I must talk about how much I love this time period for snOMG!" When the threat has been there for days on the ensembles. Tons of banter to read through on top of the pot stirrers....can't keep up. /venting Yup. Cant get too high or too low this far out. Rookie mistake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Op GFS shows at least 3 snow events for the SE. Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Op GFS shows at least 3 snow events for the SE. Nice!and this time yesterday it showed 3 cutters. It's amazing how many people live and die by the gfs op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Op GFS shows at least 3 snow events for the SE. Nice! part im most excited about is next weds as it isnt too far out and has been trending stronger every run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 and this time yesterday it showed 3 cutters. It's amazing how many people live and die by the gfs op. Yes sir! part im most excited about is next weds as it isnt too far out and has been trending stronger every run. And yes sir! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Frosty: My hunch is that map is gonna play out in the Carolinas while TN gets the action. We'll see and we'll have fun tracking it no matter what the outcome ! And you are sharp on picking up on Bastardi's 'circling' North and West of the SE.... that is a good sign of having to back peddle a bit when things don't totally work out as planned. He also things we are going to Snowmagaddon, but no guarantees of course! He says in the area circled, you have a chance to see the greatest 30-45 day period of winter weather that you have ever seen. He commented that was from Texas to the Mid Atlantic Wait.... Isn't that area circled the same area that had an amazing winter last year ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Op GFS shows at least 3 snow events for the SE. Nice!I can't wait to get a clipper, I love all the snow I get from those! Screw miller A's, give me clippers all day everyday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 and this time yesterday it showed 3 cutters. It's amazing how many people live and die by the gfs op. Probably will again at 18z! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 and this time yesterday it showed 3 cutters. It's amazing how many people live and die by the gfs op. Yep if the Dr not on it then not buying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 It must be gonna snow. Everyone on my facebook that have no idea what they are talking about are sharing a weather forecast from a storm from 2010 and saying that's how much snow we're going to see next week...Like they have no idea that the graph is 5 years old...c'mon now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Got a question for you tap a talk users can you set it to only show the southeast region? instead of all the regions ? I have to sort through to try to find the southeast discussion or banter etc. TIA Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Yes sir! And yes sir! Man, CR is on the train! Got heavy snow on his signature line. You know if we don't get any it's you're fault now right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Man, CR is on the train! Got heavy snow on his signature line. You know if we don't get any it's you're fault now right? I'll take the heat if we flame out! It's either going to be heavy snow, light snow, or wintry mix in the sig the rest of the way. Game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 It must be gonna snow. Everyone on my facebook that have no idea what they are talking about are sharing a weather forecast from a storm from 2010 and saying that's how much snow we're going to see next week...Like they have no idea that the graph is 5 years old...c'mon now... That's usually the case for my friends on Facebook when they're not talking about the weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 That's usually the case for my friends on Facebook when they're not talking about the weather. Yea. But it hits a new level this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 I know there's zero evidence or correlation to this, but if the storm around MLK Day does end up being the SE's first winter storm, it's interesting how going back to past notable winter storms over the past 16 years of this century have occurred either on the weekend or around/during the holidays. I know they're coincidences, but it's still interesting to me nonetheless. 1. January 22, 2000 (Icestorm; occurred on Saturday) 2. January 28, 2000 (Another Icestorm; occurred Superbowl Weekend) 3. December 17, 2000 (Occurred on a Sunday) 4. January 28, 2005 (Icestorm; started on a Friday/ended Saturday) 5. January 19, 2008 (Occurred on a Saturday) 6. March 1, 2009 (Occurred on a Sunday) 7. February 12, 2010 (Occurred on a Friday) 8. December 25, 2010 (Occurred on a Saturday) 9. January 9-10, 2011 (Started on Sunday, ended on Monday) https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/stormevents/listevents.jsp?eventType=ALL&beginDate_mm=01&beginDate_dd=01&beginDate_yyyy=2000&endDate_mm=09&endDate_dd=30&endDate_yyyy=2015&county=FULTON%3A121&hailfilter=0.00&tornfilter=0&windfilter=000&sort=DT&submitbutton=Search&statefips=13%2CGEORGIA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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