McDowell_Weather Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 Thanks very much! I learn a lot from so many of the posters here. I appreciate folks taking the time to post maps, analogs, charts, and explanations. This is the first weather site I check every day. I heard that bud! It's truly the best weather site on the net. Alot of good posters here, especially the SE crew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 CR + mspaint = snow potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 It's time to get CR a copy of Photoshop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDowell_Weather Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 You're welcome. No problem, I enjoy my daily laughs don't change a thing my freind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 I've lowered my expectations to cold/dry or warm/wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 If only we could COC block these lows from going to the Great Lakes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 JAN ain't happening, folks. But at least it'll be cold once or twice. Maybe FEB will be good to us. No science involved, just a hunch. Which is why it's in banter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 When they say there is a winter storm potential, I stick around to let my SC guys know what's up cause we kinda get skipped over for the "threat" stuff. It gets better after the threat is imminent though. We are just not positioned well for winter weather. The upcoming pattern does not impress me for SC. All the models bring the big cold only to the NC/TN or NC/VA line or I-40 at most. That is very typical with these quick glancing colds where it doesn't really have time to filter over and down the mountains. In fact, for GSP, the current air is much colder than what is forecast for next week - really just back to around average for a couple days, then back to above. I am hoping second half of Jan or Feb can produce here, but WNC should have some fun for quite awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 Arctic assault over the SE post 300 hours on the 18z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 We are just not positioned well for winter weather. The upcoming pattern does not impress me for SC. All the models bring the big cold only to the NC/TN or NC/VA line or I-40 at most. That is very typical with these quick glancing colds where it doesn't really have time to filter over and down the mountains. In fact, for GSP, the current air is much colder than what is forecast for next week - really just back to around average for a couple days, then back to above. I am hoping second half of Jan or Feb can produce here, but WNC should have some fun for quite awhile. If that storm at day 9 sets up farther north, you might be the best positioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 Just arrived at Grand Canyon Village. Wintry wonderland here. Unfortunately, the snow is doing us no favors as far as views of the canyon go, however. We had about 1/2" snow in Tuba City last night and then were in Hopiland earlier this afternoon. I did not realize how high in elevation the southern rim of the Grams Canyon was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 Arctic assault over the SE post 300 hours on the 18z GFS. Unfortunately or fortunately, however you choose to look at it, lately the GFS has been off and on showing some relative degree of cold at about 300 +/- ; but with that model, it also seems 300 keeps running backwards ... or in other words, 300 cold never really comes forward .... Just a casual observation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 It's time to get CR a copy of Photoshop. Does it come with lessons?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 Can't wait to wake up and see 4 new posts in the pattern thread: 1.00z GFS has potential at hour 300 2. GFS ain't gonna get it done, doesn't even look cold anymore. 3. Euro wasn't too bad, no storms , but 240 about to drop the hammer! 4.Euro was horrible, PNA is breaking down, looks like a Dec repeat incoming after next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 Can't wait to wake up and see 4 new posts in the pattern thread: 1.00z GFS has potential at hour 300 2. GFS ain't gonna get it done, doesn't even look cold anymore. 3. Euro wasn't too bad, no storms , but 240 about to drop the hammer! 4.Euro was horrible, PNA is breaking down, looks like a Dec repeat incoming after next week. could be the best damn post you ever made ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 I'm just happy it isn't 70-80 degrees anymore. It'll take another couple weeks before I start complaining about no snow. I got new running pants for my birthday (beginning of December) and this morning was the first time I actually used them for running. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 Big run tonight before I jump off the cliff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 I can tell by the lack of posts now in the January thread that people are tired of hearing about what a great setup we have coming and potential next week and want to start actually seeing something tangible show up on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 Suppression..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 That moment when the perfect pattern is so perfect that Cuba takes our storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 Anyone know anything about the site for NC Piedmont Weather? Saw on Facebook he said there was a chance of snow and sleet in NC tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 Anyone know anything about the site for NC Piedmont Weather? Saw on Facebook he said there was a chance of snow and sleet in NC tomorrow morning. Are you referencing the FB page? If it's the one I'm thinking of its the same one that copies other websites graphics and hypes up events that never happen. No chance for snow or sleet in NC tomorrow 850 temps are way too warm and too shallow a layer of cold air for any sleet. A few high res models hint at the possibility of some zr overnight Wednesday, however it would be light and spotty if it does occur and temps would be marginal. Nam had RDU 33-35 range so not quite cold enough. If the NAM is a little warm then we could see some light zr, something to watch real time obs and trends for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 Anyone know anything about the site for NC Piedmont Weather? Saw on Facebook he said there was a chance of snow and sleet in NC tomorrow morning. buy his 150$ lifetime membership and im sure he will tell you. guy is a weenie and steals model images and graphics and posts them as his own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YetAnotherRDUGuy Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 What is the deal with so many NC members in the SE forum? Even then why are there so many RDU area members? Bwahahahahahahaha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 No none even talking about the GFS run in the Jan thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 No none even talking about the GFS run in the Jan thread. As usual horrible. Oh wait, there is a day 10+ threat.. again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 No none even talking about the GFS run in the Jan thread. It went suppressed from the northern Bahamas to the central Bahamas now near the 15th. Watching the next play maker now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 I heard it showed lots of potential for the weekend after next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 I heard it showed lots of potential for the weekend after next. Weekend after next Brick. Remember many days ago we were watching the 8th? Then it went 10th, 11th, 12th. Now It's 16,17. Soon it will be the 20th-31st, then Fab Feb will save us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 Are you referencing the FB page? If it's the one I'm thinking of its the same one that copies other websites graphics and hypes up events that never happen. No chance for snow or sleet in NC tomorrow 850 temps are way too warm and too shallow a layer of cold air for any sleet. A few high res models hint at the possibility of some zr overnight Wednesday, however it would be light and spotty if it does occur and temps would be marginal. Nam had RDU 33-35 range so not quite cold enough. If the NAM is a little warm then we could see some light zr, something to watch real time obs and trends for. Van Denton mentioned sleet tomorrow night but with how limited the moisture is I'm not concerned with the temp profile. It's not going to be a big deal either way to have a few dry pellets hit the ground before a freezing sprinkle of frost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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