JoshM Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 SE trend is our friend? Maybe? Hopefully? At this point... why not? LOL I believe we've angered the weather gods in some fashion. I said before Christmas I didn't think we'd see any events outside the mountains before MLK Day... One time I don't want to be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 SE trend is our friend? Maybe? Hopefully? Sure, why not, if the PV slides east some and allows HP to bleed in over the lakes with a mega block over HB, that could keep it suppressed it enough so that it transfers south of us and not over us which it just did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 At this point... why not? LOL I believe we've angered the weather gods in some fashion. I said before Christmas I didn't think we'd see any events outside the mountains before MLK Day... One time I don't want to be right. I think we are all just too antsy, myself included. Hate that we will start gaining daylight rapidly soon but whatever. Last night I was up till 2 am waiting on Euro discussion only to finally go to bed all like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 At this point... why not? LOL I believe we've angered the weather gods in some fashion. I said before Christmas I didn't think we'd see any events outside the mountains before MLK Day... One time I don't want to be right. I'll always remember Christmas 2010! Best SE trend I can remember! Showing a storm in OH valley about 5-6 days out, turns into SE white Christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 just bought a lifetime subscription to NC Piedmont weather for the upcoming storm threats Sike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Mother of God. Not great for you central NC guys, but this absolutely buries SW VA/NW NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Hey guys what is that wet stuff that is going to fall this entire winter? It looks kind of like something familiar. Has no smell. The opposite of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Brad Panovich (@wxbrad) 1/7/16, 18:07 Still 10 days out but both the GFS & ECMWF model have a very wintry look for the @Panthers playoff game. Pattern is there next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 JB with his heart on his sleeve post on WB. He's feeling the heat of his forecast that's been busting for weeks now...#meaculpa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lookingnorth Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Banter but still nice to see... Since it would be on a weekend, if that were to verify, I'd probably just drive north one hour on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Brad Panovich (@wxbrad) 1/7/16, 18:07 Still 10 days out but both the GFS & ECMWF model have a very wintry look for the @Panthers playoff game. Pattern is there next weekend. I agree, pattern is there...but wow. Bold statement to thousands of people....most of them won't understand he's talking about a pattern and take it for saying "Brad said it would snow during the panthers game". "How much for _____" tweets incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 As a reference...here are the snowfall totals from Dec 1 - Jan 20th for the top 8 mod/strong nino's. It's essentially a skunk this winter for entire east outside of the interior NE. This is not good, and to expect a dramatic flip seems very unlikely, even the crap fest of 98 wasn't bad compared to this mess. You can essentially throw out the snowy nino's for analogs and start focusing on the non-snowy ones (92, 95). Want to guess the difference between the snowy v/s non-snowy nino's...one glaring thing sticks out... whats the source for those images? did some digging but couldn't find the link...thanks in advance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 whats the source for those images? did some digging but couldn't find the link...thanks in advance Here you go....You got to register, it's free. http://mrcc.isws.illinois.edu/CLIMATE/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Me and Frosty are cashing in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Me and Frosty are cashing in! got my mind on my money, snow on my mind! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 JB with his heart on his sleeve post on WB. He's feeling the heat of his forecast that's been busting for weeks now...#meaculpathe weatherbell 500mb pattern looks to verify well if current model forecast hold up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 I agree, pattern is there...but wow. Bold statement to thousands of people....most of them won't understand he's talking about a pattern and take it for saying "Brad said it would snow during the panthers game". "How much for _____" tweets incoming. I'm almost positive that he just posted a few days ago telling people to chill with the winter weather talk because models couldn't be trusted that far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 I agree, pattern is there...but wow. Bold statement to thousands of people....most of them won't understand he's talking about a pattern and take it for saying "Brad said it would snow during the panthers game". "How much for _____" tweets incoming. Yep...he posted this on Facebook Saturday: https://www.facebook.com/wxbradWCNC/posts/1000252500047206:0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Dammit. So Im gonna be up all night again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Dammit. So Im gonna be up all night again Don't do it man. Heartbreak city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Dammit. So Im gonna be up all night againJust go to sleep and check page count in the morning! 1 new page, 12z euro and GFS sucked !3-4 pages, life was good overnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Me and Frosty are cashing in! If this is anywhere close to right, the 2 of you are in great shape. For those of us south of I-40 though, it's much trickier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Just go to slope and check page count in the morning! 1 new page, 12z euro and GFS sucked ! 3-4 pages, life was good overnight I've did that many a times in the morning. That count can tell you a LOT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Just go to sleep and check page count in the morning! 1 new page, 12z euro and GFS sucked ! 3-4 pages, life was good overnight Easier said than done bud Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 I agree, pattern is there...but wow. Bold statement to thousands of people....most of them won't understand he's talking about a pattern and take it for saying "Brad said it would snow during the panthers game". "How much for _____" tweets incoming. How is it bold to say the models have a wintry look to them? Wouldn't a "cold rain" qualify for wintry in the south? Heck...some of his viewers just might see a sloppy flake or two mixed in....it's possible. If I were in the mts/foothills of wnc, I'd be a little excited Yep...he posted this on Facebook Saturday: https://www.facebook.com/wxbradWCNC/posts/1000252500047206:0 That was 5 days ago and yea....the models still can't be trusted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 It's the 18z GFS , throw it out, unless it shows a bomb, then we worship it! The storm potential looks great, but just wait till it gets properly sampled, game on!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Gotta be prepared for this thing to dissappear only to come back 72 hours out as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 A lot of excitement around here for a rain event that covers like 80% of this subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 How is it bold to say the models have a wintry look to them? Wouldn't a "cold rain" qualify for wintry in the south? Heck...some of his viewers just might see a sloppy flake or two mixed in....it's possible. If I were in the mts/foothills of wnc, I'd be a little excited."A very wintry look to the panthers game" specifically, is a bold statement. Cold rain doesn't qualify as very wintry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 A lot of excitement around here for a rain event that covers like 80% of this subforum.Did you see the drought we had this summer??!Rain is welcome and 80% coverage, even better! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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