thess Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Re: Milk and bread. I grew up in SoFla, and for hurricanes it's water and canned soup. My poor brain almost broke making the water/soup -> bread/milk transition when I moved. RDU says that Southwest is cancelling all RDU flights after tonight, returning to service Sunday. https://twitter.com/rduairport Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Sooo storm mode soon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I can see "worrying about temps prior to a storm" phase has commenced. Radar hallucinations incoming later tonight! Same guy has been repeatedly missing on his posts today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 KCAE just posted this in their discussion (good for us I think): .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...HAVE FORECASTED ALL LIQUID PRECIPITATIONTHROUGH THIS EVENING AS SURFACE WET BULB TEMPERATURES REMAIN ABOVEFREEZING. CLOUDS HAVE SCATTERED OUT SOME IN THE NORTHERN MIDLANDSAND CSRA WITH TEMPERATURES RISING A FEW DEGREES HIGHER THANPREVIOUSLY FORECAST. HAVE ADJUSTED TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY BASED ONTRENDS WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I've never found worrying about temps the day before a storm to be a fruitful exercise. We've ran under model forecasts leading into potential freezing rain events and it didn't matter. It was still a cold rain. We've blown through our forecasted high temperatures the day prior to some major snowstorms around here and it didn't matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Same guy has been repeatedly missing on his posts today. Oh it started well before today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I know we have always had an OBS thread even though I am not fond of them. I say someone starts it when the 00 runs start this evening. I say that person is John WOW> Question: Do we want a separate OBS thread for this storm or not? The storm is basically at our doorstep now, especially for SC/GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I've never found worrying about temps the day before a storm to be a fruitful exercise. We've ran under model forecasts leading into potential freezing rain events and it didn't matter. It was still a cold rain. We've blown through our forecasted high temperatures the day prior to some major snowstorms around here and it didn't matter. Absolutely true. We are topping out right now anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Same guy has been repeatedly missing on his posts today. Par for the course for him every storm it seems. We have maybe 3 more hours max for any heating and that MIGHT take us 2 degrees above forecast, otherwise we are right were we were forecast to be today. It's actually trended cooler today as opposed to what we were looking at on say Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Absolutely true. We are topping out right now anyway. What's perhaps most funny is that we seem to be running below our forecast, so I don't know what that post was all about. GSO was 39 at 1 PM and we were supposed to get into the mid-40s yesterday (not that it matters one bit). Charlotte isn't much warmer at 43. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Question: Do we want a separate OBS thread for this storm or not? The storm is basically at our doorstep now, especially for SC/GA. I was about to respond no, but it may be useful because of the timespan of this storm. We'll probably still be checking models tomorrow for Saturday's wrap around snow. All the OBS will muddle that discussion. **but in the future I say we keep just one for one day events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 What's perhaps most funny is that we seem to be running below our forecast, so I don't know what that post was all about. GSO was 39 at 1 PM and we were supposed to get into the mid-40s yesterday (not that it matters one bit). Charlotte isn't much warmer at 43. Uhm, isn't the wedge going to make all of the current temps worthless for the most part up that way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thess Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 JetBlue has also folded on FRI/SAT flights @ RDU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 For those following my chase dilemma from last night, I'm going to Richmond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Does anyone have qpf amount for Boone on the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 For those following my chase dilemma from last night, I'm going to Richmond Be safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Let the fun begin Going to hookup my other monitors for this. Have you seen the SimuAWIPS site? It's pretty neat. here Edit: well nevermind, it seems to be pay now. it used to be totally free. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 For those following my chase dilemma from last night, I'm going to Richmond Good luck and stay safe !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Let the fun begin It needs to get cloudy FAST. Wetbulbs are in VA already! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 NWS in Peachtree City put out some maps on facebook. Looks like ice will be pretty minimal most areas. Maybe 0.10" at Gainesville. 1-2" of snow NE of ATL with 6+ in the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 It needs to get cloudy FAST. Wetbulbs are in VA already! Calm down, all of the guidance suggested this...Wait why dont you have a red tag if you graduated from UNCC with a BS in Atmospheric Science? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 It needs to get cloudy FAST. Wetbulbs are in VA already! 12Z GFS has me at 46 right now. Guess what? It's 46. It'll be okay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I would really like to see a snowfall map from the 12Z Euro. (Yes, I know they are verboten, but that doesn't change my desire to see one.) Somebody point me in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I'm guessing FFC issues a Winter Weather Advisory covering all of Metro Atlanta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DLI4SCwx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Uhm, isn't the wedge going to make all of the current temps worthless for the most part up that way? Shawn, what you thinking as far as wraparound snow for us? Thinking we could muster an inch? Also, next week has potential. Maybe we can do even better then with that setup. February seems like the best month climo wise for us to get snow. Hope we can cash out somewhere soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I would really like to see a snowfall map from the 12Z Euro. (Yes, I know they are verboten, but that doesn't change my desire to see one.) Somebody point me in the right direction. WeatherBell has a great one - though it's pay, of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Let the fun begin Very important map to watch imo if your in the borderline areas like us. You will get to see that warm layer erode and cold take over or get the middle finger! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Calm down, all of the guidance suggested this...Wait why dont you have a red tag if you graduated from UNCC with a BS in Atmospheric Science? It's warming slightly faster than models are projecting and good question. Doesn't bother to have or not have one. I hate labels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Shawn, what you thinking as far as wraparound snow for us? Thinking we could muster an inch? Also, next week has potential. Maybe we can do even better then with that setup. February seems like the best month climo wise for us to get snow. Hope we can cash out somewhere soon. Surface temps could be a problem. The 540 thickness doesnt always indicate snow... I think we would want to see the 534 come through. Looks like the heavier banding could lift just to our West away from us... therefore limiting the amount of moisture in the snow growth region as the 534 tries to crash in. Drying air isn't good in that situation. There's a chance at a dusting, but I am not very excited about the possibility. The upper level low track and surface transfer off our coast is a bit North for our area to get something really nice. None of this stuff is nailed down, I recommend watching the Mesoanalysis page from here on out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLO Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 http://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20160121/6645e4f207c5e418dd9f0b734b12ef64.jpg H would be better than nothing. Sign me up please. http://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20160121/6645e4f207c5e418dd9f0b734b12ef64.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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