Regan Raleigh Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 They specifically said " the euro moved sign north with 980mb low off Delmarva. The low ended up north of the prior run" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 6:47 AM, chapelhillwx said: To be fair, there is a lot more precip on the northern fringes than there was at 12z. Both us and the Mid Atlantic people are happy. Yeah, the 00z Euro basically shifted in such a way to make almost everyone happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Raleigh Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 6:50 AM, WeatherNC said: Welcome to the banter thread, an excellent place for a question like that. I think a lot has to do with your frame of reference. The upper level players have shifted a little south over the past 24 hrs, as has the southern extent of the storm. Welcome indeed. I need to stay off Twitter. They say it's over. Gfs was right. I might blow a gasket. Lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 6:50 AM, superjames1992 said: Yeah, the 00z Euro basically shifted in such a way to make almost everyone happy. One thing that may be going on is the actual players on the field have trended south while the models have sniffed out more precip on the northern extent of the precip shield -- I remember reading models generally have a bias to lower totals on the northern edge of the precip shield? If so, it really does make everyone happy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldman75 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 If I'm wanting to try to see a few flakes fly in Myrtle beach, should I take off work Saturday night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 6:50 AM, Regan Raleigh said: They specifically said " the euro moved sign north with 980mb low off Delmarva. The low ended up north of the prior run" pay attention to the upper level low track at this stage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 And someones gonna get an ice storm they soon wont forget. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'll gladly take a more southerly surface low, transfer location and ULL track and give the MA more precip than they had at 12z. I'll take my chances with a deform band setting up shop somewhere near me after an already big thump of precip with what is shown on the NAV and Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I don't get his posts? Garrett Bastardi Weather 1 min · Boalsburg, PA · The only major model that was south, the European, has made a significant shift to the North at 00z. Bringing much more confidence to the forecast for the Friday-Sunday Blizzard. In my opinion expect slight nudges to the north to continue.-GB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 7:01 AM, BIG FROSTY said: I don't get his posts? Garrett Bastardi Weather 1 min · Boalsburg, PA · The only major model that was south, the European, has made a significant shift to the North at 00z. Bringing much more confidence to the forecast for the Friday-Sunday Blizzard. In my opinion expect slight nudges to the north to continue. -GB It's north as it pertains to his subscribers in the NE as it goes up the coast a bit more and the precip shield is more expansive.. But not N for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 7:01 AM, BIG FROSTY said: I don't get his posts? Garrett Bastardi Weather 1 min · Boalsburg, PA · The only major model that was south, the European, has made a significant shift to the North at 00z. Bringing much more confidence to the forecast for the Friday-Sunday Blizzard. In my opinion expect slight nudges to the north to continue. -GB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Please...please let the EURO score...I am absoltely taken aback by the trends today. Please don't trend NW... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 This kind of storm system has high chances to give and take. Upper level lows always have gimmicks up their sleeves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Funny how some people seem to always say the exact opposite of everyone else regarding if things look good or bad on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Yeah , the pages of Euro pbp from last nights run almost seemed orgasmic!? Now it sucked and GSP says no ice or snow S of the NC line? Our local tv mets are honking more snow and ice now for Friday night and Sat!? Seems like I'm in bizarro world!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Sounds like the EURO caved to king GFS again per Jon's post. Everyone seemed to like the run during the pbp... Well that sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 11:08 AM, mackerel_sky said: Yeah , the pages of Euro pbp from last nights run almost seemed orgasmic!? Now it sucked and GSP says no ice or snow S of the NC line? Our local tv mets are honking more snow and ice now for Friday night and Sat!? Seems like I'm in bizarro world!?Yea I agree...it's somewhat confusing at times. What I've learned over the years on here is follow the model runs for trends in either direction. But stick with GSP for the real deal forecast. They won't change until a real consensus of the models occurs. They are right MOST of the time. If I see them start to honk their horns tomorrow then I'll get excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 11:08 AM, mackerel_sky said: Yeah , the pages of Euro pbp from last nights run almost seemed orgasmic!? Now it sucked and GSP says no ice or snow S of the NC line? Our local tv mets are honking more snow and ice now for Friday night and Sat!? Seems like I'm in bizarro world!? Sorry but who said the Euro sucked? I am not seeing that anywhere. GSP is just being conservative as they should be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 11:45 AM, lilj4425 said: Sorry but who said the Euro sucked? I am not seeing that anywhere. GSP is just being conservative as they should be.Jon. Said he didn't see all the hype and last nights run was worse that 12zOn another note, let's see how many HWO and AFD 's we can get on one page! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 How can the Euro be both north and south simultaneously? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 11:49 AM, Cold Rain said: How can the Euro be both north and south simultaneously? That's easy, it's bipolar. The south part is colder of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 11:59 AM, FallsLake said: That's easy, it's bipolar. The south part is colder of course. Ha, so true! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Things should come together today. 12z models will be huge today; do we continue a south/cold trend on the American models? Most of the weather offices will stop being conservative and give a more definitive forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 What a forecast, don't see this much! REST OF TODAY...CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON.SNOW ACCUMULATION AROUND AN INCH. HIGHS AROUND 30. LIGHT ANDVARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT..TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW IN THEEVENING...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY AFTER MIDNIGHT. NOT AS COOL. NEARSTEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.CHANCE OF SNOW 20 PERCENT..THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. NOT AS COOL WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER40S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS..THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SNOW AND SLEET LIKELY...MAINLY AFTERMIDNIGHT. MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. LOWS IN THE UPPER20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST AROUND 10 MPH AFTERMIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT..FRIDAY...SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN FREEZING RAIN...SLEET ANDRAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATION.COOLER. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST WINDSAROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT..FRIDAY NIGHT...SLEET. FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN SNOW LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. ADDITIONAL MODERATE SNOWACCUMULATION. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE AROUND 30. CHANCE OFPRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT..SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING.ADDITIONAL MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE MID30S. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Christ on a pogo stick, some of you are more dense than I expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The 0z EURO cut my totals from 35" to "25, should I cliff dive or nah? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Hay Burger ---> across the pond. This should make you happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Yeah, seems to be a lot of doom and gloom from some folks in the Triangle this morning. Lots of mixed messages from last night. It was more south, more north, better, worse...seems to be all over the place this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 12:11 PM, Queencitywx said: Christ on a pogo stick, some of you are more dense than I expected.Pogo stick???lol that's funny right there!Too bad the gfs runs 4 times a day to keep it stired up. Next couple of days will be both blissful and painful to read about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 11:49 AM, Cold Rain said: How can the Euro be both north and south simultaneously? That's a ? you'll have to ask CR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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